BTP R6 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find BTP R6 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #4 VINOS ANGEL
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6APRILS GEMP
- C2#4VINOS ANGELEP
- C3#7LUCKY SHOREC
- C4#3HALCYON DAYSS
- C5#1FOOTNOTEC
- C6#2EMERSONS DREAMC
- C7#5ICE QUEENS
#4 VINOS ANGEL controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #4 VINOS ANGEL · hurts #7 LUCKY SHORE, #3 HALCYON DAYS, #1 FOOTNOTE, #2 EMERSONS DREAM, #5 ICE QUEEN
Someone presses #4 VINOS ANGEL. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #6 APRILS GEM, #3 HALCYON DAYS, #5 ICE QUEEN · hurts #4 VINOS ANGEL
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 LUCKY SHORE, #3 HALCYON DAYS, #1 FOOTNOTE, #2 EMERSONS DREAM, #5 ICE QUEEN).
Helps #7 LUCKY SHORE, #3 HALCYON DAYS, #1 FOOTNOTE, #2 EMERSONS DREAM, #5 ICE QUEEN · hurts #4 VINOS ANGEL
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LUCKY SHOREMCKEE J | 2.5 | C | Tag dropTop last figSame trip2026-07-23 TTC 4f 52.80 B MT ft 26/27; 2026-05-16 TTC 3f 37.40 B MT ft 3/26 · barn: same as last | fClm8000 → Clm 7500b | STURGEON ROBERT C | Favorite |
| 5 | ICE QUEENNICHOLLS MIA | 3.0 | S | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-06-04 BTP 3f 36.00 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-05-29 BTP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 9/22 · barn: same as last | fClm8000 → Clm 7500b | ALESSI JAMES | field |
| 4 | VINOS ANGELRODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO | 3.5 | EP | Rising figsTrouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-05-02 BTP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 7/36; 2026-04-21 BTP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 14/29 · barn: same as last | fClm8000 → Clm 7500b | SMITH LARRY | primed |
| 2 | EMERSONS DREAMSTOKES J | 4.5 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-08 TP 4f 51.40 B MT ft 91/103; 2026-07-11 TP 3f 39.00 B MT ft 19/27 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 7500b | GREENHILL JEFF | primed |
| 1 | FOOTNOTECORREA YARMARIE L | 6.0 | C | Barn changeSame trip2026-07-20 TTC 4f 47.80 B MT ft bullet 1/13; 2026-06-16 TTC 4f 49.40 B MT ft 7/11 · barn: change vs TORRES MARCELINO | fClm7500bc → Clm 7500b | GRUBBS JAMIE L | field |
| 6 | APRILS GEMJIMENEZ ALBIN | 10.0 | P | Tag dropSame trip2026-08-22 BTP 3f 36.20 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-07-29 HAW 4f 49.60 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | fClm8000 → Clm 7500b | ROSAS RIGO | field |
| 3 | HALCYON DAYSHERNANDEZ JANN N | 20.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-17 DTT 3f 38.00 B MT gd 3/3; 2026-05-02 TDD 4f 50.40 B MT gd 8/16 · barn: same as last | fClm7500b → Clm 7500b | SHORT THOMAS | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEBTP R6 · 2026-09-30 · Turf 1760y · Clm 7500b
- SHAPELone speed #4 VINOS ANGEL; inside/speed bias; closers face uphill task from wide posts
- CHALKFavorite#7 LUCKY SHORE 2.5 ML · opposable · C-style from post 7, rail/speed bias directly against it
- LEANWinner call#4 VINOS ANGEL · lone speed, bias match, two primed flags, proven winner at this exact class/trip
- PRIMED#4 VINOS ANGEL (rising_figs, trouble_last, tag_drop); #2 EMERSONS DREAM (rising_figs, second_off_layoff — but all dirt form, turf ROI -0.79, model below fair)
- PRICENo non-chalk overlays (model overlay on #7 only; sheet rec PASS)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — #4 VINOS ANGEL is the primed angle but carries no model overlay and the sheet rec is PASS; no non-chalk price exists
- KILLPace pressure from #6 APRILS GEM in Scenario B drains VINOS ANGEL; off-turf switch; a live scratch changing the pace map
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, going report, weather/off-turf alert, rider changes
Why
Turf route, $7,500 claiming, 7-runner field at BTP — bias strongly favors inside posts and early speed, making this a track-shape race as much as a form race with moderate volatility. #4 VINOS ANGEL projects lone speed from post 4 with a clear turf route record and a bias-matching style, while chalk #7 LUCKY SHORE (2.5 ML) is a C-style closer from post 7 against an inside/speed-biased strip who must rally from the back. #4 VINOS ANGEL is the primed price angle: rising figs (71 vs prior 58), trouble last (off slow, compromised effort), tag drop into a class it has already won at, and a lone-speed shape in A that plays directly to the track bias — though the model shows no overlay and the sheet rec is PASS. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LUCKY SHORE | 2.5 | 23.4% | 28.8% | +5.4% | 1.04 | C | favoriteTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | ICE QUEEN | 3.0 | 20.5% | 19.2% | -1.3% | -0.05 | S | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | VINOS ANGEL | 3.5 | 18.2% | 16.5% | -1.7% | -0.17 | EP | Rising figsTrouble lastTag dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | EMERSONS DREAM | 4.5 | 14.9% | 14.5% | -0.4% | 0.11 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 1 | FOOTNOTE | 6.0 | 11.7% | 10.5% | -1.2% | -0.20 | C | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 6 | APRILS GEM | 10.0 | 7.4% | 7.7% | +0.3% | 0.37 | P | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 3 | HALCYON DAYS | 20.0 | 3.9% | 2.8% | -1.1% | -1.09 | S | Same trip | — |