FE R5 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FE R5 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5CANT ARGUE THATP
- C2#6SHOOTS
- C3#2DONT MISS THISUU
- C4#1SPORTY ANGELAC
- C5#4SOCIALLYANNALYZEDC
- C6#3KITTABARTAC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #5 CANT ARGUE THAT, #6 SHOOT · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #5 CANT ARGUE THAT, #6 SHOOT · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 SHOOT, #1 SPORTY ANGELA, #4 SOCIALLYANNALYZED, #3 KITTABARTA).
Helps #6 SHOOT, #1 SPORTY ANGELA, #4 SOCIALLYANNALYZED, #3 KITTABARTA · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SHOOTBYNOE DESEAN | 1.6 | S | Same trip2026-07-12 WO 5f 60.00 B MT ft 2/34; 2026-06-18 WO 5f 63.00 B MT ft 8/11 · barn: same as last | fsRndeauBayB150k → Md Sp Wt | MAYNARD DESMOND | Favorite |
| 3 | KITTABARTAFORDE XAREL | 2.5 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-12 WO 4f 49.00 B TT ft 5/14; 2026-07-05 WO 4f 49.00 B MT ft 51/135 · barn: same as last | fMd8000 → Md Sp Wt | HUMBER JOSEPH | Favorite |
| 1 | SPORTY ANGELAMOSQUEIRA ISMAEL ELUID | 3.5 | C | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-06 FE 4f 50.40 B MT ft 6/10; 2026-07-24 WO 4f 52.00 Bg MT ft 38/38 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CATHCART STEVEN | field |
| 2 | DONT MISS THISJADOO STEVE | 6.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-20 FE 3f 39.80 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-08-25 FE 3f 37.60 B MT ft 4/8 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | ROBILLARD JULIE | field |
| 5 | CANT ARGUE THATJOHNSON KIRK | 10.0 | P | Rising figsLed lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-18 FE 4f 48.20 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-07-23 WO 5f 60.80 B MT ft 4/9 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | ROBILLARD JULIE | field |
| 4 | SOCIALLYANNALYZEDCONTRERAS LUIS | 8.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-06 FE 4f 51.00 B MT ft 9/10; 2026-08-25 FE 3f 39.00 B MT ft 7/8 · barn: same as last | fMd8000 → Md Sp Wt | COHEN MICHAEL | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFE R5 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1210y · Md Sp Wt
- SHAPENo early speed — crawl likely; presser #5 and stalker #6 best positioned in A/B; closers need a collapse
- CHALKFavorite#6 SHOOT · short (1.6 ML) · solid in A/B shape; top pace profile, stalker in a no-pace field
- LEANWinner call#6 SHOOT · best pace fit, stalker in a crawl, top zPace 1.24
- PRIMEDnone (model flags none with 2+ signals clear of chalk)
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays; sheet rec PASS)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLIf #5 CANT ARGUE THAT wires the field on a fast-from-the-gun pace, #6 never fires; live tote shift could move #1 inside chalk
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint maiden special at FE with a crawl-likely pace map and no dedicated early speed — moderate-to-high volatility given the field of maidens and one-run closers hunting a phantom target. No dedicated front-runner sets up a slow, bunched pace that hands the race to the presser/stalker combo of #5 and #6, both chalk-adjacent with #6 as the clear ML favorite at 1.6. No horse clears the non-chalk overlay bar — sheet rec is PASS — but #1 SPORTY ANGELA sits at 3.5 ML with top last fig in the field (58), top e1, rising cycle (52→58), post 1 inside-rail bias edge, and a pace path in scenarios A/B as a stalker who can sit and pounce if the crawl develops. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SHOOT | 1.6 | 31.1% | 32.1% | +1.0% | 0.17 | S | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 3 | KITTABARTA | 2.5 | 23.1% | 22.1% | -1.0% | -0.13 | C | favoriteRising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | SPORTY ANGELA | 3.5 | 18.0% | 19.1% | +1.1% | 0.28 | C | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | DONT MISS THIS | 6.0 | 11.5% | 10.6% | -1.0% | -0.31 | U | Same trip | — |
| 5 | CANT ARGUE THAT | 10.0 | 7.3% | 8.7% | +1.3% | 0.71 | P | Rising figsLed lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 4 | SOCIALLYANNALYZED | 8.0 | 9.0% | 7.4% | -1.6% | -0.72 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |