PRX R3 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R3 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #7 JOHNNY MAC
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1ZAMIRZOP
- C2#7JOHNNY MACEP
- C3#6THE FRIDGES
- C4#4EL HUIRROP
- C5#3SPRING ST DREAMERC
- C6#2RHYTHM MANUU
- C7#5GUNMAN JAYVOP
#7 JOHNNY MAC controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #7 JOHNNY MAC · hurts #6 THE FRIDGE, #3 SPRING ST DREAMER
Someone presses #7 JOHNNY MAC. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #1 ZAMIRZO, #4 EL HUIRRO, #5 GUNMAN JAYVO, #6 THE FRIDGE · hurts #7 JOHNNY MAC
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 THE FRIDGE, #3 SPRING ST DREAMER).
Helps #6 THE FRIDGE, #3 SPRING ST DREAMER · hurts #7 JOHNNY MAC
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SPRING ST DREAMERRODRIGUEZ YAN | 2.0 | C | 3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-08-07 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 19/30; 2026-07-24 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 15/23 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 10000 | LINDER LOUIS JR | Favorite |
| 6 | THE FRIDGERIVERA KENDRY | 2.5 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffBarn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-22 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 51/64; 2026-05-13 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT ft 3/31 · barn: change vs ABRAMS RONALD | Md10000c → Md 10000 | GUERRERO MELECIO SALDANA | Favorite |
| 1 | ZAMIRZOCASTILLO A | 4.0 | P | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-19 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT ft 23/29; 2026-08-12 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 22/47 · barn: change vs WYNER HAROLD | Md10000c → Md 10000 | BROWN HOWARD R JR | field |
| 7 | JOHNNY MACHADDOCK DEXTER | 5.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-24 PEN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 17/19; 2026-07-11 PEN 3f 36.40 B MT ft 2/15 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 10000 | KRAVETS BRUCE M | field |
| 2 | RHYTHM MANOCASIO LUIS M | 6.0 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip2026-09-20 MTH 4f 52.80 B MT ft 34/38; 2026-08-19 MTH 3f 38.00 Bg MT gd 2/2 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md 10000 | MARQUEZ CESAREO | field |
| 4 | EL HUIRROMEJIAS KLEINER A | 15.0 | P | 2nd off layoffSharp workSame trip2026-09-29 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT gd bullet 1/13; 2026-09-02 PRX 5f 62.40 B MT ft 12/15 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 10000 | PENALOZA MIGUEL | field |
| 5 | GUNMAN JAYVOHERMAN NOEL | 15.0 | P | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-12 PRX 4f 50.80 B MT ft 39/47; 2026-07-25 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 57/98 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 10000 | ST LEWIS URIAH | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R3 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1830y · Md10000
- SHAPELone speed #7 JOHNNY MAC; closers/stalkers dominate by style; speed bias + inside rail bias favor the front but EP draws post 7
- CHALKFavorite#3 SPRING ST DREAMER (2) and #6 THE FRIDGE (2.5) — both model overlays, both chalk; short is solid
- LEANWinner call#6 THE FRIDGE — top last fig (67), top LP (81), 2nd off layoff, barn change, stalker with a pace path in B and C
- PRIMEDnone non-chalk (THE FRIDGE is primed but chalk)
- PRICEno non-chalk overlays
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#7 JOHNNY MAC gets a clear, uncontested lead and the pace never materializes — scenario A runs out chalk closers; also live tote may compress THE FRIDGE below 2-1
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes after ingest
Why
Dirt two-turn route, Md10000, seven-head maiden claimer at PRX — moderate volatility given dueling pressers and a figure ceiling in the low-to-mid 60s. #7 JOHNNY MAC projects as lone speed from post 7 with EP style and a pace map that clears him to the front under scenario A, but both co-chalks (#3 SPRING ST DREAMER, #6 THE FRIDGE) are closers/stalkers who benefit if the pace softens or a duel develops; the sheet holds both as chalk with model edges, yet the rec is PASS because no non-chalk overlay clears. No horse in the field is primed and non-chalk — #6 THE FRIDGE carries the most ready signals (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, barn change, top fig and top LP) but is chalk at 2.5, making it a LEAN candidate, not a PLAY. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SPRING ST DREAMER | 2.0 | 26.6% | 28.7% | +2.1% | 0.70 | C | favorite3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | THE FRIDGE | 2.5 | 22.8% | 26.7% | +3.9% | 1.03 | S | favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffBarn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | ZAMIRZO | 4.0 | 16.0% | 16.5% | +0.6% | 0.53 | P | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 7 | JOHNNY MAC | 5.0 | 13.3% | 12.5% | -0.8% | 0.15 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | RHYTHM MAN | 6.0 | 11.4% | 8.0% | -3.4% | -1.01 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 4 | EL HUIRRO | 15.0 | 5.0% | 3.9% | -1.1% | -0.61 | P | 2nd off layoffSharp workSame trip | — |
| 5 | GUNMAN JAYVO | 15.0 | 5.0% | 3.7% | -1.3% | -0.79 | P | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |