TDN R5 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R5 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#1 vs #4)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1RABBI ROSETTEE
- C2#2SWEET KYLIEP
- C3#4MO THUNDERE
- C4#6COMPOSITIONS
- C5#5STORM SEARCHS
- C6#3O G MOONDANCERS
Honest pace among #1 RABBI ROSETTE and #4 MO THUNDER. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #2 SWEET KYLIE, #6 COMPOSITION, #5 STORM SEARCH, #3 O G MOONDANCER · hurts #1 RABBI ROSETTE, #4 MO THUNDER
Pressure: #1 RABBI ROSETTE and #4 MO THUNDER hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 SWEET KYLIE, #6 COMPOSITION, #5 STORM SEARCH, #3 O G MOONDANCER · hurts #1 RABBI ROSETTE, #4 MO THUNDER
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 COMPOSITION, #5 STORM SEARCH, #3 O G MOONDANCER).
Helps #6 COMPOSITION, #5 STORM SEARCH, #3 O G MOONDANCER · hurts #1 RABBI ROSETTE, #4 MO THUNDER
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SWEET KYLIEBRACHO JOSE A | 1.2 | P | Top last figTop last paceSame trip2026-07-22 BTP 3f 35.40 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-07-14 BTP 5f 61.40 Bg MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as last | sAlw21300n2l → Md Sp Wt | ORANTES YONI R | Favorite |
| 6 | COMPOSITIONBOWEN ROCCO | 3.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-24 TDN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 5/33; 2026-09-17 TDN 3f 36.00 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | HAMM TIMOTHY | field |
| 1 | RABBI ROSETTEFELICIANO R | 4.0 | E | —2026-09-14 TDN 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-08-10 TDN 3f 38.00 B MT sy 6/9 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | FELICIANO BENNY R | field |
| 3 | O G MOONDANCERKEISER CHELSEY | 5.0 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoff2026-09-15 TDN 3f 38.00 B MT ft 6/10; 2026-09-08 TDN 5f 62.00 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CRUMLEY JEVON | primed |
| 5 | STORM SEARCHSTOKES J | 8.0 | S | Rising figs2026-04-18 TAM 4f 50.20 B MT ft 29/45; 2026-04-10 TAM 4f 49.00 B MT ft 4/29 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CARRINGTON DALE | field |
| 4 | MO THUNDERCEDILLO MAURO | 15.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-06-26 BTP 5f 62.20 B MT ft 5/8; 2026-06-20 BTP 4f 48.00 Bg MT ft 6/28 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CLINE ROBERT C | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACETDN R5 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt / 1760y / Maiden Special Weight
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#1 vs #4) on a speed-favoring track bleeds the front; stalkers #2, #3, #5, #6 inherit — chalk #2 is best-placed but 1.2 ML
- CHALKFavorite#2 SWEET KYLIE · solid · top fig, best pace rating, inside post, stalker style fits the scenario — just not a ticket at 1-5
- LEANWinner call#2 SWEET KYLIE · most likely winner; best figures, best pace, cleanest path
- PRIMED#3 O G MOONDANCER — rising figs (51→62, +11), 2nd off layoff (57d gap into last, today is start 2), stalker path in A and B
- PRICEnone (model shows no non-chalk overlay; #3 is primed but edge is -0.006)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#2 breaks on top and steals a soft lead unchallenged — duel evaporates, no overlay fires; also, #3's barn numbers at routes and first-route starts are poor, limiting conviction even at a fair price
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt route maiden special weight, six-horse field at TDN, moderate-to-high volatility given two need-the-lead types (#1 RABBI ROSETTE, #4 MO THUNDER) threatening a duel into a track that strongly favors early speed and inside posts. The shape sets up as a two-speed duel that should bleed both leaders and benefit stalkers, with chalk #2 SWEET KYLIE (1.2 ML) holding the best figures and a pace-stalking style that lands in the sweet spot — solid, but untouchable at the price. #3 O G MOONDANCER (5 ML) is the lone primed horse (rising figs +11, 2nd off layoff), has a stalker path in A and B, and surfaces against compromised front-end horses at a realistic overlay price.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SWEET KYLIE | 1.2 | 36.5% | 41.9% | +5.4% | 0.87 | P | favoriteTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | COMPOSITION | 3.0 | 20.1% | 18.2% | -1.9% | -0.08 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 1 | RABBI ROSETTE | 4.0 | 16.1% | 15.9% | -0.2% | 0.28 | E | — | |
| 3 | O G MOONDANCER | 5.0 | 13.4% | 12.8% | -0.6% | 0.14 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoff | — |
| 5 | STORM SEARCH | 8.0 | 8.9% | 7.3% | -1.6% | -0.50 | S | Rising figs | — |
| 4 | MO THUNDER | 15.0 | 5.0% | 3.9% | -1.1% | -0.72 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |