PRX R3 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R3 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #7 #1)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3LEXE
- C2#7COMPAEP
- C3#1BATTLE ANTHEMEP
- C4#6HOPPY TIMEP
- C5#5HUGGYS
- C6#2Z STORM IS COMINGS
- C7#4BAD ADVICEC
Honest pace among #3 LEX and #7 COMPA and #1 BATTLE ANTHEM. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #6 HOPPY TIME, #5 HUGGY, #2 Z STORM IS COMING · hurts #3 LEX, #7 COMPA, #1 BATTLE ANTHEM
Pressure: #3 LEX and #7 COMPA and #1 BATTLE ANTHEM hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #6 HOPPY TIME, #5 HUGGY, #2 Z STORM IS COMING · hurts #3 LEX, #7 COMPA, #1 BATTLE ANTHEM
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 HUGGY, #2 Z STORM IS COMING, #4 BAD ADVICE).
Helps #5 HUGGY, #2 Z STORM IS COMING, #4 BAD ADVICE · hurts #3 LEX, #7 COMPA, #1 BATTLE ANTHEM
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | LEXGONZALEZ MELVIS | 2.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-12 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 59/90; 2026-08-22 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 31/64 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n4l → Clm 7500n4l | GUERRERO J CARLOS | Favorite |
| 2 | Z STORM IS COMINGRODRIGUEZ YAN | 3.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip2026-08-17 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT my 1/2; 2026-06-26 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT ft 4/54 · barn: change vs RODRIGUEZ MIGUEL A | Clm7500bc → Clm 7500n4l | DIAZ JORGE | primed |
| 1 | BATTLE ANTHEMCASTILLO A | 4.0 | EP | Rising figsTag dropTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-11 PRX 5f 62.80 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-07-22 PRX 5f 61.80 B MT ft 5/7 · barn: same as last | Clm20000b → Clm 7500n4l | GALLIMORE TREVOR | field |
| 5 | HUGGYRAMOS JATNIEL | 5.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-02 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT ft 17/34; 2026-06-16 PRX 4f 48.80 B MT ft 9/33 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n4l → Clm 7500n4l | MOSCO ROBERT | field |
| 6 | HOPPY TIMERUIZ ELISEO | 8.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-05 PRX 4f 48.20 B MT ft 21/74; 2026-07-15 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 15/34 · barn: same as last | OC15000 → Clm 7500n4l | CABAN CARLOS E | field |
| 4 | BAD ADVICEORELLANA SEBASTIAN | 10.0 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-22 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 23/64; 2026-02-21 PRX 4f 51.40 B MT my 27/30 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n1y → Clm 7500n4l | GALLIMORE TREVOR | field |
| 7 | COMPAHENRY PATRICK JR | 12.0 | EP | Same trip2026-06-30 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT ft 17/27; 2026-05-09 PRX 4f 50.80 B MT ft 48/58 · barn: same as last | OC10000 → Clm 7500n4l | THOMPSON MARTIN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R3 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 7500n4l
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#3 #7 #1) → honest-to-pressure pace; closer/stalker bias; inside advantage
- CHALKFavorite#3 LEX · opposable · lone-speed fig is real but pace duel is the likely shape and LEX has wilted in every contested effort since the May win
- LEANWinner call#2 Z STORM IS COMING · stalker, post 2, rail-rally winner last out, fits bias, pace scenario delivers the fractions it needs
- PRIMED#2 Z STORM IS COMING (rising figs, 3rd-start cycle, barn change, rail path)
- PRICEno non-chalk price overlay (model edge on #2 is -0.004; sheet rec PASS)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only primed horse with a clear path is not a model overlay; no qualifying price ticket exists
- KILL#3 LEX clears unchallenged and wire-to-wires; live tote compresses #2 below any playable number
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes day-of
Why
Dirt sprint at the $7,500 claiming level, inside-rail / closer bias, seven runners, moderate-to-high volatility given a wall of early speed that may torch itself. Three need-the-lead types (#3 LEX, #7 COMPA, #1 BATTLE ANTHEM) set up a genuine duel, making scenarios A and B both hostile to the pace and friendly to the rail stalkers and closers; chalk #3 LEX is the most likely speed horse but faces a pressure scenario it has repeatedly failed to survive. #2 Z STORM IS COMING is the ingest-flagged primed horse (rising figs, 3rd-start cycle, barn change) — a stalker from post 2 with a rail-rally win last out at this exact trip, fitting squarely inside the inside-bias profile and in A/B path. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | LEX | 2.0 | 27.1% | 32.9% | +5.8% | 1.18 | E | favoriteRising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | Z STORM IS COMING | 3.0 | 20.3% | 20.0% | -0.4% | 0.33 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 1 | BATTLE ANTHEM | 4.0 | 16.3% | 17.2% | +1.0% | 0.64 | EP | Rising figsTag dropTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | HUGGY | 5.0 | 13.6% | 12.4% | -1.2% | 0.05 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | HOPPY TIME | 8.0 | 9.0% | 8.1% | -0.9% | -0.01 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | BAD ADVICE | 10.0 | 7.4% | 5.0% | -2.4% | -1.19 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 7 | COMPA | 12.0 | 6.3% | 4.4% | -1.9% | -1.01 | EP | Same trip | — |