PRX R7 · 2026-09-29
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#2 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2LIDO SHUFFLEEP
- C2#5MOR CHEESE PLEASEE
- C3#4CHANGE YOUR BOOTSS
- C4#3RELENTLESSNESSS
- C5#8QUICK TO JUDGES
- C6#6WORLD WIDE WEBS
- C7#9FRANKIE COFFEECAKEC
- C8#1KING OF SALSAC
- C9#7IRISH WISHC
- C10#10TONGUE TIEDC
Honest pace among #2 LIDO SHUFFLE and #5 MOR CHEESE PLEASE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 CHANGE YOUR BOOTS, #3 RELENTLESSNESS, #8 QUICK TO JUDGE, #6 WORLD WIDE WEB · hurts #2 LIDO SHUFFLE, #5 MOR CHEESE PLEASE
Pressure: #2 LIDO SHUFFLE and #5 MOR CHEESE PLEASE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 CHANGE YOUR BOOTS, #3 RELENTLESSNESS, #8 QUICK TO JUDGE, #6 WORLD WIDE WEB · hurts #2 LIDO SHUFFLE, #5 MOR CHEESE PLEASE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 CHANGE YOUR BOOTS, #3 RELENTLESSNESS, #8 QUICK TO JUDGE, #6 WORLD WIDE WEB, #9 FRANKIE COFFEECAKE, #1 KING OF SALSA, #7 IRISH WISH, #10 TONGUE TIED).
Helps #4 CHANGE YOUR BOOTS, #3 RELENTLESSNESS, #8 QUICK TO JUDGE, #6 WORLD WIDE WEB, #9 FRANKIE COFFEECAKE, #1 KING OF SALSA, #7 IRISH WISH, #10 TONGUE TIED · hurts #2 LIDO SHUFFLE, #5 MOR CHEESE PLEASE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MOR CHEESE PLEASEADORNO ABNER | 3.0 | E | Led last2026-08-12 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 25/47; 2026-07-10 HPT 4f 48.80 B MT ft bullet 1/8 · barn: same as last | Md25000 → Md 25000 | PADILLA HUGO O | Favorite |
| 9 | FRANKIE COFFEECAKELOPEZ PASCACIO | 4.0 | C | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip2026-09-11 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 14/26; 2026-05-20 PRX 5f 61.20 B MT ft 5/14 · barn: same as last | Md30000v → Md 25000 | CROOK-DEMASI KATHLEE | overlay |
| 4 | CHANGE YOUR BOOTSRIVERA KENDRY | 3.5 | S | 2nd off layoffMSW → MCLSame trip2026-08-15 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 25/65; 2026-08-08 PRX 5f 62.20 B MT gd 11/13 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md 25000 | HAWTHORNE BOBBI ANNE | field |
| 10 | TONGUE TIEDSANCHEZ MYCHEL J | 5.0 | C | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-20 PRX 4f 48.60 B MT gd 15/57; 2026-08-07 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 26/30 · barn: change vs BROWN HOWARD R JR | Md25000c → Md 25000 | PINO MICHAEL V | field |
| 2 | LIDO SHUFFLETORRES BRYAN L | 5.0 | EP | Trouble lastMSW → MCLTop last paceSame trip2026-07-15 PRX 5f 63.00 B MT ft 10/11; 2026-07-08 PRX 4f 52.00 B MT ft 50/52 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md 25000 | CROOK-DEMASI KATHLEE | field |
| 6 | WORLD WIDE WEBRUIZ ELISEO | 8.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-20 PRX 4f 48.80 B MT gd 23/57; 2026-09-12 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 39/89 · barn: same as last | Md30000 → Md 25000 | ARISTONE PHILIP T | field |
| 3 | RELENTLESSNESSHERNANDEZ ANDY | 12.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-15 PRX 3f 38.60 B MT ft 15/22; 2026-08-08 PRX 3f 35.80 B MT gd 2/15 · barn: same as last | Md25000 → Md 25000 | HAWTHORNE BOBBI ANNE | field |
| 1 | KING OF SALSAOCASIO LUIS M | 12.0 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-12 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 55/89; 2026-08-20 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 10/21 · barn: same as last | Md25000 → Md 25000 | SOLIS JACINTO | field |
