LS R3 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LS R3 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3ELECTRIKUU
- C2#2JESS GO AWAYUU
- C3#8SWITOWSKIUU
- C4#9CARTELITO POOLUU
- C5#4JM ROSEUU
- C6#12CORONA CONQUERS YOUUU
- C7#7INDIAN CARTELUU
- C8#1SG GOOD VIBRATIONSUU
- C9#6RG JES A FREAKN CASHUU
- C10#10C SHES LUCKY LADYUU
- C11#11ISAYISAYBOYUU
- C12#5RIGHTOUS REDUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ELECTRIKVILLATORO NOE | 3.0 | U | Tag dropSame trip2026-07-11 RET 1f 12.20 B MT ft 3/20; 2026-06-27 RET 1f 12.40 B MT ft 13/29 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 7500 | GUZMAN ADAN | Favorite |
| 2 | JESS GO AWAYMARTINEZ OLIVER E | 3.5 | U | Tag dropSharp workSame trip2026-09-29 LS 3f 38.00 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-03-20 RET 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 2/13 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Md 7500 | LEWIS ARNOLD | overlay |
| 8 | SWITOWSKIRIVERA ALI | 5.0 | U | Trouble lastMSW → MCLBarn changeSame trip2026-06-04 DED 1f 13.00 B MT my 11/19; 2026-03-27 RET 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 8/27 · barn: change vs CASTRO CARLOS GABRIEL | MdSpWt → Md 7500 | BAEZA HARVEY | field |
| 9 | CARTELITO POOLURIETA VICTOR MANUEL JR | 6.0 | U | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-04-21 HOU 1f 12.20 B MT sy 16/32; 2025-09-05 LS 1f 11.40 B MT ft 4/17 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Md 7500 | HINOJOSA ISIDRO | field |
| 4 | JM ROSEDELAROSA RUBEN JR | 8.0 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-03-26 RET 1f 13.80 H MT ft 20/20; 2025-05-02 HOU 1f 12.00 Bg MT ft 10/21 · barn: same as last | Md7500 → Md 7500 | CHAPA JOE | primed |
| 12 | CORONA CONQUERS YOURAMIREZ JR JR | 8.0 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip2026-09-16 LS 3f 38.20 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-08-01 RET 3f 37.80 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md 7500 | COX SHAE L | field |
| 7 | INDIAN CARTELALVAREZ ARTURO | 8.0 | U | Same trip2026-04-22 HOU 1.1f 13.40 Bg MT sy 3/21; 2026-01-28 HOU 3f 39.40 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | Md5000 → Md 7500 | AGUIRRE RICARDO | field |
| 1 | SG GOOD VIBRATIONSCONTRERAS ALFREDO | 12.0 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip2026-09-15 LS 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 13/15; 2026-06-17 LS 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 3/7 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md 7500 | BIRDOW OSCAR | field |
| 6 | RG JES A FREAKN CASHMARTINEZ OLVIN JOSUE | 15.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-03-20 LAD 3f 37.20 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-03-10 LAD 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 26/60 · barn: same as last | Md5000 → Md 7500 | MUNIZ JANESSA LEE | field |
| 10 | C SHES LUCKY LADYHERNANDEZ H JAVIER | 12.0 | U | 3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip2026-08-05 RET 1f 12.00 B MT ft 2/7; 2026-04-16 HOU 1f 11.80 B MT ft bullet 1/29 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 7500 | VALLEJO RICARDO ALONSO | field |
| 11 | ISAYISAYBOYAGUILAR CLAUDIO PONCE | 20.0 | U | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-29 LS 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 13/19; 2026-08-07 RET 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 11/16 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Md 7500 | SANCHEZ ANGEL | field |
| 5 | RIGHTOUS REDMORALES-ALONZO BRAYAN | 20.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-03 LS 1f 13.20 Bg MT ft 26/31; 2026-04-14 LS 3f 38.40 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: change vs AGUILAR ERIC ANDREW | Md7500 → Md 7500 | AGUILAR ERIC | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELS R3 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 440y · Md 7500 · field 12
- SHAPEAll styles unknown; pace map void; volatility extreme
- CHALKFavorite#3 ELECTRIK · short · class drop is real but fig trend declining (88→82→77) and trainer ROI -0.90 in maiden claiming
- LEANWinner call#2 JESS GO AWAY · best signal (0.81), highest zSpeed (1.60), double class drop, sharp recent work
- PRIMED#4 JM ROSE (rising figs +8, trouble last — stumbled start)
- PRICE#2 JESS GO AWAY · ML 3.5 · edge 0.025 (only overlay)
- PLAYPrice ticket#2 JESS GO AWAY · win · min 3-1 (at 5-2 or shorter, PASS)
- KILLPace chaos that produces a wire job from an unknown early type; tote collapses the price below floor; late scratch of #2
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes, bias data
Why
Dirt 440y maiden claimer at Lone Star, field of 12, high volatility with all styles unknown and a chaotic pace map that tells us nothing reliable. Shape is a complete mystery — every horse graded U — making this a form-and-class puzzle rather than a pace play; chalk #3 ELECTRIK is a class dropper (Md10000→Md7500) with the top model number but a negative-ROI trainer in maiden claiming and a fig line that actually ran *backward* into its last start (88→82→77). #4 JM ROSE is the ingested primed horse (rising figs +8 last out, stumbled start excuse), but the model edge is a thin 0.005 and the ML of 8-1 may not survive the tote on a race this murky; #2 JESS GO AWAY is the only true overlay (signal 0.81, zSpeed 1.60, sharp 3f bullet 1/1 on 9/29, double class drop Md15000→Md7500, fig 94 in the recent file) and is the play. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ELECTRIK | 3.0 | 17.5% | 18.4% | +0.9% | 0.42 | U | favoriteTag dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | JESS GO AWAY | 3.5 | 15.6% | 18.1% | +2.5% | 0.81 | U | Tag dropSharp workSame trip | — |
| 8 | SWITOWSKI | 5.0 | 11.7% | 11.0% | -0.7% | -0.04 | U | Trouble lastMSW → MCLBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 9 | CARTELITO POOL | 6.0 | 10.0% | 10.7% | +0.7% | 0.47 | U | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | JM ROSE | 8.0 | 7.8% | 8.3% | +0.5% | 0.48 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 12 | CORONA CONQUERS YOU | 8.0 | 7.8% | 7.4% | -0.3% | 0.04 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 7 | INDIAN CARTEL | 8.0 | 7.8% | 7.3% | -0.5% | -0.04 | U | Same trip | — |
| 1 | SG GOOD VIBRATIONS | 12.0 | 5.4% | 4.8% | -0.6% | -0.26 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 6 | RG JES A FREAKN CASH | 15.0 | 4.4% | 4.5% | +0.1% | 0.29 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 10 | C SHES LUCKY LADY | 12.0 | 5.4% | 4.2% | -1.2% | -0.79 | U | 3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip | — |
| 11 | ISAYISAYBOY | 20.0 | 3.3% | 2.8% | -0.5% | -0.46 | U | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | RIGHTOUS RED | 20.0 | 3.3% | 2.5% | -0.8% | -0.90 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |