PID R6 · 2026-09-29
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2LITTLE MARTHAS
- C2#4AWESOME EMPRESSP
- C3#1LITTLE MISS MUNNYP
- C4#5DONT TELL KELLYC
- C5#6HAUT LES COEURSC
- C6#7IM BLUSHINGS
- C7#3SPOTTY SHOWERSC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #4 AWESOME EMPRESS, #1 LITTLE MISS MUNNY, #2 LITTLE MARTHA, #7 IM BLUSHING · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #4 AWESOME EMPRESS, #1 LITTLE MISS MUNNY, #2 LITTLE MARTHA, #7 IM BLUSHING · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 LITTLE MARTHA, #5 DONT TELL KELLY, #6 HAUT LES COEURS, #7 IM BLUSHING, #3 SPOTTY SHOWERS).
Helps #2 LITTLE MARTHA, #5 DONT TELL KELLY, #6 HAUT LES COEURS, #7 IM BLUSHING, #3 SPOTTY SHOWERS · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LITTLE MARTHAALENCAR WALBER | 1.8 | S | Barn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-07-12 PID 4f 49.40 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-05-19 PID 5f 60.20 B MT gd bullet 1/15 · barn: change vs ROJAS MURRAY L | fClm13500c → OClm 16000 | HOUSEL TAMARA | Favorite |
| 5 | DONT TELL KELLYGALLARDO ANTONIO A | 2.5 | C | —2026-06-28 PID 3f 34.20 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-04-16 LRL 5f 62.00 B MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: same as last | fOC40000b → OClm 16000 | ROJAS MURRAY L | Favorite |
| 6 | HAUT LES COEURSRODRIGUEZ ISRAEL O | 3.5 | C | —2026-05-08 PID 4f 52.20 B MT ft 23/23; 2025-12-04 MVR 4f 49.00 B MT gd 3/34 · barn: same as last | fOC16000 → OClm 16000 | PAPPADA MICHAEL C | field |
| 1 | LITTLE MISS MUNNYROJAS MARTINA | 4.0 | P | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-05-10 PID 4f 49.60 B MT gd 11/16; 2026-04-24 PID 5f 62.00 B MT gd 1/1 · barn: same as last | fClm13500 → OClm 16000 | PAPPADA MICHAEL C | field |
| 3 | SPOTTY SHOWERSSPIETH S | 8.0 | C | —2026-08-01 CNL 4f 47.80 B MT ft 6/31; 2026-06-26 CNL 4f 47.80 B MT ft 5/17 · barn: same as last | fClm16000 → OClm 16000 | LAUER MICHAEL | field |
| 4 | AWESOME EMPRESSKINGSLEY TAYLOR | 10.0 | P | —2026-09-23 PID 4f 47.60 B MT ft 2/8; 2026-09-01 PID 4f 46.60 B MT ft bullet 1/12 · barn: same as last | fClm16000 → OClm 16000 | GUCIARDO JOHN | field |
| 7 | IM BLUSHINGMARTINEZ GADDIEL A | 10.0 | S | Same trip2026-05-12 PID 4f 48.00 B MT ft 8/30; 2026-05-07 BLF 4f 50.40 B MT sl 3/16 · barn: same as last | fClm13500 → OClm 16000 | DEPASQUALE KIMBERLY | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R6 · 2026-09-29 · D 1830y OClm 16000
- SHAPENo dedicated early speed; crawl likely; shape favors tactical
- CHALKFavorite#2 LITTLE MARTHA (1.8 ML) — solid; top fig (81), top LP (89),
- LEANWinner call#2 LITTLE MARTHA
- PRIMEDnone (LITTLE MISS MUNNY has 2 flags but steps up in tag and
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLpace scenario B materializes with surprise early type and the
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt route at OClm 16000 with a crawl-pace map and no dedicated early speed — moderate volatility in a tight seven-horse field. No pace, no closers' target: the shape favors the one horse with proven tactical rally at this exact trip, and the chalk at 1.8 ML is the clear top fig with a barn change to Housel and back-to-back 81s at this exact distance and class that confirm she fires here. No horse clears the two-flag primed bar (LITTLE MISS MUNNY has rising figs + same trip but is stepping up and has a "couldn't last" note in her most recent start), and the model shows zero non-chalk overlays.
```
stalkers/pressers from inside; bias confirms speed + inside rail
same trip, new barn (Housel), post 2 is perfect on a rail-biased
track; no shape reason to oppose
couldn't last last out — not enough to prime)
crawl map is wrong, gifting a lone-speed winner; live tote
collapses LITTLE MARTHA below 1.8 confirming the public already
agrees — no ticket scenario changes
```Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LITTLE MARTHA | 1.8 | 26.3% | 31.5% | +5.2% | 1.15 | S | favoriteBarn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | DONT TELL KELLY | 2.5 | 21.0% | 23.4% | +2.4% | 0.86 | C | favorite | — |
| 6 | HAUT LES COEURS | 3.5 | 16.4% | 14.9% | -1.4% | 0.07 | C | — | |
| 1 | LITTLE MISS MUNNY | 4.0 | 14.7% | 13.9% | -0.9% | 0.19 | P | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | SPOTTY SHOWERS | 8.0 | 8.2% | 7.0% | -1.1% | -0.17 | C | — | |
| 4 | AWESOME EMPRESS | 10.0 | 6.7% | 4.9% | -1.8% | -0.78 | P | — | |
| 7 | IM BLUSHING | 10.0 | 6.7% | 4.3% | -2.4% | -1.33 | S | Same trip | — |