| 8 | QUICK TO JUDGEMARTINEZ FRANCISCO | 20.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-18 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 16/26; 2026-08-05 PRX 4f 47.40 B MT ft 2/29 · barn: same as last | Md16000 → Md 25000 | ST LEWIS URIAH | field |
| 7 | IRISH WISHINIRIO MAICOL J | 20.0 | C | Rising figs2026-06-10 PID 4f 50.00 Bg MT ft 3/7; 2026-05-15 PID 4f 49.60 B MT ft 14/33 · barn: same as last | Md7500 → Md 25000 | VALDEZ MOISES | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R7 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1430y · Md25000 maiden claiming
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#2 vs #5) — pressure high; stalkers/closers live in A and B
- CHALKFavorite#5 MOR CHEESE PLEASE · short but opposable — has led and wilted under pressure before; pace map actively works against it
- LEANWinner call#9 FRANKIE COFFEECAKE · rising figs, class drop, top fig in field, closer with A/B path
- PRIMED#9 FRANKIE COFFEECAKE (rising figs + tag drop + top fig; 2+ flags, non-chalk)
- PRICE#9 FRANKIE COFFEECAKE · ML 4-1 · edge 0.029 per model
- PLAYPrice ticket#9 FRANKIE COFFEECAKE · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if board comes up shorter)
- KILLPace collapses to a crawl (lone speed clears unchallenged); #2 scratches and #5 gets a lone lead at honest fractions; #9 draws into traffic wide from post 9 and loses ground on turn
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint, Md25000 maiden claiming at PRX with ten starters — moderate-to-high volatility given the raw maiden form and a pace duel built into the map. Two need-the-lead types (#2 Lido Shuffle, #5 Mor Cheese Please) are set to hook up from the rail area, which pressures the chalk and lifts every stalker/closer with a clean path; #5 is the chalk at 3-1 ML and is solid on figs but faces a pace test it has failed before when pressured. #9 Frankie Coffeecake is the one primed price horse: rising figs (66→77, +11), a real class drop from Md30000v into Md25000, top last BRIS fig in the field (77), and a closer style that profits directly from the A/B duel scenario — post 9 is wide but the pace will be honest and this horse has shown it can come from off the pace on this exact oval at this exact distance (1430y, PRX, Aug 15 line). ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MOR CHEESE PLEASE | 3.0 | 18.3% | 21.5% | +3.2% | 0.97 | E | favoriteLed last | — |
| 9 | FRANKIE COFFEECAKE | 4.0 | 14.6% | 17.6% | +2.9% | 1.04 | C | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 4 | CHANGE YOUR BOOTS | 3.5 | 16.3% | 16.0% | -0.3% | 0.24 | S | 2nd off layoffMSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 10 | TONGUE TIED | 5.0 | 12.2% | 11.2% | -1.0% | -0.02 | C | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 2 | LIDO SHUFFLE | 5.0 | 12.2% | 10.9% | -1.3% | -0.15 | EP | Trouble lastMSW → MCLTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | WORLD WIDE WEB | 8.0 | 8.1% | 8.5% | +0.4% | 0.48 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 3 | RELENTLESSNESS | 12.0 | 5.6% | 4.4% | -1.2% | -0.65 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 1 | KING OF SALSA | 12.0 | 5.6% | 4.3% | -1.3% | -0.73 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 8 | QUICK TO JUDGE | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.0% | -0.4% | -0.23 | S | Same trip | — |
| 7 | IRISH WISH | 20.0 | 3.5% | 2.5% | -1.0% | -0.96 | C | Rising figs | — |