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PRX R5 · 2026-09-29

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Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

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Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#1 #6 #3 #4)

Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#1GUN RIGHTEP
  2. C2#6FROMANOTHAMUTHAEP
  3. C3#3VANCE SCHOLARSEP
  4. C4#4WARRIOR WAYNEE
  5. C5#7COBBLE ROADC
  6. C6#8ATROCIOUSC
  7. C7#5HEAT ALERTP
  8. C8#2UNION LIGHTSC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #1 GUN RIGHT and #6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA and #3 VANCE SCHOLARS and #4 WARRIOR WAYNE. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #5 HEAT ALERT · hurts #1 GUN RIGHT, #6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA, #3 VANCE SCHOLARS, #4 WARRIOR WAYNE

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #1 GUN RIGHT and #6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA and #3 VANCE SCHOLARS and #4 WARRIOR WAYNE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #5 HEAT ALERT · hurts #1 GUN RIGHT, #6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA, #3 VANCE SCHOLARS, #4 WARRIOR WAYNE

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 COBBLE ROAD, #8 ATROCIOUS, #2 UNION LIGHTS).

Helps #7 COBBLE ROAD, #8 ATROCIOUS, #2 UNION LIGHTS · hurts #1 GUN RIGHT, #6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA, #3 VANCE SCHOLARS, #4 WARRIOR WAYNE

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
6FROMANOTHAMUTHAORELLANA SEBASTIAN3.0EPRising figsClass dropTop last figSame trip2026-09-24 PRX 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/4; 2026-04-29 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 9/20 · barn: same as lastAlw5000s → Clm 5000n2yPENALOZA MIGUELprimed
4WARRIOR WAYNESANCHEZ MYCHEL J2.5E2nd off layoffTag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-08-11 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT ft 5/41; 2026-06-30 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 13/27 · barn: change vs PRECIADO GUADALUPEClm7500c → Clm 5000n2yMONTOYA MARYAFavorite
1GUN RIGHTRUIZ ELISEO3.5EP2nd off layoffBarn changeTop last paceSame trip2026-08-25 PEN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 4/9; 2026-08-15 PEN 4f 48.40 B MT ft 4/15 · barn: change vs KRAVETS BRUCE MClm5000n2yc → Clm 5000n2yKULP BRANDON Loverlay
3VANCE SCHOLARSLOPEZ PASCACIO4.0EPRising figsSame trip2026-08-30 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 15/62; 2026-06-26 LRL 4f 49.80 B MT ft 13/24 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 5000n2yPOTTS WAYNEfield
8ATROCIOUSSANCHEZ MAGGLIO10.0CRising figsTag dropSame trip2026-08-08 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT gd 90/106; 2026-04-11 PRX 4f 48.20 B MT ft 7/65 · barn: same as lastClm12500 → Clm 5000n2yCASTILLO ANGEL JRfield
2UNION LIGHTSRIVERA DALILA A10.0CSame trip2026-08-12 PRX 5f 64.00 B MT ft 15/15; 2026-03-14 PRX 4f 48.40 B MT ft 6/30 · barn: same as lastClm5000n2y → Clm 5000n2yBETANCOURT ELI JRfield
5HEAT ALERTADORNO ABNER12.0PTag dropSame trip2026-09-08 DEL 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 10/22; 2026-07-04 DEL 4f 50.20 Bg MT ft 10/17 · barn: same as lastClm10000 → Clm 5000n2yARCE JOSUEfield
7COBBLE ROADTORRES BRYAN L20.0C—2026-08-10 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 43/52; 2026-07-14 PRX 4f 50.40 B MT ft 15/18 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 5000n2yRODRIGUEZ IRVINGfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade
  1. RACEPRX R5 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1870y · Clm 5000n2y
  2. SHAPEWall of four early/pressers — pace extreme; stalkers and closers inherit if duel materializes
  3. CHALKFavorite#4 WARRIOR WAYNE · opposable · E style into a four-way speed fight, zPace -1.54, model edge negative
  4. LEANWinner call#6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA · top fig 82, class relief, rising cycle, EP can stalk the duel
  5. PRIMED#6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA (rising_figs, class_drop, top_last_fig, same_trip)
  6. PRICE#6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA edge 0.028 ML 3; #1 GUN RIGHT edge 0.042 ML 3.5
  7. PLAYPrice ticket#1 GUN RIGHT · min 3.5-1 · win — 2nd off layoff, barn change, top late pace in field (LP 87), EP style can clear or stalk inside from post 1 if speed duel burns out #4; at shorter than 3.5, PASS
  8. KILL#4 WARRIOR WAYNE clears cleanly and limits the duel; #6 fires and takes the overlay; live tote shorter than floor on #1
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition change, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt route, $5,000 claiming (n2y), eight runners, moderate-to-high volatility with a wall of early speed creating a legitimate meltdown setup. Four pressers/early types (#1, #3, #4, #6) project to the front, making this a pace duel that figures to set up the stalker shelf — chalk #4 WARRIOR WAYNE is a need-the-lead E type dropping into a fight, model edge negative, zPace -1.54, opposable on shape. #6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA is the sheet's primed horse (rising figs 77→82, class drop from Alw5000s, top fig in the field at 82, same route trip) with an EP style that can stalk the chaos from post 6, a live path in scenario A and B, and a positive overlay at ML 3.

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Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

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Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

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Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#6 FROMANOTHAMUTHA+2.8%ML 3.0Rising figsClass dropTop last figSame trip
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#1 GUN RIGHT+4.2%ML 3.52nd off layoffBarn changeTop last paceSame trip
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Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
6FROMANOTHAMUTHA3.019.8%22.6%+2.8%0.92EPRising figsClass dropTop last figSame trip—
4WARRIOR WAYNE2.522.6%21.9%-0.7%0.26Efavorite2nd off layoffTag dropBarn changeSame trip—
1GUN RIGHT3.517.6%21.8%+4.2%1.24EP2nd off layoffBarn changeTop last paceSame trip—
3VANCE SCHOLARS4.015.8%14.7%-1.2%0.08EPRising figsSame trip—
8ATROCIOUS10.07.2%6.2%-1.0%-0.23CRising figsTag dropSame trip—
2UNION LIGHTS10.07.2%6.0%-1.2%-0.32CSame trip—
5HEAT ALERT12.06.1%3.9%-2.2%-1.41PTag dropSame trip—
7COBBLE ROAD20.03.8%3.0%-0.8%-0.54C—