PID R6 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R6 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#1 #3 #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1THANK YOU AMYE
- C2#3THE BOYS WARRIOREP
- C3#2KING MENDELSSOHNE
- C4#4HECTORP
- C5#5THORN OF HEARTSS
- C6#6READY SET CAIROS
Honest pace among #1 THANK YOU AMY and #3 THE BOYS WARRIOR and #2 KING MENDELSSOHN. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 HECTOR, #5 THORN OF HEARTS, #6 READY SET CAIRO · hurts #1 THANK YOU AMY, #3 THE BOYS WARRIOR, #2 KING MENDELSSOHN
Pressure: #1 THANK YOU AMY and #3 THE BOYS WARRIOR and #2 KING MENDELSSOHN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 HECTOR, #5 THORN OF HEARTS, #6 READY SET CAIRO · hurts #1 THANK YOU AMY, #3 THE BOYS WARRIOR, #2 KING MENDELSSOHN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 THORN OF HEARTS, #6 READY SET CAIRO).
Helps #5 THORN OF HEARTS, #6 READY SET CAIRO · hurts #1 THANK YOU AMY, #3 THE BOYS WARRIOR, #2 KING MENDELSSOHN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | KING MENDELSSOHNMONTANEZ ROSARIO | 1.6 | E | Led last2026-09-16 PID 4f 46.80 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-09-09 PID 3f 37.20 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | sOC25000b → OClm 25000b | DAVIS SCOOTER | Favorite |
| 3 | THE BOYS WARRIORKINGSLEY TAYLOR | 3.0 | EP | Same trip2026-09-11 PID 5f 57.80 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-09-01 PID 5f 59.20 Bg MT ft 2/5 · barn: same as last | sPwrByFarB75k → OClm 25000b | DAVIS SCOOTER | overlay |
| 5 | THORN OF HEARTSRODRIGUEZ ISRAEL O | 2.5 | S | Class dropSame trip2026-07-31 PID 4f 48.40 B MT ft 6/21; 2026-07-15 PID 4f 48.60 B MT ft 9/13 · barn: same as last | Alw39600n1x → OClm 25000b | PAPPADA MICHAEL C | Favorite |
| 4 | HECTORSPIETH S | 4.5 | P | —2026-09-17 PID 4f 48.20 Bg MT ft 2/10; 2026-09-09 PID 4f 47.40 B MT ft bullet 1/9 · barn: same as last | sOC25000b → OClm 25000b | POTTS RON G JR | field |
| 6 | READY SET CAIROGALLARDO ANTONIO A | 6.0 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-07-09 PID 4f 49.80 B MT ft 16/23; 2026-07-03 PID 3f 36.00 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | sOC12500b → OClm 25000b | PAPPADA MICHAEL C | field |
| 1 | THANK YOU AMYPRUITT CIERA | 12.0 | E | Top last paceSame trip2026-09-24 PID 4f 48.00 B MT ft 2/14; 2026-09-17 PID 4f 48.40 B MT ft 4/10 · barn: same as last | fOC40000b → OClm 25000b | POTTS RON G JR | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R6 · 2026-10-07 · D 1320y OClm 25000b
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#1 #2 #3) → honest-to-pressured pace; stalkers #5 #6 and presser #3 are shape beneficiaries in A and B
- CHALKFavorite#2 KING MENDELSSOHN · short (1.6 ML) · route-to-sprint, figs softened last out (78 vs 84-85 peak), duel likely hurts it
- LEANWinner call#2 KING MENDELSSOHN · best figures, 2nd off layoff angle, bullet work — survives the pace if it clears; no overlay at 1.6
- PRIMEDnone (no horse reaches 2+ flags)
- PRICE#3 THE BOYS WARRIOR · ML 3 · model edge 0.040 · top zSpeed 1.36 · zPace 1.08 · recent bullet 1/4 at 5f; EP style can sit second and pounce if #1/#2 hook
- PLAYPrice ticket#3 THE BOYS WARRIOR · min 3-1 · WIN
- KILL#2 KING MENDELSSOHN clears cleanly at a relaxed pace and wire-to-wires; #3 drops back to 3rd call and gets buried inside traffic; live tote compresses #3 below 3-1
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint claiming at Philadelphia Park, six horses, moderate-to-high volatility given the wall of early speed and a class-drop favorite making its first sprint at this tag. Three early types (#1, #2, #3) are projected to fill the first three calls, setting up an honest-to-pressured pace that historically benefits stalkers/closers at this track (inside rail bias noted, but speed here is likely to burn out), while chalk #2 KING MENDELSSOHN is a short 8-5 off a route and sitting on figs (78-84-85) that are solid but not dominant at this sprint distance. No horse reaches the two-flag PRIMED threshold, though #3 THE BOYS WARRIOR is the one non-chalk overlay flagged by the model with strong pace factors and a recent five-furlong bullet.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | KING MENDELSSOHN | 1.6 | 29.1% | 31.6% | +2.5% | 0.54 | E | favoriteLed last | — |
| 3 | THE BOYS WARRIOR | 3.0 | 18.9% | 22.9% | +4.0% | 0.98 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 5 | THORN OF HEARTS | 2.5 | 21.6% | 20.3% | -1.3% | -0.03 | S | favoriteClass dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | HECTOR | 4.5 | 13.8% | 10.4% | -3.3% | -0.90 | P | — | |
| 6 | READY SET CAIRO | 6.0 | 10.8% | 9.8% | -1.1% | -0.20 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 1 | THANK YOU AMY | 12.0 | 5.8% | 5.0% | -0.8% | -0.40 | E | Top last paceSame trip | — |