PID R3 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R3 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#4 vs #3)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4BORDER CONTROLE
- C2#5MS BRIGHTSIDEP
- C3#3NIGHT NURSEE
- C4#1VALIANT ENYAC
- C5#6LA ARTISTAS
- C6#2TIGER DIVISIONS
Honest pace among #4 BORDER CONTROL and #3 NIGHT NURSE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 MS BRIGHTSIDE, #6 LA ARTISTA, #2 TIGER DIVISION · hurts #4 BORDER CONTROL, #3 NIGHT NURSE
Pressure: #4 BORDER CONTROL and #3 NIGHT NURSE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 MS BRIGHTSIDE, #6 LA ARTISTA, #2 TIGER DIVISION · hurts #4 BORDER CONTROL, #3 NIGHT NURSE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 VALIANT ENYA, #6 LA ARTISTA, #2 TIGER DIVISION).
Helps #1 VALIANT ENYA, #6 LA ARTISTA, #2 TIGER DIVISION · hurts #4 BORDER CONTROL, #3 NIGHT NURSE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TIGER DIVISIONMONTANEZ ROSARIO | 2.5 | S | Rising figsClass drop2026-08-10 MNR 4f 48.80 B MT ft 3/16; 2026-08-01 MNR 4f 49.20 B MT ft 2/8 · barn: same as last | fAlw32920n1x → OClm 40000b | PAPPADA MICHAEL C | Favorite |
| 6 | LA ARTISTAGALLARDO ANTONIO A | 3.0 | S | Top last paceSame trip2026-09-07 PID 5f 62.80 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-08-01 TDN 4f 50.40 B MT ft 7/14 · barn: same as last | fOC40000n2x → OClm 40000b | KINTZ S MATTHEW | field |
| 4 | BORDER CONTROLMARTINEZ GADDIEL A | 2.0 | E | Led lastSame trip2026-09-07 PID 3f 35.20 B MT ft bullet 1/6; 2026-08-14 PID 4f 52.20 B MT ft 13/14 · barn: same as last | fOC40000n2x → OClm 40000b | RICE KEVIN | Favorite |
| 5 | MS BRIGHTSIDESPIETH S | 4.0 | P | Same trip2026-08-04 PID 4f 49.80 B MT ft 12/16; 2026-06-29 PID 4f 48.60 B MT ft 7/8 · barn: same as last | fOC40000n2x → OClm 40000b | GONZALEZ ALDANA | field |
| 3 | NIGHT NURSEAYALA ADDIEL J | 5.0 | E | Class dropLed lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-28 PID 5f 60.20 Bg MT ft bullet 1/6; 2026-08-27 PID 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 9/13 · barn: same as last | fAlw43290n1x → OClm 40000b | RICE KEVIN | field |
| 1 | VALIANT ENYAALLEN M | 10.0 | C | Class dropSame trip2026-05-13 HHT 4f 51.20 Hg MT ft 6/16; 2026-04-26 HHT 4f 51.00 B MT ft bullet 1/14 · barn: same as last | fAlw21560b → OClm 40000b | FENNESSY JOHN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R3 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1830y · OClm 40000b
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#4 vs #3) favors stalkers/closers; inside-rail bias at PID; both speed types are pace-vulnerable and figure-thin in routes
- CHALKFavorite#4 BORDER CONTROL 2-1 · opposable · speed dueling partner, model underlay (-0.06), route figs 68-70-71 are weak for the price, LP 80-93 shows late residual but has emptied twice in this format
- LEANWinner call#2 TIGER DIVISION · rising figs (73→75→73→80), won last, drops from fAlw into OC claiming, inside post in a bias-favoring rail, stalker style benefits in A and B — but chalk
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse clears 2+ computed flags)
- PRICEnone (only overlay is chalk #2; #6 LA ARTISTA and #1 VALIANT ENYA are below overlay threshold; sheet rec PASS confirmed)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#3 NIGHT NURSE gets clear from post 3 and wires them; rail bias gives her a free lane and her last two figs (80-81) are the field's best recent numbers
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt route, OC/Claiming 40000, six horses, moderate-to-high volatility with two legitimate speed types and a thin field where pace shape dominates. Shape is a two-speed duel (#4 BORDER CONTROL vs #3 NIGHT NURSE) into a biased inside rail, making both chalk figures suspect while stalkers and closers inherit the scenario; #4 is the shorter chalk (2-1 ML, model underlay at -0.060) and is opposable on shape. No horse clears the PRIMED threshold (2+ computed flags outside chalk), and the only model overlay among non-chalk horses is #2 TIGER DIVISION — but #2 is also chalk (ML 2.5, shortest or tied shortest in a 6-horse field).
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TIGER DIVISION | 2.5 | 21.5% | 24.2% | +2.6% | 0.38 | S | favoriteRising figsClass drop | — |
| 6 | LA ARTISTA | 3.0 | 18.8% | 20.2% | +1.3% | 0.20 | S | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 4 | BORDER CONTROL | 2.0 | 25.1% | 19.1% | -6.0% | -1.17 | E | favoriteLed lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | MS BRIGHTSIDE | 4.0 | 15.1% | 15.9% | +0.8% | 0.13 | P | Same trip | — |
| 3 | NIGHT NURSE | 5.0 | 12.6% | 12.7% | +0.2% | -0.03 | E | Class dropLed lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 1 | VALIANT ENYA | 10.0 | 6.9% | 7.9% | +1.1% | 0.49 | C | Class dropSame trip | — |