MNR R3 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R3 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#1 vs #7)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1CALIFRAGILISTICE
- C2#7BABY DOGEP
- C3#5MAGI CAL NATIONUU
- C4#3MAJESTYS COWBOYP
- C5#2ITS ONLY MONEYP
- C6#4IM GREAT TWOC
- C7#6EYESONTHECANDYC
Honest pace among #1 CALIFRAGILISTIC and #7 BABY DOG. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #3 MAJESTYS COWBOY, #2 ITS ONLY MONEY · hurts #1 CALIFRAGILISTIC, #7 BABY DOG
Pressure: #1 CALIFRAGILISTIC and #7 BABY DOG hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #3 MAJESTYS COWBOY, #2 ITS ONLY MONEY · hurts #1 CALIFRAGILISTIC, #7 BABY DOG
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 IM GREAT TWO, #6 EYESONTHECANDY).
Helps #4 IM GREAT TWO, #6 EYESONTHECANDY · hurts #1 CALIFRAGILISTIC, #7 BABY DOG
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CALIFRAGILISTICPARKER D L | 2.5 | E | Led lastTop last figSame trip2026-06-16 MNR 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 5/29; 2026-06-03 MNR 4f 51.80 B MT ft 13/16 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Clm 7500n2l | BAIRD J MICHAEL | Favorite |
| 5 | MAGI CAL NATIONLEON JOSE A | 3.5 | U | Top last paceSame trip2026-08-05 MNR 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft bullet 1/20; 2026-07-29 MNR 4f 50.40 Bg MT ft 10/27 · barn: same as last | sMd15000 → Clm 7500n2l | BAIRD J MICHAEL | overlay |
| 7 | BABY DOGBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 3.0 | EP | Led lastSame trip2026-05-08 MNR 5f 64.00 B MT ft 5/7; 2026-04-24 MNR 5f 63.20 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | sClm7500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | CLOUSTON EDWARD | field |
| 2 | ITS ONLY MONEYMONSERRATE JORGE A JR | 4.5 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-19 MNR 3f 38.20 B MT ft 6/14; 2026-08-12 MNR 3f 38.60 B D MT wf 7/7 · barn: same as last | sClm7500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | PICKETT CRYSTAL G | primed |
| 3 | MAJESTYS COWBOYNEGRON LUIS | 8.0 | P | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-05-08 MNR 5f 64.00 B MT ft 5/7; 2026-04-29 MNR 3f 37.40 B D MT ft 3/10 · barn: change vs DIXON GEOFFREY A | sClm7500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | EWELL DEVAN SR | field |
| 4 | IM GREAT TWOGARCIA F | 10.0 | C | Tag dropSame trip2026-06-21 MNR 4f 51.80 B MT ft 16/18; 2025-04-16 MNR 4f 50.20 B MT ft 5/19 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n3x → Clm 7500n2l | VALDEZ MOISES | field |
| 6 | EYESONTHECANDYBRACHO AUGUSTIN | 15.0 | C | Same trip2025-12-27 CT 3f 40.20 B MT ft 19/19; 2025-03-15 CT 3f 38.40 B MT ft 22/28 · barn: same as last | fsOC15000b → Clm 7500n2l | EWELL DEVAN SR | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R3 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1100y · Clm 7500n2l
- SHAPETwo-speed duel #1 vs #7 · inside rail bias · stalkers #3/#2 inherit if speed empties · pressure high
- CHALKFavorite#1 CALIFRAGILISTIC · solid · top fig, post 1 on a rail-biased strip, class drop from MSW, model overlay — right horse, wrong price
- LEANWinner call#1 CALIFRAGILISTIC · best fig, best post, shape fits if duel stays honest
- PRIMED#2 ITS ONLY MONEY (rising figs + 2nd off layoff) — path exists in A/B but figures are basement-level and barn is 0-for-8 at meet
- PRICE#5 MAGI CAL NATION edge 0.026 at ML 3.5 — model flags it; one start back, style unknown, figs modest, thin case
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — #5 edge is razor-thin (0.026), style is U, single-start sample; no non-chalk horse clears the overlay bar with confidence
- KILLRail bias disappears or #7 pressures #1 into a honest duel that empties both; #5 unknown style breaks back and gets buried post 5
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at 1100y in a $7,500 n2l claimer — small field, low-tier class, moderate volatility with two speed horses setting up a likely duel. Shape is a two-speed tangle between chalk #1 CALIFRAGILISTIC (E, post 1, rail bias) and #7 BABY DOG (EP, post 7); chalk is the class dropper from maiden special weight with the top fig, inside post, and a model edge, making it solid but short at 2.5. #2 ITS ONLY MONEY is the primed horse (rising figs, 2nd off layoff) but figs are in the low 40s, trainer is 0-for-8 at the meet, and the 2nd-off-layoff barn stat is a brutal -1.30 ROI — path exists in A/B but the raw ability ceiling is well below the chalk.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CALIFRAGILISTIC | 2.5 | 23.7% | 29.1% | +5.4% | 1.13 | E | favoriteLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | MAGI CAL NATION | 3.5 | 18.5% | 21.0% | +2.6% | 0.84 | U | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | BABY DOG | 3.0 | 20.8% | 19.2% | -1.6% | -0.00 | EP | Led lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | ITS ONLY MONEY | 4.5 | 15.1% | 12.4% | -2.7% | -0.47 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 3 | MAJESTYS COWBOY | 8.0 | 9.2% | 8.6% | -0.7% | 0.02 | P | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | IM GREAT TWO | 10.0 | 7.5% | 5.8% | -1.8% | -0.76 | C | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | EYESONTHECANDY | 15.0 | 5.2% | 4.0% | -1.2% | -0.76 | C | Same trip | — |