FL R5 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FL R5 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#9 #6 #2 #1 #3)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#9RENAISSANCE MANEP
- C2#6GRAND WARRIOREP
- C3#2ROCKSTAR CASANOVAEP
- C4#1SONG SO SWEETEP
- C5#5SO SPIRITEDP
- C6#7REDOUBTABLERIPKENS
- C7#8REAL ELEVEP
- C8#3JOHN THE BAPTISTE
- C9#4FISCAL DRAGC
Honest pace among #9 RENAISSANCE MAN and #6 GRAND WARRIOR and #2 ROCKSTAR CASANOVA and #1 SONG SO SWEET and #3 JOHN THE BAPTIST. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 SO SPIRITED, #8 REAL ELEVE, #7 REDOUBTABLERIPKEN · hurts #9 RENAISSANCE MAN, #6 GRAND WARRIOR, #2 ROCKSTAR CASANOVA, #1 SONG SO SWEET, #3 JOHN THE BAPTIST
Pressure: #9 RENAISSANCE MAN and #6 GRAND WARRIOR and #2 ROCKSTAR CASANOVA and #1 SONG SO SWEET and #3 JOHN THE BAPTIST hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 SO SPIRITED, #8 REAL ELEVE, #7 REDOUBTABLERIPKEN · hurts #9 RENAISSANCE MAN, #6 GRAND WARRIOR, #2 ROCKSTAR CASANOVA, #1 SONG SO SWEET, #3 JOHN THE BAPTIST
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 REDOUBTABLERIPKEN, #4 FISCAL DRAG).
Helps #7 REDOUBTABLERIPKEN, #4 FISCAL DRAG · hurts #9 RENAISSANCE MAN, #6 GRAND WARRIOR, #2 ROCKSTAR CASANOVA, #1 SONG SO SWEET, #3 JOHN THE BAPTIST
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | GRAND WARRIORCOA KEIBER J | 2.0 | EP | Class dropLed lastSame trip2026-09-19 FE 3f 37.80 B MT ft 2/5; 2026-08-14 FE 3f 36.60 B MT ft 1/3 · barn: same as last | Alw17036n3l → Clm 5000n3l | ADAMO ANTHONY | Favorite |
| 4 | FISCAL DRAGPEREZ L E | 4.0 | C | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-15 FL 5f 61.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-06-11 BEL 4f 48.60 B TT ft 14/61 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n2l → Clm 5000n3l | D'ALESSANDRO RALPH | overlay |
| 1 | SONG SO SWEETDAVILA M A JR | 3.5 | EP | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-05 FL 4f 50.40 B MT ft 21/32; 2026-08-26 FL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 14/17 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | MCKANAS LEON J | field |
| 2 | ROCKSTAR CASANOVABAEZ JOSE | 5.0 | EP | 2nd off layoffTag drop2026-08-27 FL 4f 48.20 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-08-19 FL 3f 36.40 B MT ft bullet 1/16 · barn: same as last | Clm11000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | SAUL DANA | field |
| 5 | SO SPIRITEDDAVIS JACQUELINE A | 6.0 | P | Same trip2026-08-05 FL 4f 48.40 B MT ft 10/28; 2026-07-22 FL 4f 51.20 B MT ft 12/18 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | DIXON LINDA K | field |
| 7 | REDOUBTABLERIPKENGOMEZ O | 12.0 | S | Same trip2026-07-25 FL 4f 52.00 B MT ft 20/24; 2026-07-18 FL 4f 52.40 B MT ft 23/26 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | CLARKE MATTHEW | field |
| 9 | RENAISSANCE MANRENGIFO WLADIMIR | 15.0 | EP | Same trip2026-08-01 FL 3f 36.00 B MT ft 2/14; 2026-07-21 FL 4f 48.40 B MT ft 3/22 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | GUTTERSON KATLYNN | field |
| 8 | REAL ELEVECRUZ JOEL | 20.0 | P | Same trip2026-07-21 FL 4f 47.20 B MT ft bullet 1/22; 2026-04-18 FL 4f 47.40 B MT ft bullet 1/43 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | GUTTERSON KATLYNN | field |
| 3 | JOHN THE BAPTISTDE DIEGO EMANUEL | 25.0 | E | —2026-09-16 FL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 9/27; 2026-07-08 FL 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/19 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n3l → Clm 5000n3l | MONTANEZ ANGEL JR | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFL R5 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt / 1830y / Clm 5000n3l
- SHAPEWall of EP/E speed (#9 #6 #2 #1 #3) — pressure extreme; stalkers/closers inherit
- CHALKFavorite#6 Grand Warrior (ML 2) · opposable · leads into a pace duel, fig slipped last, class drop hides form questions
- LEANWinner call#4 Fiscal Drag · top fig, rising cycle, pace sets up for a late-running closer
- PRIMEDnone (model flags rising figs + top pace on #4 but falls short of 2-flag PRIMED threshold by sheet rules)
- PRICE#4 Fiscal Drag · edge 0.032 · only non-chalk overlay
- PLAYPrice ticket#4 Fiscal Drag · win ticket · min 4-1 (ML 4); pass if board opens below 3-1
- KILLPace doesn't collapse — if #6 clears lone at honest but not suicidal fractions and conserves, he wins anyway; also #4 broke slow last and post 4 leaves him vulnerable to early traffic again
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt route, $5,000 claiming (n3l), nine starters — moderate-to-high volatility with a wall of early speed guaranteed to cook the pace. The shape is a confirmed duel/meltdown: five EP/E types (#9, #6, #2, #1, #3) are all projected near the front, chalk #6 Grand Warrior led last and faces stiff early pressure that could shorten his stamina advantage, making the race solvable for stalkers and closers. #4 Fiscal Drag is the one non-chalk overlay — top figure in the field (77), rising fig cycle (77 over 72), top late pace, broke slow last time which hid what was a strong late run, and the brutal pace map gives a closer a genuine path in scenarios A and B. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | GRAND WARRIOR | 2.0 | 25.8% | 26.6% | +0.7% | 0.44 | EP | favoriteClass dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 4 | FISCAL DRAG | 4.0 | 15.5% | 18.6% | +3.2% | 1.07 | C | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | SONG SO SWEET | 3.5 | 17.2% | 16.2% | -1.0% | 0.09 | EP | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | ROCKSTAR CASANOVA | 5.0 | 12.9% | 11.8% | -1.1% | -0.04 | EP | 2nd off layoffTag drop | — |
| 5 | SO SPIRITED | 6.0 | 11.1% | 11.7% | +0.7% | 0.56 | P | Same trip | — |
| 7 | REDOUBTABLERIPKEN | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.5% | -0.5% | 0.01 | S | Same trip | — |
| 9 | RENAISSANCE MAN | 15.0 | 4.8% | 4.9% | +0.1% | 0.40 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 8 | REAL ELEVE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 2.9% | -0.8% | -0.59 | P | Same trip | — |
| 3 | JOHN THE BAPTIST | 25.0 | 3.0% | 1.7% | -1.3% | -1.94 | E | — |