GP R7 · 2026-10-04
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find GP R7 · 2026-10-04 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #1 CROSS HASTE
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1CROSS HASTEE
- C2#2TORCH IS PASSEDP
- C3#3CAPTURE THE TIMEP
- C4#5ETENDREP
- C5#6CHAPLINC
- C6#7HOLY STICKS
- C7#4SCHNITTKERC
#1 CROSS HASTE controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #1 CROSS HASTE · hurts #6 CHAPLIN, #7 HOLY STICK, #4 SCHNITTKER
Someone presses #1 CROSS HASTE. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #2 TORCH IS PASSED, #3 CAPTURE THE TIME, #5 ETENDRE, #7 HOLY STICK · hurts #1 CROSS HASTE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 CHAPLIN, #7 HOLY STICK, #4 SCHNITTKER).
Helps #6 CHAPLIN, #7 HOLY STICK, #4 SCHNITTKER · hurts #1 CROSS HASTE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CAPTURE THE TIMEGONZALEZ EDWIN | 2.0 | P | 2nd off layoffTag dropSame trip2026-08-22 GP 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 8/45; 2026-08-17 GP 3f 35.20 Bg MT ft bullet 1/36 · barn: same as last | Clm10000b → Clm 6250 | YANEZ REYNALDO | Favorite |
| 1 | CROSS HASTELEON SONNY | 4.5 | E | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip2026-08-31 GP 4f 52.00 B MT ft 61/62; 2026-08-08 GP 3f 36.60 B MT ft 12/37 · barn: same as last | Clm10000 → Clm 6250 | NUNN DOUGLAS | overlay |
| 2 | TORCH IS PASSEDHERRERA DIEGO A | 4.0 | P | Sharp workSame trip2026-09-26 GP 3f 34.80 Bg MT ft bullet 1/21; 2026-09-12 GP 3f 36.00 B MT ft bullet 1/10 · barn: same as last | Clm6250 → Clm 6250 | RAMSEY NOLAN | field |
| 7 | HOLY STICKMENESES MARCOS | 3.5 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-28 GP 4f 50.40 B MT ft 28/34; 2026-08-10 GP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 14/42 · barn: same as last | Clm12500 → Clm 6250 | SANCHEZ AMADOR MEREI | field |
| 6 | CHAPLINMORELOS JOSE E | 6.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip2026-09-14 GP 3f 38.00 B MT ft 12/17; 2026-08-16 GP 3f 37.60 B MT ft 19/30 · barn: same as last | Clm10000 → Clm 6250 | CASTRO JOSE M | primed |
| 5 | ETENDREVASQUEZ MIGUEL ANGEL | 10.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-03 GP 3f 35.60 Bg MT ft 2/25; 2026-02-28 GP 3f 35.80 B MT ft 6/18 · barn: same as last | Clm6250 → Clm 6250 | HURTAK DANIEL | field |
| 4 | SCHNITTKERMARTINEZ CARLOS | 8.0 | C | Barn changeSame trip2026-08-29 PMM 3f 36.00 B MT ft 2/23; 2026-08-01 PMM 4f 48.60 B MT ft 4/39 · barn: change vs CHAPMAN BEAU J | Clm6250c → Clm 6250 | RODRIGUEZ ANGEL M | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEGP R7 · 2026-10-04 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 6250
- SHAPELone speed (#1 CROSS HASTE), moderate pressure from three pressers; Scenario A favors the front; closers (#6, #7, #4) need fractions to empty
- CHALKFavorite#3 CAPTURE THE TIME · short (2-1 ML) · model edge -0.013, presser style sits behind the speed, no pace advantage over the lone E; usable but not opposable on shape — just short and not a send
- LEANWinner call#1 CROSS HASTE · top last fig, real class drop, lone speed with a clear path in A and B
- PRIMED#6 CHAPLIN (rising figs, 3rd start of cycle, tag drop) — path only in C; not the play
- PRICE#1 CROSS HASTE · ML 4.5 · edge 0.065 (non-chalk overlay)
- PLAYPrice ticket#1 CROSS HASTE · min 4-1 · WIN — at 7-2 or shorter, pass
- KILLA presser (most likely #2 TORCH IS PASSED, bullet work last out) hooks CROSS HASTE early and turns it into a duel; pace collapses and either CHAPLIN or HOLY STICK inherits; or works-to-form gap on CROSS HASTE is a mirage (last fig spike on a short field at a low tag)
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches after ingest, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at GP, 6250 claiming, seven starters — moderate-to-low volatility with a clear lone-speed shape and a thin overlay field. #1 CROSS HASTE is the lone E with the top last fig (79), a real class drop, and a pace path that is clean in Scenario A; chalk is #3 CAPTURE THE TIME at 2-1, a presser with a class drop and ready flags but a negative edge and a model that does not beat the market. #6 CHAPLIN is primed (rising figs, 3rd start of cycle, tag drop) but is a closer who needs a duel that may not come — C-path only — and the model does not show an overlay.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CAPTURE THE TIME | 2.0 | 26.0% | 24.7% | -1.3% | -0.17 | P | favorite2nd off layoffTag dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | CROSS HASTE | 4.5 | 14.2% | 20.7% | +6.5% | 1.55 | E | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | TORCH IS PASSED | 4.0 | 15.6% | 15.6% | -0.0% | 0.04 | P | Sharp workSame trip | — |
| 7 | HOLY STICK | 3.5 | 17.3% | 13.4% | -3.9% | -0.99 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | CHAPLIN | 6.0 | 11.1% | 10.6% | -0.5% | -0.16 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | ETENDRE | 10.0 | 7.1% | 7.6% | +0.5% | 0.29 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | SCHNITTKER | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.5% | -1.2% | -0.56 | C | Barn changeSame trip | — |