closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

PRX R4 · 2026-10-07

WATCHD1830y1 price overlay(s)2 readyPLAY lookRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R4 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#6 #2 #1 #7)

Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#6TRANSCENDENTALEP
  2. C2#2YOUBETTERBEJOKINGEP
  3. C3#1CATCH THE SMOKEEP
  4. C4#4HERMOSO HOMBRES
  5. C5#5NIXON JOYC
  6. C6#7BRAVE BEAREP
  7. C7#8HEY PORTERC
  8. C8#3MASTER OF NONEC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #6 TRANSCENDENTAL and #2 YOUBETTERBEJOKING and #1 CATCH THE SMOKE and #7 BRAVE BEAR. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #4 HERMOSO HOMBRE · hurts #6 TRANSCENDENTAL, #2 YOUBETTERBEJOKING, #1 CATCH THE SMOKE, #7 BRAVE BEAR

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #6 TRANSCENDENTAL and #2 YOUBETTERBEJOKING and #1 CATCH THE SMOKE and #7 BRAVE BEAR hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #4 HERMOSO HOMBRE · hurts #6 TRANSCENDENTAL, #2 YOUBETTERBEJOKING, #1 CATCH THE SMOKE, #7 BRAVE BEAR

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 HERMOSO HOMBRE, #5 NIXON JOY, #8 HEY PORTER, #3 MASTER OF NONE).

Helps #4 HERMOSO HOMBRE, #5 NIXON JOY, #8 HEY PORTER, #3 MASTER OF NONE · hurts #6 TRANSCENDENTAL, #2 YOUBETTERBEJOKING, #1 CATCH THE SMOKE, #7 BRAVE BEAR

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
6TRANSCENDENTALVARGAS JORGE A JR2.0EPRising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip2026-09-30 PRX 5f 61.40 B MT ft 19/30; 2026-09-09 PRX 5f 62.80 B MT ft 12/15 · barn: same as lastOC10000 → OClm 10000PADILLA ESTEBANFavorite
2YOUBETTERBEJOKINGSILVERA RUBEN3.5EPTag dropBarn changeSharp workSame trip2026-09-29 PRX 5f 60.80 B MT gd 1/2; 2026-08-10 PRX 5f 61.60 B MT ft 4/16 · barn: change vs VEGA RICHARDClm16000c → OClm 10000PADILLA ESTEBANfield
4HERMOSO HOMBREHADDOCK DEXTER4.5S2nd off layoffTop last paceSame trip2026-08-29 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 32/44; 2026-07-08 PRX 5f 61.20 B MT ft 4/27 · barn: same as lastOC10000 → OClm 10000HAMILTON STEPHENoverlay
8HEY PORTERMARTINEZ FRANCISCO5.0CRising figsBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-09-12 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 82/90; 2025-10-01 PRX 5f 61.80 B MT ft 5/9 · barn: change vs FLORES-COBA FELIX LClm5000n1yc → OClm 10000SOTO- MARTINEZ ELLIOTTfield
1CATCH THE SMOKERUIZ ELISEO5.0EPRising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-01 MTH 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/7; 2026-08-16 MTH 4f 48.80 B MT ft 19/109 · barn: same as lastClm12500 → OClm 10000POTTS WAYNEfield
5NIXON JOYRANGEL JOEZER12.0CHidden paceSame trip2026-10-01 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 7/17; 2026-09-08 PRX 4f 48.40 B MT ft 6/15 · barn: same as lastOC10000 → OClm 10000SANTAELLA-CALDERON JOSE Mfield
3MASTER OF NONERIVERA KENDRY12.0CRising figsHidden paceBarn changeSame trip2026-05-31 MTH 5f 62.40 B MT ft 5/11; 2026-05-15 PRX 3f 36.00 B MT ft 1/3 · barn: change vs CROOK-DEMASI KATHLEEClm7500n1yc → OClm 10000BETANCOURT ELI JRprimed
7BRAVE BEARAGUILAR JEAN10.0EPTrouble lastClass dropBarn changeSharp workSame trip2026-09-30 MTH 5f 61.40 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-09-19 MTH 4f 51.60 B MT ft 84/85 · barn: change vs PANTALEO JOSEPHAlw5000s → OClm 10000BERNARDINI JUAN Gprimed

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade
  1. RACEPRX R4 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1830y · OClm 10000
  2. SHAPEWall of EP speed (#6 #2 #1 #7) sets up pressure/duel; rail-bias track favors inside closers; stalker with late kick is the shape horse
  3. CHALKFavorite#6 TRANSCENDENTAL · short (2-1) · solid form, 2nd-off-layoff cycle, but post 6 fights the rail bias and she enters the expected pace duel
  4. LEANWinner call#6 TRANSCENDENTAL · best overall form, honest pace suits her enough at 2nd off layoff
  5. PRIMED#4 HERMOSO HOMBRE (2nd off layoff, LP 113 tops field, stalker path fits A/B); #3 MASTER OF NONE (rising figs +15, hidden pace, barn change — but class-up to OClm 10k and weak trainer route stats temper it)
  6. PRICE#4 HERMOSO HOMBRE edge 0.023 · fair at 4-1 or longer
  7. PLAYPrice ticket#4 HERMOSO HOMBRE · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if board is shorter)
  8. KILLChalk clears the duel uncontested or rivals scratch to thin the pace; Hamilton barn is 3.7% to win in dirt routes — trainer stat is a real drag on confidence
  9. MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt route, OC claiming $10,000, field of eight, moderate-to-high volatility with four EP/presser types lined up to duel and a strong inside-rail closer bias.

Wall of speed (#6 #2 #1 #7) projects an honest-to-hot pace that should set up the stalker/closer flow; chalk #6 TRANSCENDENTAL is solid on form but draws outside post 6 against a rail bias and is a pace duel participant—usable, not opposable, but short.

#4 HERMOSO HOMBRE is the model's non-chalk overlay: stalker from post 4, top late-pace figure last out (LP 113), 2nd-off-layoff cycle, and A/B path squarely in the beneficiary column if the expected duel materializes.

```
```

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#4 HERMOSO HOMBRE+2.3%ML 4.52nd off layoffTop last paceSame trip
Sign in to bet

Ready, not overlaid

#3 MASTER OF NONEML 12.0Rising figsHidden paceBarn changeSame trip
#7 BRAVE BEARML 10.0Trouble lastClass dropBarn changeSharp workSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
6TRANSCENDENTAL2.025.3%27.8%+2.5%0.63EPfavoriteRising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip—
2YOUBETTERBEJOKING3.516.9%16.1%-0.8%0.07EPTag dropBarn changeSharp workSame trip—
4HERMOSO HOMBRE4.513.8%16.1%+2.3%0.86S2nd off layoffTop last paceSame trip—
8HEY PORTER5.012.7%13.8%+1.1%0.59CRising figsBarn changeTop last figSame trip—
1CATCH THE SMOKE5.012.7%11.1%-1.5%-0.26EPRising figsTag dropSame trip—
5NIXON JOY12.05.8%6.1%+0.3%0.45CHidden paceSame trip—
3MASTER OF NONE12.05.8%5.0%-0.9%-0.40CRising figsHidden paceBarn changeSame trip—
7BRAVE BEAR10.06.9%4.0%-2.9%-1.94EPTrouble lastClass dropBarn changeSharp workSame trip—