GP R9 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#5 #2 #6)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5REDHOTNOTBOTHEREDE
- C2#2BUILT BY KHOZANEP
- C3#6BEAU BLACKEP
- C4#8STEP SLOWS
- C5#9EL OREJONS
- C6#3GUNS AND COFFEEC
- C7#7LETHAL SPEEDC
- C8#4BLEU MARTINIC
- C9#1AWESOME BEASTC
Honest pace among #5 REDHOTNOTBOTHERED and #2 BUILT BY KHOZAN and #6 BEAU BLACK. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #8 STEP SLOW, #9 EL OREJON · hurts #5 REDHOTNOTBOTHERED, #2 BUILT BY KHOZAN, #6 BEAU BLACK
Pressure: #5 REDHOTNOTBOTHERED and #2 BUILT BY KHOZAN and #6 BEAU BLACK hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #8 STEP SLOW, #9 EL OREJON · hurts #5 REDHOTNOTBOTHERED, #2 BUILT BY KHOZAN, #6 BEAU BLACK
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#8 STEP SLOW, #9 EL OREJON, #3 GUNS AND COFFEE, #7 LETHAL SPEED, #4 BLEU MARTINI, #1 AWESOME BEAST).
Helps #8 STEP SLOW, #9 EL OREJON, #3 GUNS AND COFFEE, #7 LETHAL SPEED, #4 BLEU MARTINI, #1 AWESOME BEAST · hurts #5 REDHOTNOTBOTHERED, #2 BUILT BY KHOZAN, #6 BEAU BLACK
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GUNS AND COFFEEHUSBANDS MICAH J | 2.0 | C | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-10-04 GP 4f 49.60 B MT ft 26/38; 2026-09-27 GP 3f 36.20 B MT ft 6/30 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Clm 35000n2l | JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR | Favorite |
| 2 | BUILT BY KHOZANLEON SONNY | 4.5 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-19 PMM 3f 38.20 B MT wf 15/21; 2026-06-20 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 3/34 · barn: same as last | Clm35000n2x → Clm 35000n2l | NUNN DOUGLAS | overlay |
| 5 | REDHOTNOTBOTHEREDREYES LEONEL | 5.0 | E | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-21 PMM 4f 51.80 B MT ft 21/22; 2026-04-12 PMM 3f 36.60 B MT ft 4/13 · barn: same as last | Clm35000n2x → Clm 35000n2l | LERMAN MICHAEL | field |
| 6 | BEAU BLACKTORRES YOLBER | 6.0 | EP | Trouble last2026-10-03 GP 3f 37.80 B MT my 21/26; 2026-08-16 GP 4f 49.40 B MT ft 21/44 · barn: same as last | OC35000 → Clm 35000n2l | CASTRO JOSE M | field |
| 8 | STEP SLOWHUGHES RASHEED | 8.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-17 GP 4f 48.60 B MT ft 3/37; 2026-08-08 GP 5f 61.00 B MT ft 3/16 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n2l → Clm 35000n2l | ABREU FERNANDO | primed |
| 1 | AWESOME BEASTVASQUEZ MIGUEL ANGEL | 8.0 | C | Same trip2026-10-05 GP 4f 48.60 B MT ft 10/31; 2026-09-28 GP 4f 47.40 B MT ft 6/34 · barn: same as last | sOC20000n1x → Clm 35000n2l | DAVEY KATHRYN | field |
| 9 | EL OREJONGONZALEZ EDWIN | 10.0 | S | 3rd start cycle2026-09-14 GP 4f 50.60 B MT ft 15/15; 2026-08-17 GP 3f 38.00 B MT ft 20/36 · barn: same as last | Clm35000b → Clm 35000n2l | KLESARIS STEVE | field |
| 7 | LETHAL SPEEDSANTOS JONATHAN | 12.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-26 GP 5f 60.40 B MT ft 2/20; 2026-08-30 GP 4f 48.60 B MT gd 7/29 · barn: same as last | Clm35000n2x → Clm 35000n2l | JEHALUDI AMZADALI | field |
| 4 | BLEU MARTINIOCASIO JONATHAN | 15.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-10-05 GP 3f 37.80 B MT ft 14/17; 2026-09-27 GP 4f 48.60 B MT ft 12/43 · barn: same as last | Md12500 → Clm 35000n2l | MORZAN JAVIER E | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEGP R9 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1430y · Clm 35000n2l
- SHAPEWall of three speed horses (#5/#2/#6) into a speed-and-rail-biased track; honest-to-honest pace helps stalkers but chalk holds inside post and best figures
- CHALKFavorite#3 GUNS AND COFFEE · solid · best fig (90), top e1, inside post on a rail-biased track, class drop from MSW, no shape argument against it
- LEANWinner call#3 GUNS AND COFFEE · the form and shape both point here; chalk is the rightful winner call
- PRIMED#8 STEP SLOW (rising figs + 3rd-start cycle + trouble last) — flags are real but the class jump from CLM 10k is severe and the model shows no overlay
- PRICE#2 BUILT BY KHOZAN · ML 4.5 · edge 0.021 · EP style fits A/B scenarios; only non-chalk model overlay in the field
- PLAYPrice ticket#2 BUILT BY KHOZAN · min 4-1 · win · if ML drifts to 5-1 or better, the pace role (C2 behind the speed) and rising figs (86 last vs 81 prior) give it a legitimate path; at anything shorter than 4-1, PASS
- KILL#3 breaks sharp, clears the speed wall alone, and the pace never materializes — lone speed on a rail track at short odds is unbeatable and the overlay evaporates; also kill if #2 is scratched or drops below 4-1 on tote
- MISSINGlive tote (ML only), official scratches after ingest, track condition at post time, rider changes not in PPs
Why
Dirt sprint claiming (CLM 35000n2l, 1430y, GP) with a nine-horse field and moderate-to-high volatility driven by a three-way speed battle on a speed-and-inside-favoring track. Chalk #3 GUNS AND COFFEE drops from maiden special weight after a career-best 90 fig, owns the top early energy and the best late pace in the field, and draws post 3 on a rail-biased strip — the shape is solidly behind it, not against it. The one primed non-chalk is #8 STEP SLOW (rising figs, 3rd-start cycle, trouble last), but it jumps from CLM 10000 to CLM 35000 today — a steep class hike that the barn's 0-for-10 "up 2+ classes" stat underscores — and at ML 8 it is not an overlay by the model.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GUNS AND COFFEE | 2.0 | 26.1% | 29.4% | +3.3% | 0.76 | C | favoriteRising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | BUILT BY KHOZAN | 4.5 | 14.2% | 16.4% | +2.1% | 0.84 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | REDHOTNOTBOTHERED | 5.0 | 13.0% | 14.0% | +1.0% | 0.57 | E | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 6 | BEAU BLACK | 6.0 | 11.2% | 10.0% | -1.2% | -0.18 | EP | Trouble last | — |
| 8 | STEP SLOW | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.9% | -0.8% | -0.11 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | AWESOME BEAST | 8.0 | 8.7% | 6.8% | -1.9% | -0.71 | C | Same trip | — |
| 9 | EL OREJON | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.6% | -0.5% | -0.01 | S | 3rd start cycle | — |
| 7 | LETHAL SPEED | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.3% | -0.7% | -0.20 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | BLEU MARTINI | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.6% | -1.3% | -0.96 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |