RP R6 · 2026-09-27
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find RP R6 · 2026-09-27 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #3 SPECIALCHARLATAN
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3SPECIALCHARLATANEP
- C2#8DONT WORRY BOUT ITUU
- C3#2CONNIESCALCULATORP
- C4#4KAMIKAZE COWGIRLP
- C5#1GUN MAGICUU
- C6#6ANGELFORBLUESKIESS
- C7#7TEXAS DANDELIONC
- C8#5SORCHAS
#3 SPECIALCHARLATAN controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #3 SPECIALCHARLATAN · hurts #6 ANGELFORBLUESKIES, #7 TEXAS DANDELION, #5 SORCHA
Someone presses #3 SPECIALCHARLATAN. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #2 CONNIESCALCULATOR, #4 KAMIKAZE COWGIRL, #6 ANGELFORBLUESKIES, #5 SORCHA · hurts #3 SPECIALCHARLATAN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 ANGELFORBLUESKIES, #7 TEXAS DANDELION, #5 SORCHA).
Helps #6 ANGELFORBLUESKIES, #7 TEXAS DANDELION, #5 SORCHA · hurts #3 SPECIALCHARLATAN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | DONT WORRY BOUT ITVAZQUEZ R A | 2.5 | U | Sharp workSame trip2026-09-20 RP 4f 49.20 H MT ft bullet 1/7; 2026-08-29 RP 4f 49.80 H MT ft 32/100 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → ScisrtailB50k | GUSTAFSON AUSTIN | Favorite |
| 6 | ANGELFORBLUESKIESDIEGO I V | 4.5 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-20 RP 5f 62.00 H MT ft 3/4; 2026-09-11 RP 4f 51.20 H MT ft 39/46 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → ScisrtailB50k | ASHFORD TRISTAN | primed |
| 7 | TEXAS DANDELIONLOPEZ PASCACIO | 3.5 | C | Same trip2026-09-20 CD 4f 48.60 B MT ft 29/100; 2026-09-13 CD 4f 48.20 B MT ft 5/107 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → ScisrtailB50k | SHARP JOE | field |
| 4 | KAMIKAZE COWGIRLHAMILTON WESTON | 5.0 | P | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-19 RP 4f 49.00 H MT ft 21/94; 2026-08-29 RP 3f 38.00 H MT ft 13/45 · barn: same as last | fAlw39000n1x → ScisrtailB50k | PISH DANNY | field |
| 5 | SORCHACABRERA DAVID | 6.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-18 RP 5f 61.20 H MT ft 5/22; 2026-08-26 RP 5f 62.40 H MT ft 12/18 · barn: same as last | fAlw39000n1x → ScisrtailB50k | FINCHER TODD W | field |
| 2 | CONNIESCALCULATORPARKER D L | 8.0 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip2026-09-19 RP 4f 49.20 H MT ft 24/94; 2026-09-12 RP 4f 50.60 H MT ft 59/81 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → ScisrtailB50k | PISH DANNY | primed |
| 3 | SPECIALCHARLATANBIRZER A E | 10.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-18 PRM 5f 64.00 Hg MT ft 1/2; 2026-07-05 LS 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 27/61 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → ScisrtailB50k | ASHFORD LOGAN | field |
| 1 | GUN MAGICDIAZ RENE | 12.0 | U | Sharp work2026-09-17 RP 4f 47.60 H MT ft bullet 1/21; 2026-09-10 RP 5f 61.20 Hg MT ft 5/18 · barn: CRAVENS RONNIE III (no last-line barn) | — → ScisrtailB50k | CRAVENS RONNIE III | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACERP R6 · 2026-09-27 · Dirt 1430y · ScisrtailB50k
- SHAPELone speed (#3) into a speed/rail-biased track; chalk sits comfortably off the pace from post 8 in scenario B
- CHALKFavorite#8 DONT WORRY BOUT IT · solid · bullet work, top zPace, clean stalking trip off a maiden win; short at 2.5 but rightfully so
- LEANWinner call#8 DONT WORRY BOUT IT · lone speed collapses or not, this horse has the tactical speed to sit and pounce; best overall profile
- PRIMED#6 ANGELFORBLUESKIES (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, led last) · #2 CONNIESCALCULATOR (rising figs +19, 2nd off layoff, led last — but Pish 2nd-off barn hits 8% at -1.33 ROI, zSpeed deeply negative)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays in the field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#3 SPECIALCHARLATAN steals a clear, uncontested lead and the fractions never honest; #6 fires a second-start bounce with a pace melt
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at RP, ScisrtailB50k for 2YOs, speed and rail heavily favored (71% early-speed winners, 57% posts 1-3) — moderate volatility given the young, lightly-raced field. #3 SPECIALCHARLATAN projects to lone speed with pace map support, but that horse's best fig of 60 is well below the field leader, making #8 DONT WORRY BOUT IT the chalk at 2.5 with a sharp bullet and a clean pace path stalking from post 8 in scenario B. #6 ANGELFORBLUESKIES is the only primed non-chalk (rising figs 74→79, 2nd off layoff, led at the first call last out), but the model shows no overlay and the ingested sheet flags no price horses.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | DONT WORRY BOUT IT | 2.5 | 22.4% | 26.5% | +4.2% | 0.80 | U | favoriteSharp workSame trip | — |
| 6 | ANGELFORBLUESKIES | 4.5 | 14.2% | 15.6% | +1.4% | 0.49 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 7 | TEXAS DANDELION | 3.5 | 17.4% | 14.9% | -2.4% | -0.49 | C | Same trip | — |
| 4 | KAMIKAZE COWGIRL | 5.0 | 13.0% | 12.4% | -0.6% | -0.08 | P | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 5 | SORCHA | 6.0 | 11.2% | 9.7% | -1.5% | -0.47 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | CONNIESCALCULATOR | 8.0 | 8.7% | 8.5% | -0.1% | 0.05 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | SPECIALCHARLATAN | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.4% | -0.7% | -0.29 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | GUN MAGIC | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.9% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | Sharp work | — |