WO R5 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find WO R5 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #4 CLASSIC DANCER
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4CLASSIC DANCERE
- C2#6GRAFFITI WRITERP
- C3#3BREAK THE SPELLC
- C4#7COMPTONC
- C5#2CIRCLE BACK JACKS
- C6#5ADAPTEDS
- C7#1CONN SMYTHEC
#4 CLASSIC DANCER controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #4 CLASSIC DANCER · hurts #3 BREAK THE SPELL, #7 COMPTON, #2 CIRCLE BACK JACK, #5 ADAPTED, #1 CONN SMYTHE
Someone presses #4 CLASSIC DANCER. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #6 GRAFFITI WRITER, #2 CIRCLE BACK JACK, #5 ADAPTED · hurts #4 CLASSIC DANCER
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 BREAK THE SPELL, #7 COMPTON, #2 CIRCLE BACK JACK, #5 ADAPTED, #1 CONN SMYTHE).
Helps #3 BREAK THE SPELL, #7 COMPTON, #2 CIRCLE BACK JACK, #5 ADAPTED, #1 CONN SMYTHE · hurts #4 CLASSIC DANCER
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | COMPTONAEBLY FRASER | 2.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-09 WO 4f 47.80 B MT ft 11/87; 2026-07-19 WO 5f 61.40 B MT ft 21/67 · barn: same as last | Alw7500s → Alw 7500s | BANACH DARWIN D | Favorite |
| 6 | GRAFFITI WRITERHERNANDEZ RAFAEL MANUEL | 2.5 | P | Same trip2026-09-13 WO 4f 50.60 B MT ft 50/57; 2026-08-21 WO 4f 48.00 B MT ft 9/30 · barn: same as last | Alw7500s → Alw 7500s | CHIRCOP STEVEN | Favorite |
| 3 | BREAK THE SPELLWILSON EMMA JAYNE | 3.0 | C | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastTop last figTop last pace2026-10-02 WO 4f 49.80 B MT ft 36/48; 2026-09-25 WO 5f 60.60 B MT ft 2/14 · barn: same as last | Alw7500s → Alw 7500s | JONES RYAN A | primed |
| 4 | CLASSIC DANCERDEFREITAS C | 6.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-05-15 WO 5f 61.00 B TT ft 3/6; 2026-04-22 WO 4f 49.80 B TT ft 3/3 · barn: same as last | Alw7500s → Alw 7500s | RAGHUNATH SWARESH RAYMOND | field |
| 2 | CIRCLE BACK JACKGASKIN DA-SEAN ZAVIER | 8.0 | S | Same trip2026-08-16 WO 3f 35.20 B MT ft 2/18; 2026-04-26 WO 4f 49.00 B MT ft 26/124 · barn: same as last | Alw7500s → Alw 7500s | BELHUMEUR JULIE | field |
| 5 | ADAPTEDFORDE XAREL | 15.0 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-12 WO 5f 61.00 B MT ft 7/14; 2026-08-28 WO 5f 62.60 B MT ft 13/15 · barn: same as last | Alw7500s → Alw 7500s | FAIRLIE SCOTT H | primed |
| 1 | CONN SMYTHEDOUGLAS CHRISTOFF | 20.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-20 FE 3f 39.80 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-05-02 WO 4f 49.20 B MT ft 32/116 · barn: same as last | Clm10000b → Alw 7500s | MAYNARD DESMOND | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEWO R5 · 2026-10-09 · D (AW) 1870y · Alw 7500s
- SHAPELone speed #4 CLASSIC DANCER; rest closers/stalkers; pressure moderate — soft-lead scenario favors the speed early, closers need a pace scenario to develop
- CHALKFavorite#7 COMPTON (ML 2) / #6 GRAFFITI WRITER (ML 2.5) · both short; COMPTON solid on AW route form (fig 83, win Aug-28), GRAFFITI WRITER usable but short with a negative TJ ROI; neither is a fade on shape, both are automatic price passes
- LEANWinner call#3 BREAK THE SPELL · 2nd off layoff + trouble last + top fig + top late pace; best overall credentials at a workable price
- PRIMED#3 BREAK THE SPELL [2nd off layoff, trouble last, top last fig 82, top last pace LP 90] · #5 ADAPTED [rising figs, 2nd off layoff] — ADAPTED is primed on flags but signal and pace factors are negative; subordinate
- PRICE#3 BREAK THE SPELL · model edge 0.032 · ML 3
- PLAYPrice ticket#3 BREAK THE SPELL · min 3-1 · WIN — if the board is shorter than 3-1 at post, PASS
- KILLCLASSIC DANCER steals a gate-to-wire on a soft pace and no closer can generate a run; also, if BREAK THE SPELL's trouble last was a one-off and the fig overstates her, the edge evaporates
- MISSINGlive tote (ML only), official scratches post-ingest, weather/surface condition, rider changes
Why
Woodbine R5 is a 1870y all-weather route at the allowance level, seven starters, moderate volatility with a clean lone-speed map and a pair of primed price horses in the closing ranks. #4 CLASSIC DANCER is the lone E in a field of closers and stalkers, giving it a comfortable soft lead under Scenario A, but the chalk call belongs to #7 COMPTON (ML 2) and #6 GRAFFITI WRITER (ML 2.5), both of whom closed last time on turf and now return to the dirt/AW route they know. #3 BREAK THE SPELL carries four ready flags — second off a 48-day layoff, trouble last (checked at the start, six-wide in the stretch), top fig in the field (82), and top late pace (90) — and as a closer has a path in Scenario C if the pace empties, or can pick up the pieces behind the lone speed in A if CLASSIC DANCER fades. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | COMPTON | 2.0 | 27.0% | 27.9% | +0.8% | 0.56 | C | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 6 | GRAFFITI WRITER | 2.5 | 23.2% | 24.0% | +0.9% | 0.59 | P | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 3 | BREAK THE SPELL | 3.0 | 20.3% | 23.5% | +3.2% | 1.03 | C | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastTop last figTop last pace | — |
| 4 | CLASSIC DANCER | 6.0 | 11.6% | 10.2% | -1.4% | -0.09 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | CIRCLE BACK JACK | 8.0 | 9.0% | 8.2% | -0.8% | 0.06 | S | Same trip | — |
| 5 | ADAPTED | 15.0 | 5.1% | 4.0% | -1.1% | -0.54 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 1 | CONN SMYTHE | 20.0 | 3.9% | 2.3% | -1.5% | -1.61 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |