ASD R4 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R4 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5GRAND SLAM DUKEP
- C2#6FEDZECUTIVEUU
- C3#1SINGING IN SEATTLEUU
- C4#3PONCHS SERENADEUU
- C5#2THREE D THRILLUU
- C6#4BEER BUDGETC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #5 GRAND SLAM DUKE · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #5 GRAND SLAM DUKE · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 BEER BUDGET).
Helps #4 BEER BUDGET · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SINGING IN SEATTLEKHELAWAN KERRON | 1.6 | U | Same trip2026-09-12 ASD 4f 51.60 Bg MT ft 3/5; 2026-08-26 ASD 3f 37.40 B MT ft 4/9 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Md 15000 | BROWN JARED | Favorite |
| 5 | GRAND SLAM DUKESTEPHENSON NEVILLE | 3.0 | P | Top last paceSame trip2026-08-11 ASD 4f 50.80 B MT ft 5/12; 2026-08-03 ASD 4f 50.60 B MT ft 7/10 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Md 15000 | TAPHORN MIKE | field |
| 6 | FEDZECUTIVEBREWSTER RASHAWN | 5.0 | U | Top last figSame trip2026-10-03 ASD 3f 39.20 B MT ft 3/3; 2026-09-02 ASD 4f 53.80 B MT ft 12/13 · barn: same as last | OsirisB50k → Md 15000 | NEUBUHR TERRY | overlay |
| 2 | THREE D THRILLDALRYMPLE DARIO | 4.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-16 ASD 4f 50.80 H MT ft 5/9; 2026-09-01 ASD 4f 50.40 Bg MT ft 3/10 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Md 15000 | TAPHORN MIKE | field |
| 3 | PONCHS SERENADECUMBERBATCH R | 6.0 | U | —2026-09-26 ASD 3f 38.00 BgD MT ft 2/3; 2026-09-18 ASD 4f 52.60 B MT ft 3/4 · barn: HUSBANDS TIFFANY (no last-line barn) | — → Md 15000 | HUSBANDS TIFFANY | field |
| 4 | BEER BUDGETHEWITT ROGER | 15.0 | C | MSW → MCLSharp workSame trip2026-09-30 ASD 3f 37.60 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-09-02 ASD 3f 38.60 B MT ft 6/9 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md 15000 | NAULT MICHAEL | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEASD R4 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1210y · Md 15000
- SHAPENo dedicated early; crawl likely; presser #5 sits best in A/B; #6 holds top fig and class drop
- CHALKFavorite#1 SINGING IN SEATTLE · short · single fig (42), unknown style, no overlay, no pace edge
- LEANWinner call#5 GRAND SLAM DUKE · top pace figure (e1 85), presser slot, A/B path clean; "gave way" last was a shorter 990y sprint off the duel — this is the right distance again
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICE#6 FEDZECUTIVE · ML 5 · edge 0.028 · top fig (46), class drop, same trip
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — #6 is the only overlay but carries a weak trainer (TJ ROI -1.73, 1 win in 12), an unfavorable outside post (6 of 6) against an inside-biased track, and the model edge (0.028) is thin at a morning line of 5-1; the shape helps a closer only in C; LEAN (#5) is not chalk but is also not an overlay (edge -0.007), so no actionable price ticket exists
- KILLA speed horse emerges to gift #5 a clean stalking trip and the board shortens it below 3-1; or #6 overcomes post/trainer concerns and the tote confirms value
- MISSINGLive tote (ML only), official scratches post-ingest, weather/surface condition at post, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at 1210y in a maiden claimer (Md 15000, $17,500 purse), six horses, moderate volatility given the first-timer and a field with multiple unknown styles. No dedicated early speed on the projected map, making this a crawl-likely shape where #5 GRAND SLAM DUKE (the presser) sits in the best tactical spot, while the chalk (#1 SINGING IN SEATTLE, 1.6 ML) is an unknown-style horse off a single line with a mediocre fig (42) that is not generating a model overlay. No primed horse qualifies (none reach 2+ ready flags among non-chalk runners), though #6 FEDZECUTIVE holds the only price overlay (edge 0.028, ML 5) with the top fig in the field (46) off a class drop from OsirisB50k into Md 15000 and a same-distance sprint last — path exists in A if that pace collapses in front of it.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SINGING IN SEATTLE | 1.6 | 31.9% | 33.4% | +1.6% | 0.43 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 5 | GRAND SLAM DUKE | 3.0 | 20.7% | 20.0% | -0.7% | 0.09 | P | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | FEDZECUTIVE | 5.0 | 13.8% | 16.6% | +2.8% | 0.97 | U | Top last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | THREE D THRILL | 4.0 | 16.6% | 15.4% | -1.2% | -0.07 | U | Same trip | — |
| 3 | PONCHS SERENADE | 6.0 | 11.8% | 11.2% | -0.7% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 4 | BEER BUDGET | 15.0 | 5.2% | 3.4% | -1.8% | -1.43 | C | MSW → MCLSharp workSame trip | — |