DED R3 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#6 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6COUNTLESSEP
- C2#5CARLOS THE KIDEP
- C3#10MY URBAN LEGENDUU
- C4#7CUSTOM COMETUU
- C5#9EYE FOR TROUBLEUU
- C6#8MOONLITEFEELSRIGHTUU
- C7#2MY SECOND DEALUU
- C8#3BROOKE TOWNUU
- C9#11SHOW ME MY MONEYUU
- C10#12CUSTOM CARPEUU
- C11#1BOLD ECHOUU
- C12#4SPECIAL REYUU
Honest pace among #6 COUNTLESS and #5 CARLOS THE KID. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #6 COUNTLESS, #5 CARLOS THE KID · hurts #6 COUNTLESS, #5 CARLOS THE KID
Pressure: #6 COUNTLESS and #5 CARLOS THE KID hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps — · hurts #6 COUNTLESS, #5 CARLOS THE KID
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts #6 COUNTLESS, #5 CARLOS THE KID
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOLD ECHOHERNANDEZ COLBY J | 2.5 | U | Sharp workSame trip2026-09-29 CCT 5f 62.20 B MT ft bullet 1/10; 2026-09-22 CCT 4f 51.20 B MT ft 19/59 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET | Favorite |
| 5 | CARLOS THE KIDHERNANDEZ JAVIER ANTONIO | 3.5 | EP | Same trip2026-10-01 DED 3f 40.80 B MT ft 27/28; 2026-09-24 DED 4f 50.20 B MT ft 6/22 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | POMIER CHASEY DEVILLE | field |
| 6 | COUNTLESSHERNANDEZ HARRY | 6.0 | EP | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-28 EVD 5f 63.40 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-08-03 LAD 4f 50.20 Bg MT ft 10/26 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | WILSON SHANE | field |
| 10 | MY URBAN LEGENDPEREZ CARLOS | 6.0 | U | —2026-09-26 DED 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 2/68; 2026-09-11 EVD 4f 49.60 Bg MT ft 4/12 · barn: BREAUX SAMUEL (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | BREAUX SAMUEL | field |
| 7 | CUSTOM COMETTHORNTON T G | 8.0 | U | —2026-09-30 DED 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 3/21; 2026-09-09 DED 3f 36.20 Bg MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: ROBBINS HANCE JR (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | ROBBINS HANCE JR | field |
| 9 | EYE FOR TROUBLENIEVES EMANUEL | 8.0 | U | —2026-09-29 CCT 5f 63.20 B MT ft 6/10; 2026-09-22 CCT 4f 50.60 Hg MT ft 14/59 · barn: CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET | field |
| 8 | MOONLITEFEELSRIGHTCASTILLO ISAAC | 12.0 | U | —2026-10-06 DED 3f 38.40 Bg MT ft 7/13; 2026-09-26 LAD 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 6/10 · barn: JOHNSON HENRY B JR (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | JOHNSON HENRY B JR | field |
| 2 | MY SECOND DEALRAMIREZ JULIO JR | 15.0 | U | —2026-10-03 DED 3f 38.80 B MT ft 12/23; 2026-09-23 DED 3f 37.80 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: HILL VIVIANE (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | HILL VIVIANE | field |
| 3 | BROOKE TOWNCASTILLO ALEXANDER | 20.0 | U | —2026-10-03 DED 3f 37.20 Bg MT ft 3/23; 2026-06-26 EVD 3f 38.40 B MT ft 21/21 · barn: NOEL DANE (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | NOEL DANE | field |
| 11 | SHOW ME MY MONEYARANA KELVIN | 20.0 | U | —2026-09-29 DED 4f 51.40 B MT ft 2/22; 2026-09-05 EVD 4f 49.40 B MT ft 16/59 · barn: DUSSETTE ALVIN (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | DUSSETTE ALVIN | field |
| 12 | CUSTOM CARPECASTILLO ISAAC | 20.0 | U | Sharp work2026-09-26 FG 5f 62.60 Bg MT ft 1/2; 2026-09-16 EVD 5f 63.20 B MT ft 5/6 · barn: SANCHEZ JUAN C (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | SANCHEZ JUAN C | field |
| 4 | SPECIAL REYMUDD JAMISON | 15.0 | U | Same trip2026-08-12 EVD 5f 66.20 Bg MT ft 3/3; 2026-07-30 EVD 4f 54.00 Bg MT ft 22/22 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CASTILLE CARROL | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDED R3 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1100y · Md Sp Wt · field 12
- SHAPETwo-speed duel risk (#6 COUNTLESS vs #5 CARLOS THE KID); ten unknowns; extreme volatility
- CHALKFavorite#1 BOLD ECHO · short · bulletwork, prior fig 63, post 1 suits lone-speed if duel softens rivals
- LEANWinner call#1 BOLD ECHO · chalk — only horse with a PP, sits off early, best foundation in the field
- PRIMEDnone (sheet rec confirms)
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays; model edge negative or negligible on all non-chalk)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#10 MY URBAN LEGEND or #7 CUSTOM COMET breaks sharp and wires a pace-less field; duel melts BOLD ECHO's framing
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes, bias data for DED this meet
Why
Twelve-horse dirt sprint maiden special weight at DED, heavy with first-time starters and minimal PP data, making this a high-volatility debut field where pace shape and works carry most of the weight. #1 BOLD ECHO is the 5-2 chalk with the only meaningful PP baseline, while #6 COUNTLESS owns the top last fig (66) and highest zPace in the field but both EP types project into a two-speed duel that hurts them most. No horse clears two ready flags off PPs — the sheet already calls PASS on non-chalk overlays, and the model confirms no non-chalk overlay exists. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOLD ECHO | 2.5 | 21.0% | 20.8% | -0.2% | 0.15 | U | favoriteSharp workSame trip | — |
| 5 | CARLOS THE KID | 3.5 | 16.3% | 18.5% | +2.1% | 0.67 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 6 | COUNTLESS | 6.0 | 10.5% | 12.2% | +1.7% | 0.79 | EP | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 10 | MY URBAN LEGEND | 6.0 | 10.5% | 10.0% | -0.5% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 7 | CUSTOM COMET | 8.0 | 8.2% | 7.8% | -0.4% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 9 | EYE FOR TROUBLE | 8.0 | 8.2% | 7.8% | -0.4% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 8 | MOONLITEFEELSRIGHT | 12.0 | 5.7% | 5.4% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 2 | MY SECOND DEAL | 15.0 | 4.6% | 4.4% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 3 | BROOKE TOWN | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.3% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 11 | SHOW ME MY MONEY | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.3% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 12 | CUSTOM CARPE | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.3% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | Sharp work | — |
| 4 | SPECIAL REY | 15.0 | 4.6% | 2.9% | -1.7% | -1.61 | U | Same trip | — |