LS R12 · 2026-10-10
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LS R12 · 2026-10-10 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4JT MIDLIFE CRISISUU
- C2#9KISS ME INA FLASHUU
- C3#1NATURAL FLYIN COWBOYUU
- C4#5BV HIT THE ROAD JACKUU
- C5#10EL REY DE CHILITOSUU
- C6#7HOTT FOR CHICKSUU
- C7#8RJ BLACK BEAUTYUU
- C8#6JET TWO IS ARMEDUU
- C9#2STAGGERINGCOWBOYUU
- C10#3NOT TONITE COWBOYUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | JT MIDLIFE CRISISCRUZ ROMAN | 1.8 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-24 WRD 1f 11.80 H MT ft 5/17; 2026-03-29 RP 1f 12.80 Hg MT ft 16/25 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | VARGAS MARLA DAYANA | Favorite |
| 9 | KISS ME INA FLASHPULIDO JUAN | 2.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip2026-09-01 RP 1f 12.40 H MT ft bullet 1/25; 2026-07-15 ALB 1.5f 16.60 H MT ft 4/5 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | REED KASH | Favorite |
| 1 | NATURAL FLYIN COWBOYMARTINEZ OLIVER E | 3.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-04-02 RET 1f 13.00 B MT wf 27/36; 2026-03-25 RET 1.1f 13.80 Hg MT ft 16/116 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | NUNEZ OSCAR | field |
| 5 | BV HIT THE ROAD JACKLINARES GILBERTO | 8.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-04 LS 1f 11.80 B MT ft bullet 1/32; 2026-07-07 RET 1f 12.40 B MT ft 8/9 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | LOPEZ CARLOS | field |
| 10 | EL REY DE CHILITOSMEDINA ALEJANDRO | 15.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-03-25 RET 1.1f 14.60 Hg MT ft 98/116; 2026-03-10 RET 1f 12.80 Bg MT ft 13/21 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | RODRIGUEZ MARTIN | field |
| 7 | HOTT FOR CHICKSDURAN NESTOR | 20.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-01 RP 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 6/25; 2026-08-10 DRT 1f 12.40 Hg MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | REED KASH | primed |
| 8 | RJ BLACK BEAUTYBENN CORDARELTON J | 20.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-25 RP 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 7/23; 2026-07-02 FMT 1.5f 16.80 H MT ft 5/5 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | MELTON WAYLAN | primed |
| 6 | JET TWO IS ARMEDRIVERA ALI | 20.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-21 ALB 1f 12.80 H MT ft 32/32; 2026-06-12 ALB 1f 11.80 H MT ft 7/32 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | STINEBAUGH JOHN A | field |
| 2 | STAGGERINGCOWBOYCALDERON FRANCISCO | 20.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-03 LS 1.5f 19.20 B MT ft 6/6; 2026-07-18 ALB 1f 12.00 Hg MT ft 16/57 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | JOINER JUSTIN W | field |
| 3 | NOT TONITE COWBOYRAMIREZ RAUL JR | 20.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-03 LS 1f 12.40 B MT ft 14/31; 2026-07-18 ALB 1f 12.00 Hg MT ft 21/57 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Trial | JUNGERS MARC E | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELS R12 · 2026-10-10 · D 400y Trial
- SHAPEPace fully unknown (all U), inside-rail bias favoring posts 1–3; two co-chalks dominate the model and the Sept 19 replay
- CHALKFavorite#4 JT MIDLIFE CRISIS (1.8) and #9 KISS ME INA FLASH (2.0) · solid · both won or drew off in the exact same trial 3 weeks ago; #9 holds the top field fig (98) despite a stumble
- LEANWinner call#9 KISS ME INA FLASH · top fig, rising cycle, bullets in the works, Reed barn hitting at 0.75 ROI at the meet
- PRIMED#7 HOTT FOR CHICKS (rising figs 71→91, 2nd off 197d layoff) — signals are real but edge is zero and post 7 is outside the bias window
- PRICEnone — zero non-chalk overlays on the sheet
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only overlays are the two chalk horses; no price horse clears
- KILLA surprise early type from the unknown-pace field steals the trip; bias flip to outside; scratch of either chalk reshuffles the entire map
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt 400y QH Trial at Lone Star, field of 10 two-chalks sharing the ML, extreme volatility with all pace styles unknown and an inside-rail bias clearly favoring posts 1–3. Pace map is a blank — every horse is U — but the bias data and the Sept 19 trial replay show #4 JT MIDLIFE CRISIS (post 4, fig 97 last, 2nd off layoff, won that trial) and #9 KISS ME INA FLASH (post 9, fig 98 last, top fig in the field, stumbled and bumped yet still drew off) as the two co-chalks; sheet rec is PASS on non-chalk overlays and there are zero non-chalk overlays. #7 HOTT FOR CHICKS (post 7, 20-1 ML) is the strongest primed name — rising figs (71→91), 2nd off a 197-day layoff, same trainer as #9 — but the model edge is exactly 0.00, it is not an overlay, and an outside post in an inside-rail track with unknown pace style gives it no reliable A/B path.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | JT MIDLIFE CRISIS | 1.8 | 26.4% | 29.6% | +3.2% | 0.84 | U | favorite2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 9 | KISS ME INA FLASH | 2.0 | 24.7% | 26.3% | +1.6% | 0.63 | U | favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip | — |
| 1 | NATURAL FLYIN COWBOY | 3.0 | 18.5% | 18.2% | -0.3% | 0.32 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 5 | BV HIT THE ROAD JACK | 8.0 | 8.2% | 6.8% | -1.4% | -0.36 | U | Same trip | — |
| 10 | EL REY DE CHILITOS | 15.0 | 4.6% | 3.7% | -0.9% | -0.49 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | HOTT FOR CHICKS | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.5% | +0.0% | 0.39 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 8 | RJ BLACK BEAUTY | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.1% | -0.4% | -0.16 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 6 | JET TWO IS ARMED | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.0% | -0.5% | -0.24 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | STAGGERINGCOWBOY | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.0% | -0.5% | -0.29 | U | Same trip | — |
| 3 | NOT TONITE COWBOY | 20.0 | 3.5% | 2.7% | -0.8% | -0.63 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |