DED R5 · 2026-10-10

WATCHD1540y1 price overlay(s)4 readyPLAY lookRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DED R5 · 2026-10-10 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#2 vs #12)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#2RIPPLES ROCKETE
C2#12KAMA CANEP
C3#6MATINEE IDOLS
C4#7FILM AT ELEVENS
C5#9CHIEF BROWNS
C6#1VAMOS YAS
C7#8FRIENDLY HINTS
C8#4VON ERICHC
C9#10LIEUTENANT CHARMS
C10#11MORE THAN CUTEC
C11#5SYNTAGMAC
C12#3VINEAUXC

A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #2 RIPPLES ROCKET and #12 KAMA CAN. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #6 MATINEE IDOL, #7 FILM AT ELEVEN, #9 CHIEF BROWN, #1 VAMOS YA, #8 FRIENDLY HINT, #10 LIEUTENANT CHARM · hurts #2 RIPPLES ROCKET, #12 KAMA CAN

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #2 RIPPLES ROCKET and #12 KAMA CAN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #6 MATINEE IDOL, #7 FILM AT ELEVEN, #9 CHIEF BROWN, #1 VAMOS YA, #8 FRIENDLY HINT, #10 LIEUTENANT CHARM · hurts #2 RIPPLES ROCKET, #12 KAMA CAN

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 MATINEE IDOL, #7 FILM AT ELEVEN, #9 CHIEF BROWN, #1 VAMOS YA, #8 FRIENDLY HINT, #4 VON ERICH, #10 LIEUTENANT CHARM, #11 MORE THAN CUTE, #5 SYNTAGMA, #3 VINEAUX).

Helps #6 MATINEE IDOL, #7 FILM AT ELEVEN, #9 CHIEF BROWN, #1 VAMOS YA, #8 FRIENDLY HINT, #4 VON ERICH, #10 LIEUTENANT CHARM, #11 MORE THAN CUTE, #5 SYNTAGMA, #3 VINEAUX · hurts #2 RIPPLES ROCKET, #12 KAMA CAN

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
6	MATINEE IDOLPOMPELL T L	3.0	S	Barn change2026-09-26 DED 4f 50.60 B MT ft 15/68; 2026-07-28 CCT 4f 51.00 B MT ft 11/31 · barn: change vs BOURGEOIS KEITH	Clm10000n2lc → Clm 20000n2l	BRINKMAN BRETT	Favorite
4	VON ERICHMELANCON JANSEN	3.5	C	—2026-09-22 CCT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 4/59; 2026-08-11 CCT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/37 · barn: same as last	sMd20000 → Clm 20000n2l	LANDRY ALLEN RAY	field
5	SYNTAGMAHERNANDEZ COLBY J	5.0	C	Same trip2026-09-29 CCT 4f 49.80 B MT ft 3/69; 2026-08-04 CCT 4f 50.00 B MT ft 3/17 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Clm 20000n2l	BOURGEOIS KEITH	field
10	LIEUTENANT CHARMTHORNTON T G	5.0	S	Class drop2026-05-09 HAW 5f 61.20 B MT ft bullet 1/12; 2026-05-02 HAW 4f 49.20 B MT ft 6/12 · barn: same as last	Alw26650b → Clm 20000n2l	BERNDT JOEL	field
2	RIPPLES ROCKETCASTILLO ALEXANDER	8.0	E	Rising figsClass dropLed lastSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-10-01 DED 5f 63.00 B MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-06-28 LAD 4f 52.40 B MT ft 16/16 · barn: same as last	Alw33000n1x → Clm 20000n2l	MARTINEZ SARAH	pace + drop
3	VINEAUXMUDD JAMISON	8.0	C	Class drop2026-09-29 CCT 4f 51.20 B MT ft 35/69; 2026-09-22 CCT 4f 51.80 B MT ft 42/59 · barn: same as last	sAlw41000n1x → Clm 20000n2l	CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET	field
7	FILM AT ELEVENROMAN KEVIN	10.0	S	Rising figsSame trip2026-10-02 DED 4f 51.80 B MT ft 35/68; 2026-09-25 DED 4f 50.20 B MT ft 5/24 · barn: same as last	Clm20000n2l → Clm 20000n2l	COURVILLE RICKY	field
12	KAMA CANFUSILIER C	10.0	EP	Rising figs2nd off layoffLed last2026-10-03 DED 4f 51.40 B MT ft 25/76; 2026-09-26 DED 4f 52.00 B MT ft 46/68 · barn: same as last	Md20000 → Clm 20000n2l	LANDRY ALLEN RAY	primed
11	MORE THAN CUTECASTILLO ISAAC	15.0	C	Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-06-10 GP 3f 40.60 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-05-02 GP 4f 53.60 B MT ft 58/58 · barn: same as last	Clm10000n2l → Clm 20000n2l	GOVEA CESAR	primed
9	CHIEF BROWNCARDOSO DAVID	15.0	S	Rising figsClass dropSame trip2026-09-05 LS 4f 48.40 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-06-14 LS 3f 34.60 B MT ft bullet 1/30 · barn: same as last	Alw14500n2l → Clm 20000n2l	ROUBION STEVE	primed
8	FRIENDLY HINTLOZADA CARLOS	20.0	S	Class drop2026-09-16 LAD 4f 51.20 B MT ft 35/44; 2026-05-26 LAD 5f 62.00 B MT ft 11/26 · barn: same as last	sAlw31000n2l → Clm 20000n2l	DUNN HENRY RAY	field
1	VAMOS YAMAGNON DEVIN H	20.0	S	Barn changeSharp workSame trip2026-10-01 EVD 3f 37.40 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-08-25 CCT 3f 40.00 B MT ft 22/22 · barn: change vs SCHWANDT EMILE	Clm5000n2lc → Clm 20000n2l	FLORES SALVADOR G	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade

