Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R5 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Lone speed #11 CAPTAIN CODY

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#11CAPTAIN CODYE
  2. C2#7MEGA MOXIEUU
  3. C3#3ALOHA EASTUU
  4. C4#9VICTORIA MASTERUU
  5. C5#6KOS CANDYUU
  6. C6#8I GOT STREET SENSES
  7. C7#13DIVINERUU
  8. C8#1PRINCEOFPINEHURSTUU
  9. C9#10FRONTIERUU
  10. C10#12SCOOTERS WILLC
  11. C11#4LOYAL PRINCEC
  12. C12#5ANDONEMORETHINGC
  13. C13#2KNEE HIGHC
A · Likely — expected flow

#11 CAPTAIN CODY controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.

Helps #11 CAPTAIN CODY · hurts #8 I GOT STREET SENSE, #12 SCOOTERS WILL, #4 LOYAL PRINCE, #5 ANDONEMORETHING, #2 KNEE HIGH

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Someone presses #11 CAPTAIN CODY. Soft-lead thesis dies.

Helps #8 I GOT STREET SENSE · hurts #11 CAPTAIN CODY

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#8 I GOT STREET SENSE, #12 SCOOTERS WILL, #4 LOYAL PRINCE, #5 ANDONEMORETHING, #2 KNEE HIGH).

Helps #8 I GOT STREET SENSE, #12 SCOOTERS WILL, #4 LOYAL PRINCE, #5 ANDONEMORETHING, #2 KNEE HIGH · hurts #11 CAPTAIN CODY

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
11CAPTAIN CODYRUIZ JORGE3.5ELed lastTop last fig2026-09-29 PRX 4f 50.80 B MT gd 11/13; 2026-08-08 PRX 4f 48.40 B MT gd 30/106 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md Sp WtSERVIS JOHN CFavorite
3ALOHA EASTCHEMINAUD VINCENT8.0U—2026-10-02 DEL 3f 37.40 B MT ft 8/14; 2026-09-05 DEL 4f 51.20 B MT ft 58/70 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md Sp WtMOTION H GRAHAMfield
10FRONTIERLOPEZ PASCACIO4.5UTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-25 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 17/48; 2026-09-15 DEL 5f 63.40 B MT ft 4/4 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md Sp WtSTIDHAM MICHAELfield
7MEGA MOXIEBEATO INOEL8.0UTrouble last2026-09-26 PEN 5f 63.80 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-08-20 PEN 4f 50.20 Bg MT ft 15/16 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md Sp WtMCCLELLAN ERIN Cfield
2KNEE HIGHRODRIGUEZ JAMIE8.0CRising figs2026-10-02 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 18/45; 2026-09-19 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 5/59 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md Sp WtGORHAM MICHAEL Efield
4LOYAL PRINCEBATISTA JOSE A8.0C—2026-10-02 MTH 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 20/28; 2026-09-07 MTH 4f 49.00 B MT ft 15/62 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md Sp WtRYAN DEREK Sfield
13DIVINERROWLAND MADELINE8.0UTrouble lastSame trip2026-10-01 MTH 4f 48.60 B MT ft 6/27; 2026-09-19 MTH 4f 48.60 B MT ft 15/85 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md Sp WtSCHULTZ LINDSAYfield
9VICTORIA MASTERROSARIO EMANUEL10.0USharp work2026-10-01 MTH 5f 60.00 Hg MT ft bullet 1/5; 2026-09-19 MTH 4f 48.60 B MT ft 15/85 · barn: SCHULTZ LINDSAY (no last-line barn)— → Md Sp WtSCHULTZ LINDSAYfield
12SCOOTERS WILLCHEMINAUD VINCENT10.0CSharp work2026-10-03 FAI 3f 35.00 B TT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-09-26 FAI 5f 62.00 B TT ft 7/13 · barn: same as lastrMdSpWt → Md Sp WtSHUMAN MARKfield
1PRINCEOFPINEHURSTHERNANDEZ JULIO A10.0USharp work2026-10-01 DEL 4f 48.60 B MT ft bullet 1/21; 2026-09-09 DEL 5f 61.20 Bg MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md Sp WtROBERTSON MCLEANfield
5ANDONEMORETHINGGOMEZ JOSE ANTONIO10.0CRising figsSame trip2026-10-01 MTH 4f 50.40 B MT ft 17/27; 2026-08-16 MTH 4f 51.60 B MT ft 97/109 · barn: same as lastMdSpWt → Md Sp WtEINHORN KIMfield
6KOS CANDYCEDENO CAROL12.0USharp work2026-10-01 MTH 4f 48.00 Hg MT ft bullet 1/27; 2026-09-18 MTH 4f 51.40 B MT ft 14/16 · barn: O'CONNELL KATHLEEN (no last-line barn)— → Md Sp WtO'CONNELL KATHLEENfield
8I GOT STREET SENSEROCCO J S JR15.0SSame trip2026-08-30 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 8/13; 2026-08-20 DEL 5f 63.00 B MT ft 15/19 · barn: same as lastrMdSpWt → Md Sp WtASHBY LYNNfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEDEL R5 · 2026-10-07 · Turf 1760y Md Sp Wt
  2. SHAPELone speed #11 from the far outside rail; inside bias kills the post; stalkers from posts 2–6 collect the rail
  3. CHALKFavorite#11 CAPTAIN CODY · opposable · top fig and lone-speed thesis undercut by post-11 zero-winner bias at DEL turf routes
  4. LEANWinner call#11 CAPTAIN CODY · best figure, best pace shape in A — bias risk noted but no rival holds a clear fig edge
  5. PRIMEDnone
  6. PRICEno price (sheet rec PASS; no non-chalk overlays; model edge on chalk only)
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLIf #11 clears the turn cleanly from post 11 and bias is overstated, the lone-speed scenario fires with no credible challenger
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, going report (firm vs soft changes turf route dynamics materially), weather

