closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

CD R7 · 2026-09-27

PASSD1650yplay passPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races →
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find CD R7 · 2026-09-27 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1

Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#3FOXIESTUU
  2. C2#6MY PAL ALUU
  3. C3#2SAPPHIRE SONGUU
  4. C4#1SHES ALL KRISTIUU
  5. C5#8SPECIAL LIBERTYUU
  6. C6#5DANTINIUU
  7. C7#4MISSYUU
  8. C8#9TAJIN TIMEUU
  9. C9#7TEXAS DANDELIONC
A · Likely — expected flow

No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.

Helps — · hurts —

B · Pressure — duel / honest

A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.

Helps #7 TEXAS DANDELION · hurts —

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 TEXAS DANDELION).

Helps #7 TEXAS DANDELION · hurts —

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
3FOXIESTSAEZ LUIS1.2UTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-20 CD 4f 48.00 B MT ft 12/100; 2026-09-13 CD 4f 48.40 B MT ft 11/107 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md Sp WtCOX BRAD HFavorite
5DANTINICONCEPCION AXEL4.5UTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-19 CD 5f 61.40 B MT ft 13/27; 2026-09-13 CD 4f 48.60 B MT ft 25/107 · barn: same as lastfrMdSpWt → Md Sp WtWALDEN WILLIAMfield
4MISSYHERNANDEZ B J JR5.0USame trip2026-09-19 CD 5f 61.00 B MT ft 11/27; 2026-09-12 CD 4f 48.40 B MT gd 18/122 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md Sp WtWILKES IAN Rfield
8SPECIAL LIBERTYGAFFALIONE TYLER6.0USame trip2026-09-18 CD 5f 61.40 B MT ft 17/25; 2026-09-10 CD 5f 62.40 B MT ft 8/12 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md Sp WtWALSH BRENDAN Pfield
7TEXAS DANDELIONORTIZ JOSE L8.0CSame trip2026-09-20 CD 4f 48.60 B MT ft 29/100; 2026-09-13 CD 4f 48.20 B MT ft 5/107 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md Sp WtSHARP JOEfield
6MY PAL ALMACHADO LUAN10.0USharp workSame trip2026-09-21 TTC 4f 48.40 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-09-14 TTC 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md Sp WtMEDINA ROBERTfield
2SAPPHIRE SONGTORRES JAIME A20.0U—2026-09-18 CD 5f 61.80 B MT ft 23/25; 2026-09-11 CD 4f 48.20 Bg MT gd 12/63 · barn: MOTT RILEY (no last-line barn)— → Md Sp WtMOTT RILEYfield
9TAJIN TIMECORRALES GERARDO20.0USame trip2026-09-20 CD 5f 62.40 B MT ft 12/15; 2026-09-13 CD 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 53/107 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md Sp WtROMANS DALEfield
1SHES ALL KRISTIFERNANDEZ MIGUEL30.0U—2026-09-21 CDT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 3/9; 2026-09-14 CDT 4f 48.40 Bg MT ft 7/9 · barn: VON HEMEL DONNIE K (no last-line barn)— → Md Sp WtVON HEMEL DONNIE Kfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACECD R7 · 2026-09-27 · Dirt 1650y · Md Sp Wt
  2. SHAPEPace unknown across eight of nine starters; likely crawl or surprise speed; volatility high
  3. CHALKFavorite#3 FOXIEST · solid · top fig, top pace, Cox/Saez, 2nd career start pattern, but 1.2 ML is unplayable
  4. LEANWinner call#3 FOXIEST
  5. PRIMEDnone
  6. PRICEno price — zero non-chalk overlays
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLA first-timer or hidden speed type steals the pace shape; FOXIEST's stumbled break last time repeats
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes

Why

Dirt sprint maiden special weight at Churchill, nine starters including two first-timers, pace map is nearly all unknown styles making this a high-volatility guess at fractions. #3 FOXIEST is a 1.2 chalk with the top last fig, top last pace figure, a legitimate Cox/Saez engagement, and a clean forward signal — solid favorite, but buried at that price. No horse clears the two-flag primed threshold, and the model finds zero non-chalk overlays in this field.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
3FOXIEST1.235.6%43.1%+7.5%1.22UfavoriteTop last figTop last paceSame tripWIN
5DANTINI4.514.3%12.3%-2.0%-0.15UTrouble lastSame trip2
4MISSY5.013.1%12.1%-1.0%0.15USame trip3
8SPECIAL LIBERTY6.011.2%10.3%-0.9%0.13USame trip5
7TEXAS DANDELION8.08.7%7.2%-1.5%-0.28CSame trip9
6MY PAL AL10.07.1%7.1%-0.1%0.43USharp workSame trip4
2SAPPHIRE SONG20.03.7%3.3%-0.4%0.00U7
9TAJIN TIME20.03.7%2.3%-1.4%-1.50USame trip6
1SHES ALL KRISTI30.02.5%2.3%-0.3%0.00U8