RACEDED R5 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1540y · Clm20000n2l
SHAPETwo-speed duel (#2 E vs #12 EP) sets up stalker tier; pace high; chalk short and class-up
CHALKFavorite#6 MATINEE IDOL · opposable · barn change, class up, turf-to-dirt, model not long enough to pay
LEANWinner call#2 RIPPLES ROCKET · best fig, best pace, live drop, bullet work — if it controls cleanly
PRIMED#2 RIPPLES ROCKET (rising figs, class drop, led last, sharp work, top fig/pace); #12 KAMA CAN (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, led last); #11 MORE THAN CUTE (rising figs, trouble last); #9 CHIEF BROWN (rising figs, class drop)
PRICE#2 RIPPLES ROCKET at 8-1 ML · only model overlay in field
PLAYPrice ticket#2 RIPPLES ROCKET · min 6-1 · win — if duel does not materialize or it clears cleanly; PASS if board collapses to 3-1 or shorter
KILL#12 hooks it immediately from post 12 and they duel the life out of each other — stalkers inherit and the overlay evaporates; trainer stats (Martinez) are thin and negative on claiming ROI
MISSINGlive tote (ML only), official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition, rider changes

Why

Dirt sprint claiming field of 12 at DED, n2l tag with a two-speed map, moderate-to-high volatility given the duel risk and class variety.

Shape is a likely #2/#12 speed duel that sets up the stalker tier; chalk is #6 MATINEE IDOL at 3-1, a barn-change S that is model-short and rising off turf into a class-up spot — opposable.

#2 RIPPLES ROCKET is the one primed price: field-top last fig (77) and field-top e1 (97) dropping from Alw33000n1x, a bullet 5f work nine days out, rising figs across three starts — if it clears from the 2-post and is not hooked into a career-ending duel, stalkers face a tougher target than the morning line implies; at 8-1 ML it is the only model overlay (edge 0.027).

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Pace + drop

#2 RIPPLES ROCKETMARTINEZ SARAHpace + dropsharp workML 8.0Rising figsClass dropLed lastSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip

Price overlays

#2 RIPPLES ROCKET+2.7%ML 8.0Rising figsClass dropLed lastSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip

Ready, not overlaid

#12 KAMA CANML 10.0Rising figs2nd off layoffLed last

#11 MORE THAN CUTEML 15.0Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip

#9 CHIEF BROWNML 15.0Rising figsClass dropSame trip

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
6	MATINEE IDOL	3.0	17.5%	19.2%	+1.7%	0.57	S	favoriteBarn change	—
4	VON ERICH	3.5	15.5%	16.0%	+0.4%	0.31	C		—
5	SYNTAGMA	5.0	11.7%	11.5%	-0.2%	0.13	C	Same trip	—
10	LIEUTENANT CHARM	5.0	11.7%	10.6%	-1.1%	-0.19	S	Class drop	—
2	RIPPLES ROCKET	8.0	7.8%	10.5%	+2.7%	1.40	E	Rising figsClass dropLed lastSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip	—
3	VINEAUX	8.0	7.8%	6.6%	-1.1%	-0.43	C	Class drop	—
7	FILM AT ELEVEN	10.0	6.4%	6.2%	-0.1%	0.13	S	Rising figsSame trip	—
12	KAMA CAN	10.0	6.4%	6.0%	-0.4%	-0.04	EP	Rising figs2nd off layoffLed last	—
11	MORE THAN CUTE	15.0	4.4%	4.4%	+0.0%	0.22	C	Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip	—
9	CHIEF BROWN	15.0	4.4%	4.1%	-0.3%	-0.09	S	Rising figsClass dropSame trip	—
8	FRIENDLY HINT	20.0	3.3%	2.7%	-0.6%	-0.59	S	Class drop	—
1	VAMOS YA	20.0	3.3%	2.2%	-1.1%	-1.42	S	Barn changeSharp workSame trip	—