RP R8 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#1 #9 #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1TRUST DADDYEP
- C2#9TIME MUSEEP
- C3#5GET HER NUMBEREP
- C4#3JACKED UPP
- C5#7MIDNIGHT BOSSP
- C6#11IOWA CLUBP
- C7#10HAPPY DANCERS
- C8#6MONEYLINES
- C9#8PARKWAYS
- C10#4GRAND ACADEMICS
- C11#2LEBOMBOS
Honest pace among #1 TRUST DADDY and #9 TIME MUSE and #5 GET HER NUMBER. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #3 JACKED UP, #7 MIDNIGHT BOSS, #11 IOWA CLUB, #10 HAPPY DANCER, #6 MONEYLINE, #8 PARKWAY, #4 GRAND ACADEMIC, #2 LEBOMBO · hurts #1 TRUST DADDY, #9 TIME MUSE, #5 GET HER NUMBER
Pressure: #1 TRUST DADDY and #9 TIME MUSE and #5 GET HER NUMBER hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #3 JACKED UP, #7 MIDNIGHT BOSS, #11 IOWA CLUB, #10 HAPPY DANCER, #6 MONEYLINE, #8 PARKWAY, #4 GRAND ACADEMIC, #2 LEBOMBO · hurts #1 TRUST DADDY, #9 TIME MUSE, #5 GET HER NUMBER
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#10 HAPPY DANCER, #6 MONEYLINE, #8 PARKWAY, #4 GRAND ACADEMIC, #2 LEBOMBO).
Helps #10 HAPPY DANCER, #6 MONEYLINE, #8 PARKWAY, #4 GRAND ACADEMIC, #2 LEBOMBO · hurts #1 TRUST DADDY, #9 TIME MUSE, #5 GET HER NUMBER
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GET HER NUMBERFRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI | 2.0 | EP | Same trip2026-10-03 RP 3f 37.80 H MT ft 11/31; 2026-09-27 RP 4f 51.80 H MT ft 11/13 · barn: same as last | OC20000 → Clm 20000b | DIODORO ROBERTINO | Favorite |
| 3 | JACKED UPERAMIA RICHARD E | 5.0 | P | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-30 RP 5f 61.20 H MT ft 2/9; 2026-09-19 RP 4f 48.80 H MT ft 18/94 · barn: same as last | Clm20000b → Clm 20000b | RARICK WADE | field |
| 7 | MIDNIGHT BOSSWETHEY FLOYD JR | 6.0 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip2026-08-21 RP 5f 63.40 H MT ft 15/19; 2026-08-08 RP 5f 63.40 H MT ft 36/45 · barn: same as last | Clm20000b → Clm 20000b | CAPPELLUCCI DICK | primed |
| 6 | MONEYLINECABRERA DAVID | 8.0 | S | 3rd start cycleTag drop2026-09-12 RP 4f 48.60 H MT ft 8/81; 2026-08-15 RP 4f 52.80 H MT ft 112/118 · barn: same as last | Clm30000n3l → Clm 20000b | DAVIS SHAWN H | field |
| 1 | TRUST DADDYHUCKABY RONNIE | 10.0 | EP | Led lastTop last paceSame trip2026-10-02 RP 4f 49.80 H MT ft 17/37; 2026-08-16 LAD 4f 51.20 B MT ft 14/15 · barn: same as last | OC30000n2x → Clm 20000b | EVANS JUSTIN | field |
| 8 | PARKWAYBACON TYLER W | 10.0 | S | —2026-07-22 PRM 4f 47.60 B MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-06-27 PRM 4f 46.40 B MT ft bullet 1/16 · barn: same as last | Clm10000b → Clm 20000b | FLORES OSCAR | field |
| 2 | LEBOMBOASMUSSEN ERIK | 8.0 | S | 3rd start cycleTag drop2026-09-09 TP 5f 62.40 B MT ft 6/15; 2026-08-29 TP 5f 61.60 B MT ft 13/35 · barn: same as last | Clm30000n3l → Clm 20000b | ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | field |
| 10 | HAPPY DANCERGONCALVES LEANDRO R | 15.0 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-07-25 CBY 4f 50.40 B MT ft 16/20; 2026-06-14 CBY 4f 47.40 Bg MT ft bullet 1/23 · barn: same as last | OC12500n1x → Clm 20000b | LUND VALORIE | field |
| 11 | IOWA CLUBVALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO | 15.0 | P | —2026-08-10 PRM 4f 49.00 B MT ft 9/20; 2026-08-03 PRM 3f 39.00 B MT ft 13/17 · barn: same as last | sTEBranstd100k → Clm 20000b | ROBINSON JASHUA | field |
