AJX R2 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find AJX R2 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5ARICHEUU
- C2#4CALAMITY JANE 123UU
- C3#2CARAWAYS MR MAGICUU
- C4#3LARUADECHERRYBLOSSOMUU
- C5#1CARAWAYS RISKES FATEUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ARICHECRUZ JOSE NABOR | 1.6 | U | Top last figSame trip2026-04-19 AJX 1.1f 13.80 Bg MT ft 11/20; 2025-08-16 ALB 1f 12.00 H MT ft 18/77 · barn: same as last | SPI → Md Sp Wt | TAVARES JOE | Favorite |
| 4 | CALAMITY JANE 123BELL BRIAN | 2.0 | U | Same trip2026-04-28 CTM 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 9/10; 2026-04-14 CTM 1f 12.40 H MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | SPI → Md Sp Wt | SISSON BROOKE | Favorite |
| 2 | CARAWAYS MR MAGICBENITEZ CRISTIAN | 2.5 | U | Same trip2026-09-13 AJX 1.1f 13.40 Bg MT ft 2/8; 2026-09-03 AJX 1f 13.60 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | PROCTER WAYNE | Favorite |
| 3 | LARUADECHERRYBLOSSOMCASTILLO RAMIRO SANCHEZ | 3.0 | U | —2026-09-13 AJX 1.1f 14.20 Bg MT ft 6/8; 2026-09-06 AJX 2.5f 30.60 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: BROADSTOCK BOB (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | BROADSTOCK BOB | field |
| 1 | CARAWAYS RISKES FATEBADAL MAX | 4.5 | U | —2026-09-28 AJX 1.1f 14.20 Bg MT ft 3/4; 2026-09-08 FE 1f 13.40 Bg MT ft 1/1 · barn: PROCTER WAYNE (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | PROCTER WAYNE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEAJX R2 · 2026-10-07 · D / 250y / Md Sp Wt
- SHAPEAll styles unknown, pace map unreadable, inside-rail bias favors posts 1–3 while chalk draws post 5 — shape works against the favorite on paper but cannot be confirmed
- CHALKFavorite#5 ARICHE · short (ML 1.6, post 5 vs inside-rail bias) · top fig in the field but outside post is a real liability in a race with no pace reads
- LEANWinner call#5 ARICHE · best speed figure, top signal, only horse with a meaningful PP record — still most likely winner despite the post disadvantage
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlays; both FTS entries have zero signal and no PPs)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLIf #1 or #3 (first-time starters, inside posts 1 and 3) break sharply and set any pace, the outside post on ARICHE becomes a serious problem and the race is open; also #4 CALAMITY JANE has shown a tendency to veer/lug, which could compromise the field
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes, first-time-starter debut reads (no PPs for #1 or #3)
Why
Dirt 250y maiden special at AJX, five horses, pace map entirely unknown (all styles U), with two first-time starters and a chalk at 1.6 — extreme volatility. Shape is unknowable from the data; all five styles are U, the bias favors posts 1–3 but running-style winners show 0% for every category in the 30-day sample, and #5 ARICHE (chalk, ML 1.6, post 5) has the field's top BRIS fig (90) but carries an outside post against the inside-rail bias. No horse reaches the two-flag PRIMED threshold; the sheet rec is PASS and no non-chalk overlay exists.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ARICHE | 1.6 | 26.8% | 32.7% | +5.9% | 0.88 | U | favoriteTop last figSame trip | — |
| 4 | CALAMITY JANE 123 | 2.0 | 23.2% | 20.3% | -2.9% | -0.45 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 2 | CARAWAYS MR MAGIC | 2.5 | 19.9% | 17.5% | -2.4% | -0.43 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 3 | LARUADECHERRYBLOSSOM | 3.0 | 17.4% | 17.1% | -0.4% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 1 | CARAWAYS RISKES FATE | 4.5 | 12.7% | 12.4% | -0.3% | 0.00 | U | — |