RP R7 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find RP R7 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#7 vs #10)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#9FIRST PLAYERP
- C2#7SHOTGUN RUNNERE
- C3#10DEVILS MISCHIEFEP
- C4#8TYLERS TURNC
- C5#5ABSOLUTELY CERTAINC
- C6#3HEDGE THE RISKC
- C7#4REMITTANCEC
- C8#1MILITANTC
- C9#2OLD BOYS CLUBC
- C10#6BRILLIANT SPINC
Honest pace among #7 SHOTGUN RUNNER and #10 DEVILS MISCHIEF. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #9 FIRST PLAYER · hurts #7 SHOTGUN RUNNER, #10 DEVILS MISCHIEF
Pressure: #7 SHOTGUN RUNNER and #10 DEVILS MISCHIEF hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #9 FIRST PLAYER · hurts #7 SHOTGUN RUNNER, #10 DEVILS MISCHIEF
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#8 TYLERS TURN, #5 ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN, #3 HEDGE THE RISK, #4 REMITTANCE, #1 MILITANT, #2 OLD BOYS CLUB, #6 BRILLIANT SPIN).
Helps #8 TYLERS TURN, #5 ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN, #3 HEDGE THE RISK, #4 REMITTANCE, #1 MILITANT, #2 OLD BOYS CLUB, #6 BRILLIANT SPIN · hurts #7 SHOTGUN RUNNER, #10 DEVILS MISCHIEF
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FIRST PLAYERASMUSSEN ERIK | 3.0 | P | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-01 LAD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 14/22; 2026-08-18 RP 5f 62.80 H MT ft 6/8 · barn: same as last | Alw39000n1x → Alw 39000n1x | ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | Favorite |
| 5 | ABSOLUTELY CERTAINALVAREZ JOSE L | 4.0 | C | 2nd off layoff2026-09-22 RP 4f 50.40 H MT ft 18/26; 2026-08-20 RP 4f 49.40 H MT ft 15/53 · barn: same as last | Alw39000n1x → Alw 39000n1x | CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET | field |
| 1 | MILITANTVAZQUEZ R A | 4.5 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoff2026-09-11 RP 5f 62.80 H MT ft 20/25; 2026-08-21 RP 4f 47.80 H MT ft 2/60 · barn: same as last | Clm30000n2l → Alw 39000n1x | CASTER BOYD | primed |
| 4 | REMITTANCEELLIOTT S | 6.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-19 RP 4f 50.00 H MT ft 48/94; 2026-08-21 RP 5f 62.40 H MT ft 7/19 · barn: same as last | Clm20000n2l → Alw 39000n1x | WILLIS MINDY | primed |
| 8 | TYLERS TURNHAMILTON WESTON | 10.0 | C | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-10-03 RP 3f 38.00 H MT ft 13/31; 2026-09-12 RP 4f 47.60 H MT ft 3/81 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n3l → Alw 39000n1x | PISH DANNY | field |
| 7 | SHOTGUN RUNNERWETHEY FLOYD JR | 8.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastBarn changeSame trip2026-10-03 RP 4f 51.60 H MT ft 79/94; 2026-09-26 RP 4f 50.00 H MT ft 49/69 · barn: change vs SILVA JOSE JR | Clm7500b → Alw 39000n1x | ORTIZ ISAIAH | field |
| 3 | HEDGE THE RISKCABRERA DAVID | 10.0 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-12 RP 4f 47.20 H MT ft bullet 1/81; 2026-08-21 RP 4f 48.40 H MT ft 5/60 · barn: same as last | Alw39000n1x → Alw 39000n1x | ORTIZ ISAIAH | field |
| 10 | DEVILS MISCHIEFWISEMAN ISAIAH | 10.0 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoff2026-10-02 RP 4f 48.00 H MT ft 3/37; 2026-09-17 RP 4f 49.00 H MT ft 9/21 · barn: same as last | Clm20000b → Alw 39000n1x | EOFF TERRY | primed |
| 6 | BRILLIANT SPINQUINONEZ L S | 15.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceSame trip2026-09-03 RP 4f 48.20 H MT ft bullet 1/35; 2026-06-21 LS 5f 64.20 B MT ft 17/20 · barn: same as last | Clm20000 → Alw 39000n1x | BRAVO FRANCISCO | primed |
