MNR R8 · 2026-09-27
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R8 · 2026-09-27 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5KANTPAYTHETOLLS
- C2#7TEMPUSC
- C3#2ZIPPY GIZMOS
- C4#6INNUENDOC
- C5#1BRAGGADOCIOUSS
- C6#3AMBULANTES
- C7#8FIRST CITIZENS
- C8#4HAPI HAPIC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #5 KANTPAYTHETOLL, #2 ZIPPY GIZMO, #1 BRAGGADOCIOUS, #3 AMBULANTE, #8 FIRST CITIZEN · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #5 KANTPAYTHETOLL, #2 ZIPPY GIZMO, #1 BRAGGADOCIOUS, #3 AMBULANTE, #8 FIRST CITIZEN · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 KANTPAYTHETOLL, #7 TEMPUS, #2 ZIPPY GIZMO, #6 INNUENDO, #1 BRAGGADOCIOUS, #3 AMBULANTE, #8 FIRST CITIZEN, #4 HAPI HAPI).
Helps #5 KANTPAYTHETOLL, #7 TEMPUS, #2 ZIPPY GIZMO, #6 INNUENDO, #1 BRAGGADOCIOUS, #3 AMBULANTE, #8 FIRST CITIZEN, #4 HAPI HAPI · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | TEMPUSBARRIOS RICARDO | 2.0 | C | —2026-08-25 MNR 3f 37.20 B MT ft 4/10; 2026-07-01 PID 4f 50.00 B MT ft 13/13 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1x | DEMCZYK VIRGINIA | Favorite |
| 5 | KANTPAYTHETOLLARROYO N JR | 3.5 | S | Same trip2026-04-11 MNR 4f 49.80 B MT ft 7/13; 2026-04-04 MNR 3f 40.00 B D MT sy 10/11 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1x | ROBILLARD ALYSHA | overlay |
| 3 | AMBULANTEGARCIA F | 3.0 | S | Led lastSame trip2026-04-29 OEC 4f 51.00 Bg MT ft 4/5; 2026-04-01 OEC 4f 51.00 Bg MT ft 6/8 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1x | BARBARAN HORACIO | field |
| 2 | ZIPPY GIZMOTAPARA BRANDON | 6.0 | S | Same trip2026-04-08 MNR 5f 63.40 B MT ft 3/4; 2026-03-30 MNR 5f 64.80 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1x | ARRIAGA MARIO | field |
| 8 | FIRST CITIZENSILVA JUAN PABLO JR | 8.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-23 MNR 3f 37.40 B MT ft 3/10; 2026-03-09 MVR 5f 65.40 B MT gd 8/8 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1x | ROMERO JOSE A | field |
| 6 | INNUENDODIAZ R | 10.0 | C | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-08-13 PID 3f 37.60 B MT ft 2/6; 2026-08-05 PID 4f 49.20 B MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1x | ANTUS LAWRENCE | field |
| 1 | BRAGGADOCIOUSGONZALEZ KEVIN | 15.0 | S | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-09 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 5/11; 2026-05-16 MNR 4f 48.80 B MT ft 6/13 · barn: change vs CASTILLO JABDIEL | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1x | FIGUEROA ROLANDO | field |
| 4 | HAPI HAPINEGRON LUIS | 20.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-08 MNR 4f 50.20 B MT ft 7/11; 2026-06-09 MNR 4f 50.60 B MT ft 11/18 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n1x | CORDERO-LOPEZ ALEXIS | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R8 · 2026-09-27 · Dirt 1760y · Clm 4000n1x
- SHAPENo dedicated early; crawl expected; stalkers and closers both hunting a slow fractions collapse; inside rail favored, post 7 chalk draws wide
- CHALKFavorite#7 TEMPUS · short · model says overlay but style C from post 7 fights the inside bias; solid form, usable, not opposable on shape alone
- LEANWinner call#7 TEMPUS · best form, best model signal, pace map does not kill a closer if the crawl sets up
- PRIMEDnone (system confirms)
- PRICE#5 KANTPAYTHETOLL · ML 3.5 · edge 0.024 · top zSpeed, route-back, post 5 workable inside the bias zone
- PLAYPrice ticket#5 KANTPAYTHETOLL · min 3-1 · win ticket — at 5-2 or shorter, pass
- KILLBias evaporates or an unknown early type pressures KANTPAYTHETOLL wide; trainer Robillard's route ROI -1.72 and "btn favorite" 0-for-11 are a real caution; if ML compresses at the window, floor applies
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant day-of, rider changes not on PP lines
Why
Dirt route, CLM 4000n1x at MNR, no dedicated early speed in an eight-horse field — crawl likely, volatility moderate-to-high given the hollow pace map. Chalk is #7 TEMPUS (ML 2), a model overlay closer who fits the shape but draws post 7 with an inside-rail bias at a track where posts 8+ are 0-for in the sample. No horse clears two ready flags without a compromise — the system prints PRIMED: none — but #5 KANTPAYTHETOLL is the lone non-chalk price overlay (edge 0.024), a stalker drawn post 5 with the top zSpeed in the field and a route-back scenario that matches Scenario A.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | TEMPUS | 2.0 | 26.4% | 30.1% | +3.7% | 0.82 | C | favorite | — |
| 5 | KANTPAYTHETOLL | 3.5 | 17.6% | 20.0% | +2.4% | 0.80 | S | Same trip | — |
| 3 | AMBULANTE | 3.0 | 19.8% | 18.4% | -1.4% | 0.00 | S | Led lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | ZIPPY GIZMO | 6.0 | 11.3% | 10.6% | -0.7% | 0.04 | S | Same trip | — |
| 8 | FIRST CITIZEN | 8.0 | 8.8% | 7.1% | -1.7% | -0.58 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 6 | INNUENDO | 10.0 | 7.2% | 6.4% | -0.8% | -0.20 | C | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | BRAGGADOCIOUS | 15.0 | 5.0% | 4.3% | -0.6% | -0.25 | S | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | HAPI HAPI | 20.0 | 3.8% | 3.0% | -0.8% | -0.63 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |