MNR R1 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R1 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#6 #7 #3)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6SIPN SPEEDEP
- C2#7BLACK BETYE
- C3#3POSITIVE CARRYEP
- C4#4SOMESUGARNSPICEC
- C5#5GOOD ENOUGH FOR MEC
- C6#9FIAMMAP
- C7#1VALIANT ENYAC
- C8#2PRINCESS CLEMMIEP
- C9#8TAKE MY PICTUREC
Honest pace among #6 SIPN SPEED and #7 BLACK BETY and #3 POSITIVE CARRY. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #9 FIAMMA, #2 PRINCESS CLEMMIE · hurts #6 SIPN SPEED, #7 BLACK BETY, #3 POSITIVE CARRY
Pressure: #6 SIPN SPEED and #7 BLACK BETY and #3 POSITIVE CARRY hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #9 FIAMMA, #2 PRINCESS CLEMMIE · hurts #6 SIPN SPEED, #7 BLACK BETY, #3 POSITIVE CARRY
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 SOMESUGARNSPICE, #5 GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME, #1 VALIANT ENYA, #8 TAKE MY PICTURE).
Helps #4 SOMESUGARNSPICE, #5 GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME, #1 VALIANT ENYA, #8 TAKE MY PICTURE · hurts #6 SIPN SPEED, #7 BLACK BETY, #3 POSITIVE CARRY
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | TAKE MY PICTUREBARRIOS RICARDO | 2.0 | C | 2nd off layoffHidden paceSame trip2026-09-08 DTT 4f 52.00 B MT gd 2/2; 2026-06-19 LAD 4f 48.40 B MT ft 6/25 · barn: same as last | fAlw34000n1x → Alw 22000b | DALTON MICHELLE | Favorite |
| 1 | VALIANT ENYAOLIVEROS CHARLE | 3.0 | C | Rising figsTrouble lastTop last figSame trip2026-05-13 HHT 4f 51.20 Hg MT ft 6/16; 2026-04-26 HHT 4f 51.00 B MT ft bullet 1/14 · barn: same as last | fClm13500 → Alw 22000b | FENNESSY JOHN | primed |
| 3 | POSITIVE CARRYWEATHERLY BAILEY | 5.0 | EP | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-09 MNR 4f 49.20 B MT ft 2/11; 2026-07-21 BTP 4f 47.40 B MT ft 3/10 · barn: same as last | fClm15000n3x → Alw 22000b | REED ERIC R | field |
| 7 | BLACK BETYGARCIA F | 6.0 | E | Rising figsLed last2026-05-11 MNR 4f 48.60 B MT ft 6/20; 2026-02-18 MVR 4f 50.60 B MT gd 7/12 · barn: same as last | fAlw20370n3x → Alw 22000b | LOPEZ CARLOS A | field |
| 9 | FIAMMANEGRON LUIS | 10.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-23 MNR 4f 49.80 B MT ft 4/17; 2026-06-16 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/29 · barn: same as last | fAlw19950n3x → Alw 22000b | VAZQUEZ JUAN CARLOS | field |
| 2 | PRINCESS CLEMMIEBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 7.0 | P | Same trip2026-06-27 LRL 3f 39.00 B MT ft 18/19; 2026-06-06 LRL 4f 52.40 B MT ft 44/46 · barn: same as last | fClm10000 → Alw 22000b | BOUCHER LILITH | field |
| 4 | SOMESUGARNSPICEWHITACRE GRANT | 12.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last pace2026-08-13 CT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 9/18; 2026-07-30 CT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | fsSHawkinsB75k → Alw 22000b | MEEHAN ELIZABETH E | primed |
| 6 | SIPN SPEEDBRACHO AUGUSTIN | 15.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2025-11-23 MVR 4f 50.60 B MT gd 3/6; 2025-06-09 PID 5f 61.60 B MT ft 4/8 · barn: same as last | fClm15000n3x → Alw 22000b | PIZZURRO ANGELO | field |
| 5 | GOOD ENOUGH FOR MEGOMEZ ALEJANDRO | 20.0 | C | —2026-08-18 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft 8/17; 2026-07-01 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/10 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n3x → Alw 22000b | GOMEZ ALEJANDRO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R1 · 2026-09-29 · T / 1760y / Alw 22000b
- SHAPEWall of speed (#6 #7 #3) sets honest-to-meltdown pace; inside rail bias punishes post 8 chalk; closers and stalkers with inside draws are live
- CHALKFavorite#8 TAKE MY PICTURE · opposable · post 8 (0% winners posts 8+ last 30d), trainer 0% win turf / 2nd off layoff, C style needing pace help that may not materialize from the outside
- LEANWinner call#1 VALIANT ENYA · top fig 79, inside post, trouble last, rising cycle, stalking path in A and B
- PRIMED#1 VALIANT ENYA (rising_figs, trouble_last, top_last_fig, same_trip); #4 SOMESUGARNSPICE (rising_figs, third_start_cycle, top_last_pace) — #4 is C-only path on today's bias, price-only
- PRICE#1 VALIANT ENYA · model edge +0.042 · ML 3
- PLAYPrice ticket#1 VALIANT ENYA · win · minimum 5-2 (ML is 3; at shorter than 5-2 pass)
- KILLSpeed clears without a duel — lone survivor earns a soft lead and the closers have no pace target; live tote compresses #1 below the floor; off-turf switch eliminates the whole ticket
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches post-ingest, going variant (firm vs soft affects late-kick horses), rider changes
Why
Turf route at MNR, Alw 22000b, nine starters — moderate-to-high volatility given a wall of early speed pounding a bias that historically rewards inside posts and early-running horses but also shows the closers have a shot only if that speed implodes. Shape is a three-way speed duel (#6, #7, #3 all projecting near the front) on a speed/inside-biased turf strip, which sets up a genuine pace meltdown scenario; chalk #8 TAKE MY PICTURE posts 8 with a C style, 0% win rate for this trainer in second-off-layoff and turf spots, and an inside-bias card where posts 8+ have produced zero winners in the 30-day sample. #1 VALIANT ENYA is the primed price horse — rising figs (72→79, top figure in the field), trouble last (jostled, inside), post 1 rail in an inside-bias meet, and the class drop from ALW to CLM and back up reads as a horse finding her level, with a legitimate stalking path in scenarios A and B as the speed wars ahead of her.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | TAKE MY PICTURE | 2.0 | 25.7% | 24.9% | -0.9% | -0.03 | C | favorite2nd off layoffHidden paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | VALIANT ENYA | 3.0 | 19.3% | 23.5% | +4.2% | 0.89 | C | Rising figsTrouble lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | POSITIVE CARRY | 5.0 | 12.9% | 11.2% | -1.7% | -0.44 | EP | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 7 | BLACK BETY | 6.0 | 11.0% | 10.3% | -0.7% | -0.15 | E | Rising figsLed last | — |
| 9 | FIAMMA | 10.0 | 7.0% | 8.1% | +1.0% | 0.66 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | PRINCESS CLEMMIE | 7.0 | 9.6% | 7.6% | -2.1% | -0.87 | P | Same trip | — |
| 4 | SOMESUGARNSPICE | 12.0 | 5.9% | 7.0% | +1.1% | 0.79 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last pace | — |
| 6 | SIPN SPEED | 15.0 | 4.8% | 4.3% | -0.5% | -0.32 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.1% | -0.5% | -0.53 | C | — |