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EVD R6 · 2026-10-02
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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find EVD R6 · 2026-10-02 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2OCHO ROJOUU
- C2#7ACE FORTUNES N EAGLEUU
- C3#1FIFTY THREE TO 8UU
- C4#3THE STAR IN MEUU
- C5#9KAS HES ECUU
- C6#6FAST DASHIN FORTUNEUU
- C7#4RR JESS A BIT EVILUU
- C8#5A POLITICAL LOVE VUU
- C9#8AUSTEEUU
- C10#10STANLEYS SALTY PRIZEUU
A · Likely — expected flow
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
B · Pressure — duel / honest
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
C · Chaos — collapse
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | OCHO ROJOCASTANEDA NOE | 2.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-05-07 DED 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 13/29; 2026-04-10 DED 1f 11.40 B MT ft 2/112 · barn: same as last | Alw15480n1x → Alw 15500n2x | ABOYTES-SUAREZ RAMIRO | Favorite |
| 7 | ACE FORTUNES N EAGLEGARCIA JUAN FRANCISCO JR | 3.5 | U | Same trip2026-05-02 DED 1f 12.40 B MT sy 10/40; 2026-02-16 LAD 1f 12.60 B MT ft 7/17 · barn: same as last | fsAlw26000n3l → Alw 15500n2x | ELLIS TREY | field |
| 1 | FIFTY THREE TO 8HERNANDEZ RENE | 5.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-14 DED 1f 12.20 B MT ft 3/9; 2026-03-25 LAD 1f 11.80 B MT ft 2/30 · barn: change vs CAMPOS FRANCISCO SR | Alw17063n2l → Alw 15500n2x | CAMPOS FRANCISCO JR | field |
| 3 | THE STAR IN MEMARTINEZ EDDI EMANUEL | 6.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-08 DED 1f 12.00 B MT ft 7/17; 2026-01-28 DED 1f 12.00 B MT ft bullet 1/8 · barn: change vs BROOKS ANDRE | sFNL → Alw 15500n2x | MARTINEZ LUIS R JR | field |
| 9 | KAS HES ECRODRIGUEZ EVERARDO | 8.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-03-28 LAD 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 15/20; 2025-08-27 LS 1f 11.80 B MT ft 4/38 · barn: same as last | Alw15120n2l → Alw 15500n2x | AGUILAR RILEY S | field |
| 6 | FAST DASHIN FORTUNERODRIGUEZ JOSE ARIEL | 12.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-01 DED 1f 12.00 B MT ft 5/21; 2025-08-14 DED 1f 12.00 B MT ft 3/24 · barn: same as last | fsAlw26000n3l → Alw 15500n2x | FOSTER BRENDA | field |
| 4 | RR JESS A BIT EVILLUNA UBALDO | 10.0 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-02-19 RP 1f 12.60 H MT ft 27/58; 2025-08-26 LAZ 1f 12.00 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | Alw25570b → Alw 15500n2x | TREJO MARTIN | primed |
| 5 | A POLITICAL LOVE VRODRIGUEZ YAIDEL | 15.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip2026-08-15 DED 1f 12.60 B MT ft 8/18; 2026-06-04 DED 1f 12.60 B MT my 4/19 · barn: change vs GONZALEZ JAIME E | fAlw16100n3l → Alw 15500n2x | GONZALEZ JAMIE G | primed |
| 8 | AUSTEEPALOMO LEONARDO | 20.0 | U | Same trip2026-07-08 DED 1f 13.00 B MT ft 22/24; 2026-04-22 LAD 1f 12.60 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | sClm10000n2l → Alw 15500n2x | CASTRO CARLOS GABRIEL | field |
| 10 | STANLEYS SALTY PRIZEEDISON RANDY JR | 20.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-28 DED 1f 11.00 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-06-10 HOU 1f 12.60 B MT ft 9/12 · barn: same as last | Trial → Alw 15500n2x | BUSTAMANTE DAVID | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
PLAY passPass — no tote needed
- RACEEVD R6 · 2026-10-02 · Dirt 400y · Alw 15500n2x
- SHAPEPace map all-unknown; no shape read available; moderate-to-high chaos risk
- CHALKFavorite#2 OCHO ROJO · solid · top zSpeed, 2nd-off-layoff, proven 400y winner, best fig ceiling in field
- LEANWinner call#2 OCHO ROJO · winner call; the form and speed figures are the class of this field
- PRIMED#5 A POLITICAL LOVE V (4 flags: rising figs, 2nd off layoff, trouble last, barn change); #4 RR JESS A BIT EVIL (rising figs, 3rd start cycle — figs too weak to overcome)
- PRICENo non-chalk overlays (sheet rec PASS; model overlays on #9 and #1 are sub-threshold and not chalk-free overlays with sufficient edge)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only overlay with a real pace path is the chalk; no primed price horse clears the fig bar at a playable number
- KILLAn unknown early type takes the 400y flat wire-to-wire and #2's 2nd-off fitness assumption is wrong; or chalk drifts to a live price but that is a tote event not visible here
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt 400y allowance (n2x) at EVD, 10-horse field, high volatility — all pace styles unknown, class mix is wide, and figs range from the low 70s to mid-90s. Pace map is entirely unknown (all U), so no shape advantage can be confirmed; chalk #2 OCHO ROJO is the model's top pick at 2-1 with a 2nd-off-layoff flag, a top zSpeed (1.54), and a win last out dueling at 250y before stepping back to 400y where it has shown (fig 94, win at LS 400y), making it solid at the price. Primed #5 A POLITICAL LOVE V (15-1) stacks four flags — rising figs (+7 last out to 85), 2nd off layoff, trouble last (bumped start), and barn change — but the fig ceiling of 85–87 is below the chalk's 91–96 band and the model edge is negative (-0.007), so the path exists only if the chalk stumbles; primed #4 RR JESS A BIT EVIL shows third-start-cycle and climbing figs (76→80→81) but those figs are the weakest in the field and the signal is deeply negative (-0.86), making it a pass. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
#4 RR JESS A BIT EVILML 10.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip
#5 A POLITICAL LOVE VML 15.0Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | OCHO ROJO | 2.0 | 25.6% | 28.2% | +2.6% | 0.68 | U | favorite2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 7 | ACE FORTUNES N EAGLE | 3.5 | 17.1% | 17.4% | +0.3% | 0.37 | U | Same trip | — |
| 1 | FIFTY THREE TO 8 | 5.0 | 12.8% | 13.4% | +0.6% | 0.47 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | THE STAR IN ME | 6.0 | 11.0% | 10.5% | -0.5% | 0.10 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 9 | KAS HES EC | 8.0 | 8.5% | 9.8% | +1.3% | 0.84 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 6 | FAST DASHIN FORTUNE | 12.0 | 5.9% | 5.7% | -0.2% | 0.17 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | RR JESS A BIT EVIL | 10.0 | 7.0% | 5.2% | -1.7% | -0.86 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 5 | A POLITICAL LOVE V | 15.0 | 4.8% | 4.1% | -0.7% | -0.36 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 8 | AUSTEE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.1% | -0.5% | -0.35 | U | Same trip | — |
| 10 | STANLEYS SALTY PRIZE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 2.6% | -1.0% | -1.06 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |