EVD R7 · 2026-10-02
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find EVD R7 · 2026-10-02 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2PK SILVER STREAKUU
- C2#9ZOOMIN LEGACYUU
- C3#10PINCH THAT TAILUU
- C4#6LYNNS SWEET ANGELUU
- C5#8JJ FANTASTIC TRAINUU
- C6#4DOWNTOWN PERRYUU
- C7#5FIRST TEE DOWNUU
- C8#7THE STRONG ALLIANCEUU
- C9#1SHEZA KOOL ROGUEUU
- C10#3ELOSCARINUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PK SILVER STREAKHERNANDEZ RENE | 2.5 | U | Trouble lastBarn changeSame trip2026-04-25 DED 1f 12.40 B MT ft 18/50; 2026-02-13 LAD 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 56/114 · barn: change vs CAMPOS FRANCISCO SR | sMd20000 → Md 5000 | CAMPOS FRANCISCO JR | Favorite |
| 9 | ZOOMIN LEGACYMARTINEZ EDDI EMANUEL | 3.0 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip2026-08-25 DED 1f 12.60 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-05-16 DED 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 9/19 · barn: change vs BLANCHET CHRIS | sMd5000c → Md 5000 | VIDANA RENE SAIAS | primed |
| 10 | PINCH THAT TAILRANSOM B | 4.5 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-04-07 DED 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 42/67; 2026-03-13 LAD 1f 13.40 Bg MT ft 30/36 · barn: same as last | sMd5000 → Md 5000 | ELLIS TREY | primed |
| 6 | LYNNS SWEET ANGELMORALES ADRIAN X | 6.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-02-13 LAD 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 63/114; 2026-01-16 LAD 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 43/66 · barn: same as last | fsMd10000 → Md 5000 | RHODES DUSTIN | field |
| 8 | JJ FANTASTIC TRAINEDISON RANDY JR | 8.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-13 DED 1f 12.00 B MT ft 4/16; 2026-06-17 DED 1f 11.80 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: same as last | sMd20000 → Md 5000 | CARRIZALES JOSE | primed |
| 4 | DOWNTOWN PERRYLUNA UBALDO | 10.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-09 DED 1f 13.40 Bg MT ft 87/94; 2026-03-12 HOU 1.1f 14.40 Bg MT ft 23/24 · barn: same as last | fsMd10000 → Md 5000 | FIERRO CARLOS A | field |
| 5 | FIRST TEE DOWNSANCHEZ MARCELO | 12.0 | U | —2026-09-16 EVD 1f 12.60 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-08-13 DED 1f 12.40 B MT ft 8/16 · barn: LOPEZ JOSE U (no last-line barn) | — → Md 5000 | LOPEZ JOSE U | field |
| 7 | THE STRONG ALLIANCEGARCIA- GONZALEZ JUAN | 15.0 | U | Same trip2026-04-28 DED 1f 12.40 B MT ft 11/18; 2026-03-21 LAD 1f 13.00 Bg MT ft 34/39 · barn: same as last | Md5000 → Md 5000 | FLORES SALVADOR G | field |
| 1 | SHEZA KOOL ROGUEESPINOSA PEDRO CHAVARRIA | 20.0 | U | Same trip2026-06-15 DED 1f 13.80 Bg MT my 3/3; 2026-06-09 DED 1f 13.20 B MT ft 11/14 · barn: same as last | fsMd10000 → Md 5000 | RUBIO JORGE E | field |
| 3 | ELOSCARINRODRIGUEZ JOSE ARIEL | 20.0 | U | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-09 DED 1f 12.40 B MT ft 7/12; 2026-07-03 DED 1f 13.40 B MT ft 9/10 · barn: same as last | Md20000 → Md 5000 | GONZALEZ OSCAR L | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEEVD R7 · 2026-10-02 · Dirt 300y · Md 5000
- SHAPEPace unknown across all 10 starters; crawl likely; chalk is a fading-fig dropper, opposable
- CHALKFavorite#2 PK SILVER STREAK · opposable · fig collapsed to 50 last out, negative model edge, barn change, drop looks bearish
- LEANWinner call#10 PINCH THAT TAIL · rising figs, same trip, competitive finishes at this level
- PRIMED#10 PINCH THAT TAIL (rising figs, trouble last, same trip); #9 ZOOMIN LEGACY (rising figs, trouble last, barn change); #8 JJ FANTASTIC TRAIN (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, same trip)
- PRICENo price — no non-chalk overlay clears the edge threshold
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLAny pace style revealed pre-race that puts a lone-speed type into a clear lead; live tote shorter than 4-1 on #10 would compress any value regardless
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes, bias data for this EVD meet
Why
Dirt 300y maiden claiming sprint at EVD with a 10-horse field, all pace styles unknown, making this a high-volatility race with a very thin information base. Chalk #2 PK SILVER STREAK opens at 2.5 but shows a sharp fig regression (78→72→50) and carries a class drop from sMd20000 that reads more like a barn clean-out than a confident send; the model edge is negative and the new barn (Campos Jr. vs Sr.) adds uncertainty, so the chalk is opposable on shape and form grounds. #10 PINCH THAT TAIL is the most coherent primed candidate — rising figs (68→73→76) at the same trip distance, still finishing 4th in a competitive spot, class neutral today; post 10 is the only concern in a short 300y where ground is tight, but if this field crawls the outside has a clear path. ---
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PK SILVER STREAK | 2.5 | 22.0% | 20.2% | -1.8% | -0.22 | U | favoriteTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 9 | ZOOMIN LEGACY | 3.0 | 19.3% | 19.6% | +0.3% | 0.19 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 10 | PINCH THAT TAIL | 4.5 | 14.0% | 15.3% | +1.3% | 0.48 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | LYNNS SWEET ANGEL | 6.0 | 11.0% | 12.1% | +1.1% | 0.51 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 8 | JJ FANTASTIC TRAIN | 8.0 | 8.6% | 8.7% | +0.1% | 0.18 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 4 | DOWNTOWN PERRY | 10.0 | 7.0% | 7.9% | +0.9% | 0.60 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | FIRST TEE DOWN | 12.0 | 5.9% | 5.7% | -0.2% | -0.00 | U | — | |
| 7 | THE STRONG ALLIANCE | 15.0 | 4.8% | 4.9% | +0.1% | 0.22 | U | Same trip | — |
| 1 | SHEZA KOOL ROGUE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.2% | -0.5% | -0.41 | U | Same trip | — |
| 3 | ELOSCARIN | 20.0 | 3.7% | 2.4% | -1.3% | -1.57 | U | Tag dropSame trip | — |