ASD R6 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R6 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #6 SOARINGFORTHESUN
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6SOARINGFORTHESUNE
- C2#3NU SOUP FOR BABYS
- C3#2ALTITUDES
- C4#5CAJUN EDDIES
- C5#4ARIOS
- C6#1BROOKLYN ALLEY CATC
#6 SOARINGFORTHESUN controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #6 SOARINGFORTHESUN · hurts #3 NU SOUP FOR BABY, #2 ALTITUDE, #5 CAJUN EDDIE, #4 ARIO, #1 BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT
Someone presses #6 SOARINGFORTHESUN. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #3 NU SOUP FOR BABY, #2 ALTITUDE, #5 CAJUN EDDIE, #4 ARIO · hurts #6 SOARINGFORTHESUN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 NU SOUP FOR BABY, #2 ALTITUDE, #5 CAJUN EDDIE, #4 ARIO, #1 BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT).
Helps #3 NU SOUP FOR BABY, #2 ALTITUDE, #5 CAJUN EDDIE, #4 ARIO, #1 BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT · hurts #6 SOARINGFORTHESUN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NU SOUP FOR BABYKHELAWAN KERRON | 1.4 | S | Same trip2026-05-08 ASD 5f 63.40 H MT ft 1/1; 2026-05-01 ASD 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | OC17500b → Clm 7500 | PHILLIPS BRIAN | Favorite |
| 4 | ARIOWHITEHALL ANTONIO | 3.5 | S | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-07-23 WYO 4f 48.20 B MT ft 3/3; 2026-05-28 WYO 3f 37.60 B MT ft 5/8 · barn: same as last | Clm6875 → Clm 7500 | PIERCE MICHAEL L | field |
| 5 | CAJUN EDDIECHICKENESS S | 3.0 | S | Rising figsTag drop2026-09-16 ASD 4f 52.00 B MT ft 7/9; 2026-06-15 ASD 4f 49.40 B MT ft 3/13 · barn: same as last | Clm10000 → Clm 7500 | GARDIPY TOM JR | field |
| 6 | SOARINGFORTHESUNBYNOE DAMARIO | 5.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-09-02 ASD 3f 37.60 B MT ft 3/9; 2026-06-09 ASD 4f 48.40 B MT ft 2/13 · barn: same as last | Clm7500 → Clm 7500 | ANDERSON WENDY | field |
| 1 | BROOKLYN ALLEY CATMAMDEEN CHRISTOPHER ROY | 8.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-01 ASD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 10/21; 2026-05-03 ASD 3f 37.20 B MT ft 4/10 · barn: same as last | Clm7500 → Clm 7500 | LAING SHERRY | field |
| 2 | ALTITUDEBALROOP SVEN | 30.0 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceSame trip2026-09-09 ASD 5f 63.80 B MT ft 3/3; 2025-09-27 CTD 5f 63.20 H MT ft 8/16 · barn: same as last | Clm7500 → Clm 7500 | JORDAN JENNIFER | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEASD R6 · 2026-09-30 · D 1540y Clm 7500
- SHAPELone speed (#6 SOARINGFORTHESUN) into a speed/rail-biased track; stalkers land right behind in A, but the pace is honest enough that a presser could light up the fractions
- CHALKFavorite#3 NU SOUP FOR BABY · short (1.4) · class drop from OC17500b is real, post 3 inside rail, figures range 64–84, but 1.4 is unplayable price
- LEANWinner call#3 NU SOUP FOR BABY · best overall class, inside post, stalking trip fits A; rail bias makes it the most likely winner
- PRIMED#2 ALTITUDE [rising_figs, second_off_layoff, hidden_pace] — path exists only in B/C; barn 0-0-0/4 this meet, signal -0.60, overlay=false
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlays per sheet; #6 SOARINGFORTHESUN and #4 ARIO are overlay=false)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#6 SOARINGFORTHESUN wires the field on the speed bias; late scratch of #3 flips the shape
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint claiming at ASD — low-to-moderate volatility, six horses, $7,500 tag, speed and inside-rail bias clearly in play. Lone speed #6 SOARINGFORTHESUN gets a clean shape in Scenario A, but the chalk is #3 NU SOUP FOR BABY at 1.4, a stalker with solid figures who is class-dropping from OC17500b and figures to track the speed from post 3 — the model sees essentially zero edge over the market on it. The only primed horse is #2 ALTITUDE (30-1 ML), carrying rising figs, second-off-layoff, and a hidden-pace flag (finished 5th with LP 87 last out), but the model signal is deeply negative, barn stats are brutal, and the inside post gives it a path in B or C only — it is a note, not a play at any realistic odds given the overlay=false model read. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NU SOUP FOR BABY | 1.4 | 34.8% | 35.1% | +0.3% | 0.19 | S | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 4 | ARIO | 3.5 | 18.5% | 20.3% | +1.8% | 0.52 | S | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | CAJUN EDDIE | 3.0 | 20.9% | 19.8% | -1.0% | -0.05 | S | Rising figsTag drop | — |
| 6 | SOARINGFORTHESUN | 5.0 | 13.9% | 14.2% | +0.3% | 0.23 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT | 8.0 | 9.3% | 8.3% | -1.0% | -0.29 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | ALTITUDE | 30.0 | 2.7% | 2.2% | -0.5% | -0.60 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceSame trip | — |