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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R2 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

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Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#6 #12 #11)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#6WADO WAVEEP
  2. C2#12RED RAINBOWEP
  3. C3#11ARMY MEDICEP
  4. C4#2HISSYFITTERUU
  5. C5#5BETTY WHOP
  6. C6#4BROADWAY BETTYUU
  7. C7#9ASIAN SUNUU
  8. C8#7VALIANT WAR GIRLS
  9. C9#8STRAWBERRY FLOATUU
  10. C10#3SNOW BUNNYC
  11. C11#1MY MY MY DELILAHC
  12. C12#10QUEEN MCKINZIEC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #6 WADO WAVE and #12 RED RAINBOW and #11 ARMY MEDIC. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #5 BETTY WHO, #7 VALIANT WAR GIRL · hurts #6 WADO WAVE, #12 RED RAINBOW, #11 ARMY MEDIC

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #6 WADO WAVE and #12 RED RAINBOW and #11 ARMY MEDIC hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #5 BETTY WHO, #7 VALIANT WAR GIRL · hurts #6 WADO WAVE, #12 RED RAINBOW, #11 ARMY MEDIC

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 VALIANT WAR GIRL, #3 SNOW BUNNY, #1 MY MY MY DELILAH, #10 QUEEN MCKINZIE).

Helps #7 VALIANT WAR GIRL, #3 SNOW BUNNY, #1 MY MY MY DELILAH, #10 QUEEN MCKINZIE · hurts #6 WADO WAVE, #12 RED RAINBOW, #11 ARMY MEDIC

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
12RED RAINBOWTORRES CRISTIAN A3.0EPLed last2026-08-22 HPT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 8/15; 2026-06-20 HPT 4f 50.20 B MT ft 4/15 · barn: same as lastfMd50000 → Md 20000WISMER TROY SFavorite
3SNOW BUNNYSAEZ LUIS4.0CRising figsBarn changeSharp workSame trip2026-09-28 HPT 4f 49.60 B MT ft bullet 1/5; 2026-09-17 HPT 4f 49.60 B MT ft bullet 1/7 · barn: change vs MATTHEWS RANDYfMd30000 → Md 20000HENDRICKSON LORIfield
2HISSYFITTERGAFFALIONE TYLER4.5UMSW → MCLSame trip2026-09-25 CD 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 47/69; 2026-09-13 CD 4f 48.80 B MT ft 34/107 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 20000COLEBROOK BENfield
5BETTY WHOHERNANDEZ LUIS A8.0PRising figsLed last2026-07-27 BTP 3f 38.20 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-07-13 BTP 4f 49.20 B MT ft 3/8 · barn: same as lastfMd20000 → Md 20000SALCEDO RAMONfield
10QUEEN MCKINZIEASMUSSEN KEITH J10.0CRising figsTop last fig2026-09-30 TP 5f 62.40 B MT ft 11/14; 2026-09-21 TP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 23/38 · barn: same as lastfMd30000 → Md 20000ASMUSSEN STEVEN Mfield
1MY MY MY DELILAHARRIETA FRANCISCO8.0CMSW → MCL2026-10-01 KEE 5f 62.00 B MT ft 8/12; 2026-09-26 KEE 5f 62.40 B MT ft 12/15 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 20000SIMS MATTHEW Pfield
7VALIANT WAR GIRLMACHADO LUAN10.0SRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-05 TTC 3f 36.20 B MT ft bullet 1/12; 2026-08-29 TTC 4f 50.00 B MT ft 22/61 · barn: same as lastfMd20000 → Md 20000ENNIS JOHNprimed
11ARMY MEDICWALES T20.0EPLed lastSame trip2026-10-01 FP 4f 51.80 B MT ft 13/14; 2026-09-24 FP 4f 49.80 B MT ft 5/13 · barn: same as lastfMd16000 → Md 20000IRION HEATHERfield
6WADO WAVEBEJARANO R20.0EP3rd start cycleLed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-09-12 BTP 5f 62.80 B MT ft 5/6; 2026-08-19 BTP 5f 62.40 B MT ft 1/3 · barn: same as lastfMd50000 → Md 20000DIMMETT JAMESfield
4BROADWAY BETTYMORALES EDGAR15.0UTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-12 SKY 4f 51.20 B MT ft 12/14; 2026-08-22 SKY 5f 62.40 B MT ft 6/6 · barn: same as lastfMd50000 → Md 20000HUMPHRIES THOMASfield
9ASIAN SUNGRAHAM J20.0UMSW → MCLSame trip2026-09-14 DTT 4f 48.40 B MT gd 1/2; 2026-09-01 DTT 4f 47.40 B MT sl 1/1 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 20000CHAPMAN JAMES Kfield
8STRAWBERRY FLOATANTONGEORGI WILLIAM JR30.0UMSW → MCLSame trip2026-10-01 BTP 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/4; 2026-09-12 BTP 4f 49.80 B MT ft 16/30 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 20000AXMAKER CODY Wfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEKEE R2 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1540y · Md 20000
  2. SHAPEWall of EP speed (#6 #12 #11) → honest-to-pressured pace; stalkers and closers have a live setup in A and B
  3. CHALKFavorite#12 RED RAINBOW · opposable · dropped from fMd50000, led turf last, figs declining (81→78→61), post 12 into a three-way speed duel, zForm -0.65
  4. LEANWinner call#12 RED RAINBOW · best compiled figure in the speed group, class drop is real, but opposable on pace and form
  5. PRIMED#7 VALIANT WAR GIRL — rising figs (50→59), 2nd off layoff (150d gap into last), same sprint trip; path exists in A/B from post 7
  6. PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay clears the model
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only model overlay is chalk (#12); no non-chalk horse carries a confirmed price edge
  8. KILLIf #12 clears clean from post 12 and the duel never develops, lone-speed scenario inverts the whole map
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes

