PRX R4 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R4 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #5 OBSTINATE
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4SISTER SUPREAMP
- C2#1LITERARYC
- C3#3TOMARIEP
- C4#5OBSTINATEEP
- C5#6TRUE SUNSHINES
- C6#2WAITWAITDONTTELLMEC
- C7#7YOU KNOW MEC
#5 OBSTINATE controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #5 OBSTINATE · hurts #1 LITERARY, #6 TRUE SUNSHINE, #2 WAITWAITDONTTELLME, #7 YOU KNOW ME
Someone presses #5 OBSTINATE. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #4 SISTER SUPREAM, #3 TOMARIE, #6 TRUE SUNSHINE · hurts #5 OBSTINATE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 LITERARY, #6 TRUE SUNSHINE, #2 WAITWAITDONTTELLME, #7 YOU KNOW ME).
Helps #1 LITERARY, #6 TRUE SUNSHINE, #2 WAITWAITDONTTELLME, #7 YOU KNOW ME · hurts #5 OBSTINATE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LITERARYSILVERA RUBEN | 1.2 | C | 2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip2026-09-09 PRX 5f 61.80 B MT ft 8/15; 2026-08-19 PRX 5f 61.40 B MT ft 11/16 · barn: same as last | fOC20000 → Clm 5000n1y | PADILLA-PRECIADO ERNESTO | Favorite |
| 4 | SISTER SUPREAMTORRES BRYAN L | 1.6 | P | 3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip2026-08-14 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 11/33; 2026-08-04 DEL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 7/9 · barn: same as last | fClm10000 → Clm 5000n1y | WYNER HAROLD | Favorite |
| 5 | OBSTINATESANCHEZ MAGGLIO | 6.0 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip2026-08-15 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 44/65; 2026-03-28 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT ft 29/51 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 5000n1y | FLORES-COBA FELIX L | primed |
| 3 | TOMARIECASTILLO A | 10.0 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-15 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 60/65; 2026-07-03 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 11/15 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 5000n1y | PEREZ RUPERTO A | primed |
| 2 | WAITWAITDONTTELLMEHERMAN NOEL | 10.0 | C | Same trip2026-05-15 PRX 3f 37.40 B MT ft 3/3; 2026-04-11 PRX 3f 39.00 B MT ft 11/13 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 5000n1y | BOUCHARD LESLYE | field |
| 7 | YOU KNOW MEMARTINEZ FRANCISCO | 10.0 | C | Tag dropTop last paceSame trip2026-06-20 PRX 3f 37.60 B MT ft 13/20; 2026-04-17 PRX 4f 50.40 B MT ft 16/17 · barn: same as last | fClm10000 → Clm 5000n1y | MARTINEZ ALEXANDER | field |
| 6 | TRUE SUNSHINEAGUILAR JEAN | 15.0 | S | —2026-06-06 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 23/58; 2026-05-20 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 5/25 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n1y → Clm 5000n1y | BOUCHARD LESLYE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R4 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1830y · Clm 5000n1y
- SHAPELone speed (#5 OBSTINATE) projects to clear; scenario A favors front-runner; closers need a melt that may not come
- CHALKFavorite#1 LITERARY (1.2) and #4 SISTER SUPREAM (1.6) — both chalk; LITERARY is solid on class drop and top fig; SISTER SUPREAM opposable (fig 53 last, empty form cycle, negative model edge)
- LEANWinner call#1 LITERARY — top speed figure, class relief, 2nd off layoff ready flags, path as closer if pace melt occurs
- PRIMED#5 OBSTINATE (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, led last) — pace path in A but negative overlay; #3 TOMARIE (rising figs, 2nd off layoff) — figs too thin to play
- PRICENo non-chalk overlays present
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#5 OBSTINATE wires them at 6-1 in scenario A; live tote may reveal a non-chalk overlay not visible on ML
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt route, bottom-level claiming (5k N1Y), seven-starter field at PRX — moderate volatility given the paper-thin speed and two co-chalks priced like certainties. #5 OBSTINATE figures as lone speed and projects to clear in scenario A, but the two co-chalks (#1 LITERARY at 1.2, #4 SISTER SUPREAM at 1.6) eat the value and no non-chalk shows a model overlay. #5 OBSTINATE is primed (rising figs +13, 2nd off layoff, led last, same trip) and owns the pace shape in A, but its model edge is negative and the sheet already recorded PASS on non-chalk overlays. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LITERARY | 1.2 | 34.5% | 43.1% | +8.6% | 1.33 | C | favorite2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip | — |
| 4 | SISTER SUPREAM | 1.6 | 29.2% | 26.6% | -2.6% | 0.07 | P | favorite3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | OBSTINATE | 6.0 | 10.8% | 8.7% | -2.2% | -0.46 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | TOMARIE | 10.0 | 6.9% | 6.2% | -0.7% | -0.02 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | WAITWAITDONTTELLME | 10.0 | 6.9% | 5.9% | -1.0% | -0.16 | C | Same trip | — |
| 7 | YOU KNOW ME | 10.0 | 6.9% | 5.5% | -1.4% | -0.49 | C | Tag dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | TRUE SUNSHINE | 15.0 | 4.7% | 4.0% | -0.8% | -0.27 | S | — |