MNR R1 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R1 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #3 OVERLY DRAMATIC
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2LUS REDEMPTIONP
- C2#3OVERLY DRAMATICEP
- C3#7VERBAL GEYSERC
- C4#5SNATCHEDS
- C5#6MISS FUSSY PANTSC
- C6#1QUEEN IN THE DECKS
- C7#4NO NAPPINGC
#3 OVERLY DRAMATIC controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #3 OVERLY DRAMATIC · hurts #7 VERBAL GEYSER, #5 SNATCHED, #6 MISS FUSSY PANTS, #1 QUEEN IN THE DECK, #4 NO NAPPING
Someone presses #3 OVERLY DRAMATIC. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #2 LUS REDEMPTION, #5 SNATCHED, #1 QUEEN IN THE DECK · hurts #3 OVERLY DRAMATIC
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 VERBAL GEYSER, #5 SNATCHED, #6 MISS FUSSY PANTS, #1 QUEEN IN THE DECK, #4 NO NAPPING).
Helps #7 VERBAL GEYSER, #5 SNATCHED, #6 MISS FUSSY PANTS, #1 QUEEN IN THE DECK, #4 NO NAPPING · hurts #3 OVERLY DRAMATIC
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LUS REDEMPTIONARROYO N JR | 2.5 | P | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2025-09-05 FL 4f 49.40 B MT ft 5/13; 2025-08-22 FL 5f 63.20 B MT sl 6/7 · barn: same as last | fOC15000n1x → OClm 25000 | BERNARDINI JAY P | Favorite |
| 3 | OVERLY DRAMATICOLIVEROS CHARLE | 3.5 | EP | 2nd off layoffClass drop2026-09-20 MNR 4f 47.40 B MT ft 2/9; 2026-04-25 MNR 4f 46.80 B MT ft bullet 1/9 · barn: same as last | fAlw21560b → OClm 25000 | REED ERIC R | primed |
| 4 | NO NAPPINGTAPARA BRANDON | 3.0 | C | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip2025-10-01 MNR 4f 52.60 B MT ft 15/18; 2025-09-14 MNR 4f 50.60 Bg MT ft 6/8 · barn: same as last | fsTomboyB75k → OClm 25000 | BERNARDINI JAY P | field |
| 7 | VERBAL GEYSERPARKER D L | 4.5 | C | Class drop2026-09-20 MNR 4f 50.60 B MT ft 6/9; 2026-08-25 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as last | fAlw21560b → OClm 25000 | JENKINS WALLACE A | field |
| 1 | QUEEN IN THE DECKHO WESLEY | 8.0 | S | Trouble lastSame trip2026-08-01 CT 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/15; 2026-06-27 CT 4f 45.80 B MT my bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | fOC16000n1x → OClm 25000 | JONES MICHAEL E JR | field |
| 5 | SNATCHEDWEATHERLY BAILEY | 10.0 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffClass drop2026-08-15 MER 5f 63.40 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-07-29 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/27 · barn: same as last | fAlw21560b → OClm 25000 | REED ERIC R | primed |
| 6 | MISS FUSSY PANTSLEON JOSE A | 15.0 | C | —2026-01-23 MVR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 3/9; 2025-12-01 MVR 4f 48.20 B MT gd bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | fOC12500 → OClm 25000 | RIVERA NESTOR R | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R1 · 2026-09-28 · Turf 1760y · OClm 25000
- SHAPELone speed (#3 OVERLY DRAMATIC) into an inside-rail bias; presser/stalker win% dominant (50%) at this track; chalk is the class of the field at a short price
- CHALKFavorite#2 LUS REDEMPTION · solid · top fig (81), win last out, rising cycle, best speed in field, sits just off the pace; opposable only on price, not on shape
- LEANWinner call#2 LUS REDEMPTION · best figure, proven at this surface/distance, live pace path in both A and B
- PRIMED#3 OVERLY DRAMATIC (2nd off layoff, class drop, lone speed path in A); #5 SNATCHED (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, class drop — but fig ceiling 69 is well below the chalk)
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlay clears; #3 and #5 are primed but model edge is flat or negative; #7 VERBAL GEYSER shows +0.015 edge but style is C-only in A, needs chaos)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#3 OVERLY DRAMATIC wires the field on a soft pace and lone-speed path; off-turf switch scrambles the whole map; late scratch of the chalk
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/going condition, rider changes
Why
Turf route claimer at MNR, 7-horse field, moderate volatility with a clear lone-speed shape and an inside-rail bias favoring early/pressing types. #3 OVERLY DRAMATIC projects lone speed from post 3 with a sharp recent work, while chalk #2 LUS REDEMPTION (2.5 ML) is the short-priced presser with rising figs, a win last out, and the top figure in the field. #5 SNATCHED is primed (rising figs + 2nd off layoff + class drop) with a big LP (93) last time, but her best fig (69) is well below the chalk and the field's top numbers, and the model shows no overlay at 10-1 ML.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LUS REDEMPTION | 2.5 | 23.7% | 28.7% | +5.0% | 0.99 | P | favoriteRising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | OVERLY DRAMATIC | 3.5 | 18.5% | 19.4% | +1.0% | 0.44 | EP | 2nd off layoffClass drop | — |
| 4 | NO NAPPING | 3.0 | 20.8% | 17.1% | -3.7% | -0.54 | C | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | VERBAL GEYSER | 4.5 | 15.1% | 16.6% | +1.5% | 0.62 | C | Class drop | — |
| 1 | QUEEN IN THE DECK | 8.0 | 9.2% | 7.3% | -1.9% | -0.68 | S | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | SNATCHED | 10.0 | 7.5% | 6.2% | -1.3% | -0.53 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffClass drop | — |
| 6 | MISS FUSSY PANTS | 15.0 | 5.2% | 4.5% | -0.7% | -0.30 | C | — |