IND R3 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find IND R3 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#5 #6 #3)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5LARGE POURE
- C2#6ZAPPINITEP
- C3#3WILLYS IN CHARGEEP
- C4#1STRANGERS CHURCHP
- C5#2TAIL GUNNERC
- C6#4MIKES CYCLONEC
Honest pace among #5 LARGE POUR and #6 ZAPPINIT and #3 WILLYS IN CHARGE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 STRANGERS CHURCH · hurts #5 LARGE POUR, #6 ZAPPINIT, #3 WILLYS IN CHARGE
Pressure: #5 LARGE POUR and #6 ZAPPINIT and #3 WILLYS IN CHARGE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 STRANGERS CHURCH · hurts #5 LARGE POUR, #6 ZAPPINIT, #3 WILLYS IN CHARGE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 TAIL GUNNER, #4 MIKES CYCLONE).
Helps #2 TAIL GUNNER, #4 MIKES CYCLONE · hurts #5 LARGE POUR, #6 ZAPPINIT, #3 WILLYS IN CHARGE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LARGE POURBEALMEAR JOSEPH C | 2.5 | E | Led lastSame trip2026-09-15 IND 4f 51.60 B MT ft 42/55; 2026-08-06 IND 5f 61.40 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | sAlw40200n2x → Alw 40000n2x | GRANITZ ANTHONY J | Favorite |
| 3 | WILLYS IN CHARGEBURGOS ALBERTO | 3.0 | EP | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-04-24 IND 3f 36.20 B MT ft bullet 1/16; 2026-04-14 IND 5f 59.60 Bg MT ft bullet 1/25 · barn: same as last | sAlw38000n2l → Alw 40000n2x | KLOPP RANDY | field |
| 1 | STRANGERS CHURCHGUTIERREZ JOSE RAMOS | 3.5 | P | —2026-09-09 IND 5f 66.80 B MT ft 13/14; 2026-08-27 IND 5f 60.60 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: same as last | sAlw41200n2x → Alw 40000n2x | HARAN JOHN | field |
| 6 | ZAPPINITSANJUR SANTO | 5.0 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-08-05 IND 3f 36.20 B MT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-05-08 TTC 3f 37.40 B MT ft 6/20 · barn: same as last | sClm6250 → Alw 40000n2x | SANCHEZ EMMA JIMENEZ | field |
| 4 | MIKES CYCLONEDE LA CRUZ FERNANDO | 6.0 | C | Rising figsHidden paceSharp workSame trip2026-09-19 IND 3f 37.40 B MT ft bullet 1/7; 2026-08-26 IND 4f 52.80 B MT ft 18/20 · barn: same as last | sAlw40200n2x → Alw 40000n2x | HARAN JOHN | primed |
| 2 | TAIL GUNNERPEDROZA MARCELINO | 8.0 | C | Hidden pace2026-06-13 IND 4f 50.00 B MT ft 48/76; 2026-04-30 IND 4f 48.20 B MT ft 16/72 · barn: same as last | sAlw41200n2x → Alw 40000n2x | GRANITZ ANTHONY J | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEIND R3 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1210y · Alw 40000n2x
- SHAPEWall of speed (#5 #6 #3) sets up a duel; stalker/closer path opens in scenarios A and B for #1 STRANGERS CHURCH
- CHALKFavorite#5 LARGE POUR · short/opposable · pace duel likely, dueled-and-couldn't-last last out, figs declining from 86→77 at this condition
- LEANWinner call#1 STRANGERS CHURCH · best model + class fit for a presser with a pace-assisted path in A and B; fig 80 two back on this surface/distance
- PRIMED#4 MIKES CYCLONE — rising figs (68→74), LP 89 last out finishing 5th (pace hidden), bullet work 1/7; path only in B/C
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays in the model
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLPace duel fails to materialize (lone speed clears); #4 or #1 trapped wide with no response
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, track bias, weather
Why
Dirt sprint allowance at IND over a field of six — pace is crowded with three early/pressers (#5, #6, #3) battling for the lead, making this a moderate-to-high volatility race where the speed risks cooking itself. #5 LARGE POUR is the 2.5 chalk with the highest pace figures and a clear early edge, but it dueled and couldn't last last out and faces the same wall of speed today. #4 MIKES CYCLONE is the lone primed closer (rising figs, LP 89 last out finishing 5th, bullet work 1/7) with a legitimate path in the B/C scenarios where the pace duel empties, though the model shows no overlay at 6-1 ML.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LARGE POUR | 2.5 | 24.2% | 31.5% | +7.3% | 1.34 | E | favoriteLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | WILLYS IN CHARGE | 3.0 | 21.2% | 21.9% | +0.7% | 0.41 | EP | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 1 | STRANGERS CHURCH | 3.5 | 18.9% | 16.5% | -2.4% | -0.26 | P | — | |
| 6 | ZAPPINIT | 5.0 | 14.1% | 13.4% | -0.7% | 0.08 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 4 | MIKES CYCLONE | 6.0 | 12.1% | 10.0% | -2.1% | -0.49 | C | Rising figsHidden paceSharp workSame trip | — |
| 2 | TAIL GUNNER | 8.0 | 9.4% | 6.7% | -2.7% | -1.08 | C | Hidden pace | — |