Why

Dirt sprint maiden claimer at Keeneland, 12-horse field, high volatility given the wall of early pace and thin figures.

Three EP types (#6, #12, #11) project to the front simultaneously, setting up an honest-to-pressured pace that should clear the decks for stalkers and closers, with chalk #12 RED RAINBOW drawing outside post 12 into that mess after a soft turf last and declining figures on dirt.

#7 VALIANT WAR GIRL is the designated primed horse (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, same trip), has a stalking style that fits scenarios A and B, and figures to find clear ground from post 7 if the speed war unfolds as projected — however, her model edge is negative and the sheet flags no price overlay for her, so the primed signal is not confirmed by price.

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Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

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Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

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Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#7 VALIANT WAR GIRLML 10.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
12RED RAINBOW3.019.6%22.5%+2.8%0.75EPfavoriteLed last—
3SNOW BUNNY4.015.7%16.9%+1.2%0.49CRising figsBarn changeSharp workSame trip—
2HISSYFITTER4.514.3%13.1%-1.1%-0.13UMSW → MCLSame trip—
5BETTY WHO8.08.7%9.7%+0.9%0.61PRising figsLed last—
10QUEEN MCKINZIE10.07.1%7.7%+0.6%0.52CRising figsTop last fig—
1MY MY MY DELILAH8.08.7%7.1%-1.6%-0.61CMSW → MCL—
7VALIANT WAR GIRL10.07.1%6.3%-0.8%-0.27SRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip—
11ARMY MEDIC20.03.7%4.1%+0.4%0.60EPLed lastSame trip—
6WADO WAVE20.03.7%4.0%+0.2%0.44EP3rd start cycleLed lastTop last paceSame trip—
4BROADWAY BETTY15.04.9%3.7%-1.2%-0.94UTrouble lastSame trip—
9ASIAN SUN20.03.7%2.9%-0.8%-0.76UMSW → MCLSame trip—
8STRAWBERRY FLOAT30.02.5%2.0%-0.5%-0.71UMSW → MCLSame trip—