FP R7 · 2026-10-06

PASSD1760yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FP R7 · 2026-10-06 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

No dedicated early — closers need collapse

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#5TRYP
C2#1HOT TMATERP
C3#7KY O SISTERS
C4#6IMA MIDNIGHT LADYC
C5#2LAURENS WARC
C6#4MIDNIGHT DATEC
C7#9RAZ ON FIRES
C8#8CHASING SEATTLEC
C9#3I DID THE MATHC

A · Likely — expected flow

No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.

Helps #5 TRY, #1 HOT TMATER, #7 KY O SISTER, #9 RAZ ON FIRE · hurts —

B · Pressure — duel / honest

A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.

Helps #5 TRY, #1 HOT TMATER, #7 KY O SISTER, #9 RAZ ON FIRE · hurts —

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 KY O SISTER, #6 IMA MIDNIGHT LADY, #2 LAURENS WAR, #4 MIDNIGHT DATE, #9 RAZ ON FIRE, #8 CHASING SEATTLE, #3 I DID THE MATH).

Helps #7 KY O SISTER, #6 IMA MIDNIGHT LADY, #2 LAURENS WAR, #4 MIDNIGHT DATE, #9 RAZ ON FIRE, #8 CHASING SEATTLE, #3 I DID THE MATH · hurts —

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
5	TRYBENDEZU ALEXANDER	1.6	P	Rising figsSharp work2026-09-30 FP 5f 62.00 B MT ft bullet 1/5; 2026-07-25 FP 5f 63.20 B MT sy 2/3 · barn: same as last	fsOC20000n2l → OClm 20000n2l	WAINWRIGHT JOHN	Favorite
1	HOT TMATERMARTINEZ BRODY	2.5	P	—2026-09-05 FP 4f 53.40 B MT ft 12/12; 2026-05-26 FP 4f 48.80 B MT ft bullet 1/9 · barn: same as last	fsOC20000n2l → OClm 20000n2l	ESSENPREIS EDWARD	Favorite
7	KY O SISTERARANGUREN JOHANIS	4.5	S	Rising figs2026-06-10 FP 4f 49.40 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-05-16 FP 4f 50.00 H MT ft 7/13 · barn: same as last	fsOC20000n2l → OClm 20000n2l	MANLEY STEVE	field
6	IMA MIDNIGHT LADYFELIX J E	8.0	C	Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-30 FP 4f 52.00 B MT ft 7/11; 2026-06-12 FP 5f 64.00 B MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as last	fsMdSpWt → OClm 20000n2l	RETANA GABE	field
9	RAZ ON FIREARRIETA REYNIER	10.0	S	Rising figsSame trip2026-09-26 FP 4f 50.40 B MT ft 12/24; 2026-07-08 FP 4f 52.60 B MT ft 4/4 · barn: same as last	fsOC20000n2l → OClm 20000n2l	ESSENPREIS EDWARD	field
4	MIDNIGHT DATEFERNANDEZ MIGUEL	12.0	C	Same trip2026-09-24 FP 4f 50.40 B MT ft 8/13; 2026-08-14 FP 4f 52.00 B MT ft 16/16 · barn: same as last	fsOC20000n2l → OClm 20000n2l	RETANA GABE	field
2	LAURENS WARSTANLEY A O	15.0	C	—2026-10-01 FP 4f 51.40 B MT ft 12/14; 2026-03-29 FP 4f 52.40 B MT ft 7/7 · barn: same as last	fsOC20000n2l → OClm 20000n2l	REDNOUR JOHN JR	field
8	CHASING SEATTLETAVARES JAVIER	20.0	C	3rd start cycle2026-08-22 FP 4f 49.40 B MT ft 5/18; 2026-07-30 FP 4f 51.60 B MT ft 7/15 · barn: same as last	fsOC20000n2l → OClm 20000n2l	RANDAZZO FRANK C JR	field
3	I DID THE MATHORTEGA HAROLD JOSEPH	30.0	C	Rising figs2026-06-17 FP 3f 39.60 B MT ft 7/10; 2026-04-10 FP 4f 50.80 B MT ft 10/14 · barn: same as last	fsOC20000n2l → OClm 20000n2l	REDNOUR JOHN JR	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed

RACEFP R7 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1760y OClm 20000n2l
SHAPENo dedicated early; two pressers set a soft lead; crawl likely; closers need collapse to fire
CHALKFavorite#5 TRY 1.6 ML · solid · bullet work, fig spike, pace path in A/B, best horse in the field
LEANWinner call#5 TRY · front end clears in a crawl, no one has the pace to pressure it off a soft trip
PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ ready flags with a clean A/B path)
PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlay; #6 IMA MIDNIGHT LADY has the top fig but model edge is +0.014 with no overlay flag)
PLAYPrice ticketPASS
KILLA surprise speed type materializes and hooks #5 TRY into a duel it cannot survive; the figure spike at the sprint trip does not translate back to 1760y
MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes not on a PP line

Why

Dirt two-turn claiming route with a crawl-likely pace map and a wall of closers chasing two pressers, giving the front end a soft lead in a moderate-volatility field where the public is split between two chalk prices. #5 TRY is co-chalk at 1.6 ML with a bullet work, a sharp fig spike (52→70), and a stalking trip last out from a sprint that now stretches back to the route it has run before — solid favorite, hard to beat on shape. #6 IMA MIDNIGHT LADY is a non-chalk class dropper from maiden to OC claiming with the field's top last fig (71) and top late pace (LP 78), rising figures, and a route-to-route same trip, but she has only one ready flag beyond display badges and no model overlay, so she is a note, not a primed price.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
5	TRY	1.6	30.2%	33.2%	+3.0%	0.77	P	favoriteRising figsSharp work	—
1	HOT TMATER	2.5	22.4%	20.7%	-1.7%	0.06	P	favorite	—
7	KY O SISTER	4.5	14.3%	15.3%	+1.0%	0.66	S	Rising figs	—
6	IMA MIDNIGHT LADY	8.0	8.7%	10.2%	+1.4%	1.00	C	Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip	—
9	RAZ ON FIRE	10.0	7.1%	6.4%	-0.7%	-0.05	S	Rising figsSame trip	—
4	MIDNIGHT DATE	12.0	6.0%	5.2%	-0.8%	-0.20	C	Same trip	—
2	LAURENS WAR	15.0	4.9%	4.7%	-0.2%	0.24	C		—
8	CHASING SEATTLE	20.0	3.7%	2.6%	-1.2%	-1.10	C	3rd start cycle	—
3	I DID THE MATH	30.0	2.5%	1.6%	-0.9%	-1.38	C	Rising figs	—