| 4 | GRAND ACADEMICELLIOTT S | 15.0 | S | Barn change2026-09-26 RP 5f 61.80 H MT ft 17/38; 2026-09-11 RP 5f 62.60 H MT ft 19/25 · barn: change vs CANO JUAN MUNOZ | OC15000b → Clm 20000b | CAPPELLUCCI DICK | field |
| 9 | TIME MUSEQUINONEZ L S | 20.0 | EP | 3rd start cycle2026-05-23 HAW 4f 48.00 B MT ft 4/12; 2026-05-12 HAW 4f 49.80 B MT ft 3/3 · barn: same as last | Clm20000 → Clm 20000b | PADILLA JUAN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACERP R8 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1540y Clm 20000b
- SHAPEThree-way EP duel (#1 #5 #9) sets honest pace; closer/presser bias at this track over 30 days favors mid-pack types
- CHALKFavorite#5 GET HER NUMBER · opposable · runs into a speed duel she has not survived in two straight starts
- LEANWinner call#7 MIDNIGHT BOSS · rising figs, 2nd off layoff, presser with a clear path in A and B
- PRIMED#7 MIDNIGHT BOSS (rising_figs + second_off_layoff)
- PRICEnone per model (no non-chalk overlay clears); #7 at ML 6 is the research number but not a model overlay
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no non-chalk overlay on the morning line; #7 is the research horse but falls short of the price gate
- KILL#5 clears clean at the break and is never headed; #7's last effort "tired late" after leading — stamina doubt at 1540y
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint claiming at RP, wall of three EP types (#1/#5/#9) virtually guarantees an honest-to-honest pace scenario that sets up the presser/stalker tier — field is moderately volatile given the class mix (OC droppers, claimers up, route-to-sprint types). #5 GET HER NUMBER is chalk at ML 2 with genuine figures (100 KEE, 89 CD) and the best overall profile, but the pace map works directly against her EP style today as she draws into a three-way speed battle she has not survived recently (fig 87, fn 3 last out after pace duel). #7 MIDNIGHT BOSS is primed (rising figs 75→84, 2nd off 91-day layoff, led last, same trip) at ML 6 with a presser style that catches the duel if the wall of speed melts — post 7 gives clearance, and the A/B scenario both list him as a beneficiary.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GET HER NUMBER | 2.0 | 26.0% | 32.9% | +6.9% | 1.24 | EP | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 3 | JACKED UP | 5.0 | 13.0% | 12.1% | -0.9% | -0.00 | P | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 7 | MIDNIGHT BOSS | 6.0 | 11.1% | 10.5% | -0.6% | 0.07 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | MONEYLINE | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.3% | -1.3% | -0.36 | S | 3rd start cycleTag drop | — |
| 1 | TRUST DADDY | 10.0 | 7.1% | 7.2% | +0.1% | 0.37 | EP | Led lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 8 | PARKWAY | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.8% | -0.3% | 0.14 | S | — | |
| 2 | LEBOMBO | 8.0 | 8.7% | 6.6% | -2.1% | -0.79 | S | 3rd start cycleTag drop | — |
| 10 | HAPPY DANCER | 15.0 | 4.9% | 5.6% | +0.7% | 0.86 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 11 | IOWA CLUB | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.7% | -1.2% | -0.81 | P | — | |
| 4 | GRAND ACADEMIC | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.7% | -1.2% | -0.85 | S | Barn change | — |
| 9 | TIME MUSE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.6% | -0.1% | 0.14 | EP | 3rd start cycle | — |