PEN R3 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PEN R3 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#9 vs #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#9MY LIZZY LOUE
- C2#2MONICAEP
- C3#8SPICY KARAMELOUU
- C4#6BROADWAY MUSICALP
- C5#3RAVELUU
- C6#1ZEPHYRS JEWELS
- C7#7EDDIES PROMISES
- C8#4FROSTY FOR EVERC
- C9#5DONT EVEN THINKC
Honest pace among #9 MY LIZZY LOU and #2 MONICA. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #6 BROADWAY MUSICAL, #1 ZEPHYRS JEWEL, #7 EDDIES PROMISE · hurts #9 MY LIZZY LOU, #2 MONICA
Pressure: #9 MY LIZZY LOU and #2 MONICA hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #6 BROADWAY MUSICAL, #1 ZEPHYRS JEWEL, #7 EDDIES PROMISE · hurts #9 MY LIZZY LOU, #2 MONICA
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 ZEPHYRS JEWEL, #7 EDDIES PROMISE, #4 FROSTY FOR EVER, #5 DONT EVEN THINK).
Helps #1 ZEPHYRS JEWEL, #7 EDDIES PROMISE, #4 FROSTY FOR EVER, #5 DONT EVEN THINK · hurts #9 MY LIZZY LOU, #2 MONICA
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZEPHYRS JEWELGOMEZ KEVIN | 3.0 | S | Rising figsMSW → MCLSharp workTop last figSame trip2026-09-25 FAI 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/18; 2026-09-10 FAI 4f 49.20 B MT ft 5/6 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md 16000 | RUSSELL BRITTANY T | Favorite |
| 6 | BROADWAY MUSICALBEATO INOEL | 4.0 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-07-31 PEN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 8/17; 2026-07-20 PEN 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/11 · barn: same as last | fMd16000 → Md 16000 | MCCLELLAN ERIN C | primed |
| 9 | MY LIZZY LOURODRIGUEZ ANGEL R | 5.0 | E | 2nd off layoffBarn change2026-08-14 PRX 5f 61.00 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-06-17 PRX 5f 62.80 B MT ft 12/15 · barn: change vs PADILLA HUGO O | fMd16000c → Md 16000 | KULP BRANDON L | field |
| 4 | FROSTY FOR EVERHERNANDEZ ANDY | 6.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-07 PRX 4f 51.40 B MT ft 6/6; 2026-08-13 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 8/15 · barn: same as last | fMd16000 → Md 16000 | SOLIS JACINTO | field |
| 2 | MONICAINIRIO MAICOL J | 8.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-10-02 PEN 4f 49.80 B MT ft 22/29; 2026-09-18 PEN 4f 49.60 B MT gd 5/11 · barn: same as last | fMd16000 → Md 16000 | STITES FLINT W | field |
| 5 | DONT EVEN THINKQUINONES ANGEL R | 8.0 | C | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-25 PEN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 20/34; 2026-09-04 PEN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 7/11 · barn: change vs SHEA LYDEE | fMd16000 → Md 16000 | RATHMAN ELISHA | field |
| 7 | EDDIES PROMISECORA D | 8.0 | S | MSW → MCLSame trip2026-09-19 PEN 4f 54.80 B MT ft 31/31; 2026-07-24 PEN 4f 49.80 B MT ft 15/19 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md 16000 | HARIGEORGIOU KONSTAN | field |
| 8 | SPICY KARAMELORAMOS YABRIEL O | 8.0 | U | MSW → MCLTop last paceSame trip2026-09-09 PEN 5f 61.60 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-08-22 PEN 5f 62.60 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md 16000 | AGNEW NAOISE | field |
| 3 | RAVELTORRES JOMAR | 12.0 | U | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-25 PEN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 20/34; 2026-09-11 PEN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 8/15 · barn: change vs MCCLELLAN ERIN C | fMd25000 → Md 16000 | RATHMAN ELISHA | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPEN R3 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1320y · Md 16000
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#9 vs #2) sets up for pace-neutral presser/stalker; high pressure favors midpack
- CHALKFavorite#1 ZEPHYRS JEWEL · solid · top fig 72, bullet work, MSW dropper with a legitimate class edge — opposable only on price
- LEANWinner call#1 ZEPHYRS JEWEL · best horse, top fig, sharp work, class dropper with a stalking path that survives the duel
- PRIMED#6 BROADWAY MUSICAL · rising figs + third start of cycle + presser path in A/B — but no price overlay per ingest
- PRICEnone (ingest: no non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only model overlay is the chalk; no primed non-chalk horse clears an overlay threshold
- KILLZEPHYRS JEWEL exits a bounce setup (big fig spike off MSW in a first start back for the class); if #6 fires third-start and drifts live at the windows, worth monitoring but not a sheet play without an overlay
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint maiden claimer at Penn, nine-horse field with honest pressure expected from the two-speed map, moderate-to-high volatility given the maiden tag and class drop mix. Shape favors pace-neutral types as #9 MY LIZZY LOU and #2 MONICA are set to hook up early, softening the lead for stalkers, while chalk #1 ZEPHYRS JEWEL (top fig in the field at 72, bullet work, MSW dropper) is the class of the race and holds a model overlay but is cemented as chalk at ML 3. #6 BROADWAY MUSICAL is the only primed non-chalk horse (rising figs 55→66, third start of cycle, presser style), with a clean A/B path sitting just off the duel from post 6, but the model edge is only 0.010 and the ingest calls no price overlays.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZEPHYRS JEWEL | 3.0 | 19.5% | 24.4% | +4.9% | 1.10 | S | favoriteRising figsMSW → MCLSharp workTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | BROADWAY MUSICAL | 4.0 | 15.6% | 16.6% | +1.0% | 0.45 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 9 | MY LIZZY LOU | 5.0 | 13.0% | 13.1% | +0.1% | 0.23 | E | 2nd off layoffBarn change | — |
| 4 | FROSTY FOR EVER | 6.0 | 11.2% | 10.4% | -0.7% | -0.07 | C | Same trip | — |
| 2 | MONICA | 8.0 | 8.7% | 8.1% | -0.6% | -0.08 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | DONT EVEN THINK | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.7% | -1.0% | -0.28 | C | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 7 | EDDIES PROMISE | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.6% | -1.1% | -0.33 | S | MSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 8 | SPICY KARAMELO | 8.0 | 8.7% | 6.8% | -1.9% | -0.78 | U | MSW → MCLTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | RAVEL | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.4% | -0.6% | -0.24 | U | Barn changeSame trip | — |