DEL R6 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R6 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#1 #8 #7)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1MISS MO TOWNEP
- C2#8SUPERFRACTOREP
- C3#7KEEP ON COMINGEP
- C4#2NO MORE KINGSP
- C5#4RED LADS
- C6#6DRILL BABYC
- C7#3SWAGINGC
- C8#5MUTHABIRC
Honest pace among #1 MISS MO TOWN and #8 SUPERFRACTOR and #7 KEEP ON COMING. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #2 NO MORE KINGS, #4 RED LAD · hurts #1 MISS MO TOWN, #8 SUPERFRACTOR, #7 KEEP ON COMING
Pressure: #1 MISS MO TOWN and #8 SUPERFRACTOR and #7 KEEP ON COMING hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 NO MORE KINGS, #4 RED LAD · hurts #1 MISS MO TOWN, #8 SUPERFRACTOR, #7 KEEP ON COMING
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 RED LAD, #6 DRILL BABY, #3 SWAGING, #5 MUTHABIR).
Helps #4 RED LAD, #6 DRILL BABY, #3 SWAGING, #5 MUTHABIR · hurts #1 MISS MO TOWN, #8 SUPERFRACTOR, #7 KEEP ON COMING
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SWAGINGLUNA PAUL A | 2.0 | C | Class dropSame trip2026-08-30 SAR 4f 49.20 B MT ft 60/127; 2026-07-17 SAR 4f 49.40 B MT ft 37/87 · barn: same as last | Alw55000s → OClm 50000n2l | POTTS WAYNE | Favorite |
| 6 | DRILL BABYCHEMINAUD VINCENT | 3.0 | C | Class dropSharp workSame trip2026-10-06 DEL 3f 36.40 Bg MT ft bullet 1/10; 2026-09-29 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/10 · barn: same as last | Alw125000n2l → OClm 50000n2l | COMPTON GREG | field |
| 8 | SUPERFRACTORGOMEZ JOSE ANTONIO | 4.0 | EP | Class dropTop last paceSame trip2026-09-08 MTH 4f 49.80 B MT ft 7/10; 2026-08-07 MTH 4f 47.60 H MT ft bullet 1/29 · barn: same as last | rAlw47040b → OClm 50000n2l | PERKINS BEN JR | pace + drop |
| 2 | NO MORE KINGSLOPEZ PASCACIO | 6.0 | P | Rising figs2026-09-09 DEL 3f 38.00 B MT ft 5/7; 2026-07-25 DEL 4f 53.00 B MT ft 51/52 · barn: same as last | Moc40000 → OClm 50000n2l | COMPTON GREG | field |
| 5 | MUTHABIRBELL BARRINGTON | 8.0 | C | Rising figsSharp workTop last figSame trip2026-10-04 DEL 3f 37.40 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-09-19 DEL 3f 39.60 B MT ft 27/32 · barn: same as last | OC50000n2l → OClm 50000n2l | BADILLO-CASADO JONATHANIEL | field |
| 7 | KEEP ON COMINGHERNANDEZ JULIO A | 10.0 | EP | Class dropSame trip2026-09-30 DEL 4f 49.40 B MT ft 13/34; 2026-09-22 DEL 4f 49.20 B MT my 1/2 · barn: same as last | Alw31700n2l → OClm 50000n2l | ALLARD EDWARD T | field |
| 1 | MISS MO TOWNRIOS JESUS M | 15.0 | EP | Class dropSame trip2026-09-06 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 3/17; 2026-05-27 PRX 4f 47.60 B MT ft 9/49 · barn: same as last | fAlw73500n1x → OClm 50000n2l | MENDIETA ALEJANDRO OLAIS | field |
| 4 | RED LADRAMOS JATNIEL | 15.0 | S | 2nd off layoffBarn changeSharp work2026-10-02 DEL 4f 48.00 B MT ft 2/45; 2026-09-25 DEL 4f 47.80 B MT ft bullet 1/48 · barn: change vs VAUGHAN EDWARD | Clm50000n2l → OClm 50000n2l | PERKINS BEN JR | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDEL R6 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1320y · OClm 50000n2l
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#1 #7 #8) ensures honest-to-high pace; stalkers and closers improve in A/B; bias tilts early/inside
- CHALKFavorite#3 SWAGING · short · closer style vs speed bias; last big figs came at route distances, sprint fig 75 in latest; model edge thin at 2-1
- LEANWinner call#3 SWAGING · best class and top back-figs, pace shape is against her but she may have enough class to overcome
- PRIMEDnone (computed)
- PRICE#8 SUPERFRACTOR · ML 4 · edge 0.035 · top E1, pace + class drop + same trip
- PLAYPrice ticket#8 SUPERFRACTOR · min 4-1 · win
- KILLSUPERFRACTOR gets hooked in a three-way duel from post 8, fries by the turn, and SWAGING or MUTHABIR inherits; also — no live tote to confirm the 4 holds
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint claiming drop at DEL with a speed bias and inside rail tilt — three EP types (posts 1, 7, 8) are going to fight for position early, creating an honest-to-hot pace that figures to set up the stalking and pressing horses behind them. Chalk #3 SWAGING (2-1) is a closer dropping from allowance company whose last two figs (87, 91) are the class of the field, but the bias data strongly favors early speed and inside posts, and her style (C, post 3) needs that duel to materialize — model edge is thin (0.021) and the price is short. #8 SUPERFRACTOR is an EP with the top last E1 in the field (95), dropping from restricted allowance into this claimer, posting a 0.035 overlay — in scenarios A and B he is involved early from the two-path, and unlike the other speed he has a figure ceiling (89) that can compete if he doesn't get hooked into a collapse.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Pace + drop
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SWAGING | 2.0 | 26.6% | 28.7% | +2.1% | 0.59 | C | favoriteClass dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | DRILL BABY | 3.0 | 19.9% | 19.9% | -0.1% | 0.27 | C | Class dropSharp workSame trip | — |
| 8 | SUPERFRACTOR | 4.0 | 16.0% | 19.5% | +3.5% | 1.09 | EP | Class dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | NO MORE KINGS | 6.0 | 11.4% | 10.1% | -1.3% | -0.20 | P | Rising figs | — |
| 5 | MUTHABIR | 8.0 | 8.9% | 8.1% | -0.8% | -0.09 | C | Rising figsSharp workTop last figSame trip | — |
| 7 | KEEP ON COMING | 10.0 | 7.3% | 5.0% | -2.2% | -1.19 | EP | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | MISS MO TOWN | 15.0 | 5.0% | 4.7% | -0.3% | 0.06 | EP | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | RED LAD | 15.0 | 5.0% | 4.1% | -0.9% | -0.54 | S | 2nd off layoffBarn changeSharp work | — |