WRD R7 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find WRD R7 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2HOTT ENVYUU
- C2#1KISSES N CANDYUU
- C3#9PHUN LOVINUU
- C4#7QT BABYUU
- C5#5BESAME EL POLVOUU
- C6#8POLITICAL DIME PIECEUU
- C7#6LOVE TO FLY HIGHUU
- C8#3PERJJURYUU
- C9#4SKYLINE WAGONUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | HOTT ENVYVILLA OSCAR | 2.0 | U | Same trip2026-08-26 RP 1f 12.80 H MT ft 10/25; 2026-08-05 DRT 1f 12.80 Hg MT ft 12/14 · barn: same as last | sMd30000 → Md Sp Wt | VANE JED H | Favorite |
| 1 | KISSES N CANDYESCOBEDO EDWIN G | 3.0 | U | Same trip2026-06-20 ARP 1f 12.80 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-03-12 RP 1.1f 13.80 Hg MT ft 37/103 · barn: same as last | FutTrl8000 → Md Sp Wt | MANRIQUEZ FERNANDO IVAN | field |
| 9 | PHUN LOVINHERNANDEZ-GALLARDO JAVIER | 4.5 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-28 WRD 1f 12.20 Hg MT ft 20/29; 2026-07-14 FMT 1.1f 14.80 Hg MT ft 5/5 · barn: same as last | Md20000 → Md Sp Wt | HURDLE MICHELLE | overlay |
| 7 | QT BABYBENN CORDARELTON J | 6.0 | U | Trouble lastSame trip2026-09-15 FRN 1f 12.20 B MT ft 2/12; 2026-07-03 WYO 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 8/21 · barn: same as last | FutTrl6000 → Md Sp Wt | DAVIS JOE M | field |
| 5 | BESAME EL POLVOJAQUEZ OSCAR | 10.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-08 RP 1f 12.80 H MT ft 7/11; 2026-03-12 RP 1.1f 14.20 Hg MT ft 64/103 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | GAMEZ JOSE | primed |
| 8 | POLITICAL DIME PIECEMARTINEZ ARAM S | 15.0 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastTop last figSame trip2026-08-31 RP 1f 13.00 H MT ft 9/9; 2026-04-21 RP 1f 13.00 H MT ft 4/6 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | GONZALEZ JORGE | primed |
| 6 | LOVE TO FLY HIGHDELGADO MARIO | 20.0 | U | —2026-08-25 WRD 1f 11.60 Hg MT ft 8/46; 2026-08-05 RP 1f 12.40 Hg MT ft bullet 1/17 · barn: TORRES VALERIE (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | TORRES VALERIE | field |
| 3 | PERJJURYBROOKS J D | 20.0 | U | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-11 RP 1f 12.60 H MT ft 3/11; 2026-07-29 RP 1f 12.80 H MT ft 16/17 · barn: same as last | Alw77000nc → Md Sp Wt | CRAWFORD TYLER COLE | field |
| 4 | SKYLINE WAGONCRUZ ROMAN | 20.0 | U | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-28 WRD 1f 12.60 H MT ft 25/29; 2026-03-19 RP 1.1f 14.60 Hg MT ft 56/56 · barn: same as last | sTrial → Md Sp Wt | RUIZ JESUS RUBEN | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEWRD R7 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 250y · Md Sp Wt
- SHAPEAll-unknown pace map; lone-speed or duel both possible; 250y means gate speed dominates, pace shape is nearly irrelevant
- CHALKFavorite#2 HOTT ENVY · short · negative model edge, weak signal, class jump from claiming; not opposable on shape (unknown), just overbet
- LEANWinner call#8 POLITICAL DIME PIECE · top fig in field (82), rising cycle 67→80→82, bumped last start masked the effort
- PRIMED#8 POLITICAL DIME PIECE (rising figs, trouble last, top last fig); #5 BESAME EL POLVO (rising figs, 2nd off layoff); #4 SKYLINE WAGON (2nd off layoff, trouble last)
- PRICE#9 PHUN LOVIN (edge 0.022, ML 4.5) — only model overlay; #8 not a model overlay but primed with path
- PLAYPrice ticket#8 POLITICAL DIME PIECE · min 12-1 · WIN — if board collapses under 10-1, PASS
- KILLGate incident (bumped again); if tote hammers #8 under 10-1 the price is gone; trainer ROI negative at -1.18 TJ
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt 250y maiden special weight at Woodlands, nine runners with all pace styles unknown — high volatility in a short sprint where the gate decides most of it. Shape is a complete unknown with every style coded U, so the pace map is a coin flip; chalk #2 HOTT ENVY (ML 2) is rising from a claiming start but carries a negative model edge and a weak signal of -0.71, making it short and not particularly solid. The one horse with multiple ready flags and a genuine "top fig in the field" angle is #8 POLITICAL DIME PIECE — climbing figs (67→80→82), trouble last (bumped after the start at FMT), and the highest last BRIS fig on the sheet, though 15-1 morning line means the board needs to hold.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | HOTT ENVY | 2.0 | 27.7% | 23.2% | -4.5% | -0.71 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 1 | KISSES N CANDY | 3.0 | 20.8% | 22.6% | +1.8% | 0.33 | U | Same trip | — |
| 9 | PHUN LOVIN | 4.5 | 15.1% | 17.3% | +2.2% | 0.55 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | QT BABY | 6.0 | 11.9% | 12.8% | +0.9% | 0.30 | U | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | BESAME EL POLVO | 10.0 | 7.5% | 7.2% | -0.3% | -0.17 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 8 | POLITICAL DIME PIECE | 15.0 | 5.2% | 5.9% | +0.7% | 0.52 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | LOVE TO FLY HIGH | 20.0 | 4.0% | 4.0% | -0.0% | -0.00 | U | — | |
| 3 | PERJJURY | 20.0 | 4.0% | 3.7% | -0.3% | -0.29 | U | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 4 | SKYLINE WAGON | 20.0 | 4.0% | 3.5% | -0.5% | -0.53 | U | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip | — |