PID R2 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R2 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#1 #5 #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1KNICKS FACTOREP
- C2#5DANCE ON AIRE
- C3#2ROCK TUNEEP
- C4#4TIME LEAPS
- C5#3SERENE WATERSS
- C6#6JAYANAC
Honest pace among #1 KNICKS FACTOR and #5 DANCE ON AIR and #2 ROCK TUNE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 TIME LEAP, #3 SERENE WATERS · hurts #1 KNICKS FACTOR, #5 DANCE ON AIR, #2 ROCK TUNE
Pressure: #1 KNICKS FACTOR and #5 DANCE ON AIR and #2 ROCK TUNE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 TIME LEAP, #3 SERENE WATERS · hurts #1 KNICKS FACTOR, #5 DANCE ON AIR, #2 ROCK TUNE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 TIME LEAP, #3 SERENE WATERS, #6 JAYANA).
Helps #4 TIME LEAP, #3 SERENE WATERS, #6 JAYANA · hurts #1 KNICKS FACTOR, #5 DANCE ON AIR, #2 ROCK TUNE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KNICKS FACTORAYALA ADDIEL J | 3.5 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-06-09 PID 5f 64.40 B MT ft 7/8; 2026-05-01 DEL 4f 50.80 B MT ft 15/20 · barn: same as last | fClm12500n2l → Clm 12500b | RUSSELL RANDALL | overlay |
| 6 | JAYANAALLEN M | 3.0 | C | Same trip2026-02-27 GP 3f 35.60 B MT ft bullet 1/7; 2026-01-18 GP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 37/86 · barn: same as last | fClm6250b → Clm 12500b | FENNESSY JOHN | Favorite |
| 4 | TIME LEAPMARTINEZ GADDIEL A | 4.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-20 TP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 3/38; 2026-08-13 TP 4f 49.80 B MT ft 39/48 · barn: same as last | fOC16000n1x → Clm 12500b | DANNER KELSEY | primed |
| 3 | SERENE WATERSKINGSLEY TAYLOR | 4.5 | S | Same trip2026-06-11 PID 3f 35.80 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-06-03 PID 4f 48.20 B MT ft 5/14 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 12500b | FENNESSY JOHN | field |
| 2 | ROCK TUNEALENCAR WALBER | 6.0 | EP | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-09-03 PID 4f 51.40 B MT ft 10/13; 2026-07-15 PID 4f 47.00 B MT ft 4/13 · barn: same as last | fClm12500b → Clm 12500b | ROGERS J MICHAEL | field |
| 5 | DANCE ON AIRDELGADO DAVID | 10.0 | E | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSame trip2026-05-13 PID 3f 36.20 B MT gd 2/5; 2026-04-06 MNR 4f 53.80 B D MT hy 32/34 · barn: same as last | fClm15000n2x → Clm 12500b | VALDEZ MOISES | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R2 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1320y Clm 12500b
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#1 #5 #2) sets up a duel; stalkers inherit; speed bias favors inside
- CHALKFavorite#6 JAYANA · fade · pure closer post 6, class jump (6250→12500), negative model edge, speed/inside bias works against her
- LEANWinner call#4 TIME LEAP · class drop from OC16000, four ready signals, stalker with a path in A and B
- PRIMED#4 TIME LEAP (rising_figs +8, third_start_cycle, trouble_last, same_trip)
- PRICE#1 KNICKS FACTOR edge 0.036 · overlay at ML 3.5 (non-chalk)
- PLAYPrice ticket#4 TIME LEAP · min 4-1 · WIN (not overlay per model, but four primed signals + class drop + pace path; at 4-1 or better the shape pays for the ticket — if board opens shorter, PASS)
- KILLTIME LEAP's last two starts were on turf; returning to dirt where his Mar-26 fig (73) is credible, but if he does not handle this PID surface he has no prayer; also KNICKS FACTOR clears on the lead uncontested and the duel never materializes
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition day-of, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at PID, Clm 12500b, six horses, moderate-to-high volatility given three early-speed types pressing each other into a likely meltdown. The shape is a wall of early pace (#1, #2, #5) with the chalk (#6 JAYANA) a pure closer from the outside post—she jumps a full class and her model edge is negative against a speed bias that crushes late runners. #4 TIME LEAP holds four ready signals (rising figs +8, third-start cycle, trouble last, same trip), drops from OC16000 into a soft 12500 claimer, and gets a stalker's path directly behind the duel in scenarios A and B. ---
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KNICKS FACTOR | 3.5 | 20.4% | 24.0% | +3.6% | 0.71 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | JAYANA | 3.0 | 23.0% | 19.6% | -3.4% | -0.58 | C | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 4 | TIME LEAP | 4.0 | 18.4% | 18.9% | +0.5% | 0.18 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | SERENE WATERS | 4.5 | 16.7% | 16.4% | -0.4% | -0.02 | S | Same trip | — |
| 2 | ROCK TUNE | 6.0 | 13.1% | 14.3% | +1.1% | 0.40 | EP | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | DANCE ON AIR | 10.0 | 8.4% | 6.9% | -1.4% | -0.68 | E | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSame trip | — |