| 2 | OLD BOYS CLUBFRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI | 15.0 | C | Led lastBarn changeSame trip2026-08-26 RP 4f 48.20 H MT ft 4/36; 2026-08-12 RP 4f 52.00 H MT ft 41/48 · barn: change vs DAVIDSON SARAH NICOLE | Clm20000n2l → Alw 39000n1x | MARTIN STEVE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACERP R7 · 2026-10-09 · Turf 1760y · Alw 39000n1x
- SHAPEInside-rail bias, lone speed #7 vs presser #10; two-speed duel likely frees stalker #9; closers need a clean trip wide — almost all of them drew outside
- CHALKFavorite#9 FIRST PLAYER · solid · sits second on a speed duel, presser style fits A-scenario, post 9 hurts under the inside bias but his tactical position compensates
- LEANWinner call#9 FIRST PLAYER
- PRIMED#6 BRILLIANT SPIN (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, hidden pace LP 91, same trip); #4 REMITTANCE (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, same trip); #1 MILITANT (rising figs, 2nd off layoff — but dirt-to-turf barn numbers are brutal at 0% / -2.00 ROI)
- PRICENo non-chalk model overlay clears the bar; #6 BRILLIANT SPIN is the strongest primed case at 15-1 ML — minimum 12-1 to constitute a price
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no non-chalk overlay printed by the model; #6 BRILLIANT SPIN is the lone primed-price candidate but lacks model edge and the wide post on a rail-bias course kills the hidden-pace path; wait for the live tote before committing
- KILLRail bias stays intact and closers stay buried; #6 draws 7-wide every call; #9 gets a clean stalk-and-pounce trip unchallenged
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, going report / off-turf risk, rider changes
Why
Turf route at allowance n1x level, ten-closer field with one live speed source, moderate-to-high volatility given the inside-rail bias and a mass of closers who all need room. Chalk #9 FIRST PLAYER (3-1) is solid on the pace map — a presser from post 9 who likely sits second behind the lone speed, exactly where A-scenario horses land; the shape actually suits him despite a negative Asmussen turf ROI and a dirt-to-turf switch. #6 BRILLIANT SPIN carries four ready flags (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, hidden pace LP 91 in a 6th-place finish, same trip) and a trainer who posts a +1.32 ROI on turf and +0.38 on routes — the public will see Clm20000 last out and a wide trip that went nowhere, but the late energy and the cycle both say she can fire here at a double-digit price. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FIRST PLAYER | 3.0 | 19.5% | 25.6% | +6.1% | 1.28 | P | favorite2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 5 | ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN | 4.0 | 15.6% | 15.3% | -0.3% | 0.13 | C | 2nd off layoff | — |
| 1 | MILITANT | 4.5 | 14.2% | 12.4% | -1.7% | -0.33 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoff | — |
| 4 | REMITTANCE | 6.0 | 11.1% | 10.1% | -1.0% | -0.18 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 8 | TYLERS TURN | 10.0 | 7.1% | 7.5% | +0.4% | 0.42 | C | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | SHOTGUN RUNNER | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.4% | -1.2% | -0.41 | E | Rising figsLed lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | HEDGE THE RISK | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.8% | -0.3% | 0.01 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 10 | DEVILS MISCHIEF | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.1% | -1.0% | -0.42 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoff | — |
| 6 | BRILLIANT SPIN | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.8% | -0.1% | 0.11 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | OLD BOYS CLUB | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.0% | -0.9% | -0.61 | C | Led lastBarn changeSame trip | — |