Why

Turf route maiden special weight, 13-horse field with a speed bias favoring inside posts, moderate volatility given the large field, multiple first-timers, and several horses whose style is unknown. #11 CAPTAIN CODY is lone speed from post 11 with the top fig (81) and top zSpeed (2.20), but post 11 is a graveyard under the stated rail bias (Posts 8+ = 0 winners in 91-run sample), making the chalk structurally opposable despite a clean A-scenario. No horse reaches the 2-flag PRIMED threshold per the brief, but #7 MEGA MOXIE checked on the turn last out while gaining (trip excuse), exits a sprint at 8-1, and trainer McClellan hits 20% second-time-on-grass with a 0.79 ROI and 17% at first route at 4.77 ROI — however, those are display badges, not PRIMED signals, and the model shows no overlay (edge 0.009).

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
11CAPTAIN CODY3.515.2%20.9%+5.7%1.41EfavoriteLed lastTop last fig—
3ALOHA EAST8.07.6%9.0%+1.4%0.83U—
10FRONTIER4.512.4%9.0%-3.5%-1.17UTrouble lastSame trip—
7MEGA MOXIE8.07.6%8.5%+0.9%0.59UTrouble last—
2KNEE HIGH8.07.6%7.5%-0.1%0.10CRising figs—
4LOYAL PRINCE8.07.6%6.6%-1.0%-0.41C—
13DIVINER8.07.6%6.3%-1.3%-0.62UTrouble lastSame trip—
9VICTORIA MASTER10.06.2%6.0%-0.2%-0.00USharp work—
12SCOOTERS WILL10.06.2%5.8%-0.4%-0.16CSharp work—
1PRINCEOFPINEHURST10.06.2%5.7%-0.5%-0.23USharp work—
5ANDONEMORETHING10.06.2%5.2%-1.0%-0.55CRising figsSame trip—
6KOS CANDY12.05.3%5.1%-0.2%-0.00USharp work—
8I GOT STREET SENSE15.04.3%4.3%+0.1%0.20SSame trip—