PRX R1 · 2026-02-09

WATCHD1320y1 price overlay(s)1 readyRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#12 vs #2)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#12EL TAMALEROEP
C2#2POP NEIGHEP
C3#3STINGER BEES
C4#9HARRISON CP
C5#5ROGUE PRINCEC
C6#6CRAIGH NA DUNC
C7#10WEEKS STRONGC
C8#7GENTLEMAN DONC
C9#1PASTEROC
C10#11ALPHADINIC
C11#4DAVESBOLDTHUNDERC
C12#13WARHEADEDC
C13#8ITSSPRINGBOIIIC

A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #12 EL TAMALERO and #2 POP NEIGH. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #9 HARRISON C, #3 STINGER BEE · hurts #12 EL TAMALERO, #2 POP NEIGH

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #12 EL TAMALERO and #2 POP NEIGH hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #9 HARRISON C, #3 STINGER BEE · hurts #12 EL TAMALERO, #2 POP NEIGH

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 STINGER BEE, #5 ROGUE PRINCE, #6 CRAIGH NA DUN, #10 WEEKS STRONG, #7 GENTLEMAN DON, #1 PASTERO, #11 ALPHADINI, #4 DAVESBOLDTHUNDER, #13 WARHEADED, #8 ITSSPRINGBOIII).

Helps #3 STINGER BEE, #5 ROGUE PRINCE, #6 CRAIGH NA DUN, #10 WEEKS STRONG, #7 GENTLEMAN DON, #1 PASTERO, #11 ALPHADINI, #4 DAVESBOLDTHUNDER, #13 WARHEADED, #8 ITSSPRINGBOIII · hurts #12 EL TAMALERO, #2 POP NEIGH

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
12	EL TAMALEROMARTINEZ FRANCISCO	2.5	EP	Rising figsSame trip2025-10-22 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 21/33; 2025-10-11 PRX 5f 64.00 B MT ft 20/22 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	ARCE JOSUE	Favorite
3	STINGER BEESANCHEZ MYCHEL J	3.5	S	Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-02-04 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 44/66; 2025-12-21 PRX 5f 65.60 B MT ft 3/4 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	MOSCO ROBERT	primed
10	WEEKS STRONGRANGEL JOEZER	5.0	C	Same trip2026-01-10 PRX 4f 51.20 B MT ft 19/26; 2026-01-03 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 26/37 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	SERVIS J TYLER	field
1	PASTEROHADDOCK DEXTER	6.0	C	Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-01-30 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 6/8; 2025-08-14 PRX 4f 50.40 B MT my 5/7 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	LAKE SCOTT A	field
11	ALPHADINITORRES BRYAN L	8.0	C	Same trip2025-11-26 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT sy 5/17; 2025-09-06 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 61/71 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	VELAZQUEZ DANIEL	field
13	WARHEADEDHERNANDEZ ANDY	8.0	C	3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip2026-01-16 PRX 4f 51.20 B MT ft 8/17; 2025-12-26 PRX 4f 51.20 B MT ft 4/11 · barn: same as last	Md16000 → Md 10000	SOLIS JACINTO	field
6	CRAIGH NA DUNHENRY PATRICK JR	15.0	C	Rising figsSame trip2026-02-04 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 51/66; 2025-12-23 PRX 3f 36.60 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	BEDARD ALAN	field
5	ROGUE PRINCEOCASIO LUIS M	15.0	C	Rising figsTop last paceSame trip2025-12-18 PRX 4f 52.40 B MT ft 90/99; 2025-12-11 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 11/16 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	SERVIS J TYLER	field
8	ITSSPRINGBOIIIHAZLEWOOD YEDSIT	20.0	C	Rising figsSame trip2025-05-30 PRX 5f 63.20 Bg MT gd 4/4; 2025-05-20 PRX 4f 47.80 Bg MT ft 3/38 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	VELAZQUEZ DANIEL	field
4	DAVESBOLDTHUNDERGONZALEZ FRANKLIN JR	15.0	C	Trouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-01-23 PRX 4f 51.40 B MT ft 62/76; 2026-01-13 PRX 5f 61.40 Bg MT ft 2/5 · barn: same as last	Md30000 → Md 10000	KREBS STEVEN	field
7	GENTLEMAN DONRODRIGUEZ YAN	20.0	C	Rising figsSame trip2026-01-24 PRX 4f 48.40 B MT ft 8/17; 2025-11-20 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 12/22 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	HAWTHORNE BOBBI ANNE	field
2	POP NEIGHRIVERA KENDRY	20.0	EP	Sharp work2026-02-02 PRX 3f 35.60 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-01-23 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 24/76 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	SOTO- MARTINEZ ELLIOTT	field
9	HARRISON CRIVERA LUIS D	20.0	P	Rising figsLed last2026-01-14 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 36/42; 2025-11-19 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT my 2/4 · barn: same as last	Md10000 → Md 10000	DOTOLO DAVID	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#3 STINGER BEE+2.6%ML 3.5Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
12	EL TAMALERO	2.5	20.2%	24.2%	+4.0%	1.19	EP	favoriteRising figsSame trip	—
3	STINGER BEE	3.5	15.7%	18.2%	+2.6%	1.06	S	Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip	—
10	WEEKS STRONG	5.0	11.8%	12.2%	+0.4%	0.60	C	Same trip	—
1	PASTERO	6.0	10.1%	10.3%	+0.2%	0.53	C	Rising figsTop last figSame trip	—
11	ALPHADINI	8.0	7.8%	7.1%	-0.8%	0.05	C	Same trip	—
13	WARHEADED	8.0	7.8%	6.4%	-1.5%	-0.37	C	3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip	—
6	CRAIGH NA DUN	15.0	4.4%	4.4%	+0.0%	0.49	C	Rising figsSame trip	—
5	ROGUE PRINCE	15.0	4.4%	4.1%	-0.3%	0.14	C	Rising figsTop last paceSame trip	—
8	ITSSPRINGBOIII	20.0	3.4%	3.0%	-0.4%	-0.05	C	Rising figsSame trip	—
4	DAVESBOLDTHUNDER	15.0	4.4%	2.8%	-1.6%	-1.33	C	Trouble lastTag dropSame trip	—
7	GENTLEMAN DON	20.0	3.4%	2.6%	-0.7%	-0.55	C	Rising figsSame trip	—
2	POP NEIGH	20.0	3.4%	2.5%	-0.9%	-0.74	EP	Sharp work	—
9	HARRISON C	20.0	3.4%	2.3%	-1.0%	-1.01	P	Rising figsLed last	—