TDN R1 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R1 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#8 #4 #5 #7)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#8MISS CLASSIFIEDE
- C2#4STARCOURTEP
- C3#5GEORGIA ON ESMINDEP
- C4#7TIZZY JOJOEP
- C5#2SHES SO SEXYP
- C6#1TALE OF LEMONBELLES
- C7#3VODKATINIS
- C8#6MY CAJUN LADYC
Honest pace among #8 MISS CLASSIFIED and #4 STARCOURT and #5 GEORGIA ON ESMIND and #7 TIZZY JOJO. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #2 SHES SO SEXY, #1 TALE OF LEMONBELLE, #3 VODKATINI · hurts #8 MISS CLASSIFIED, #4 STARCOURT, #5 GEORGIA ON ESMIND, #7 TIZZY JOJO
Pressure: #8 MISS CLASSIFIED and #4 STARCOURT and #5 GEORGIA ON ESMIND and #7 TIZZY JOJO hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 SHES SO SEXY, #1 TALE OF LEMONBELLE, #3 VODKATINI · hurts #8 MISS CLASSIFIED, #4 STARCOURT, #5 GEORGIA ON ESMIND, #7 TIZZY JOJO
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 TALE OF LEMONBELLE, #3 VODKATINI, #6 MY CAJUN LADY).
Helps #1 TALE OF LEMONBELLE, #3 VODKATINI, #6 MY CAJUN LADY · hurts #8 MISS CLASSIFIED, #4 STARCOURT, #5 GEORGIA ON ESMIND, #7 TIZZY JOJO
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GEORGIA ON ESMINDTAPARA BRANDON | 3.5 | EP | —2026-09-12 TDN 3f 39.40 B MT ft 12/13; 2026-08-08 TDN 3f 37.20 B MT gd 2/5 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 7500b | MORALES SAUL M | field |
| 6 | MY CAJUN LADYFELICIANO R | 3.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-24 TDN 5f 62.20 B MT ft bullet 1/6; 2026-08-15 TDN 4f 48.80 B MT ft 4/19 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 7500b | FELICIANO BENNY R | Favorite |
| 2 | SHES SO SEXYBRACHO JOSE A | 4.5 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-03 TDN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 6/12; 2026-08-27 TDN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 5/27 · barn: same as last | fClm7500b → Clm 7500b | RADOSEVICH JEFF | primed |
| 1 | TALE OF LEMONBELLESKERRETT JEFFERSON | 5.0 | S | Same trip2026-01-04 MVR 4f 48.80 B MT ft 6/12; 2025-10-04 GP 4f 50.60 B MT ft 12/12 · barn: same as last | fClm7500b → Clm 7500b | SKERRETT JEFFREY | field |
| 3 | VODKATINIRIVERA L R | 6.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-22 TDN 3f 36.80 B MT ft 2/5; 2026-08-05 TDN 3f 37.20 Bg MT gd 2/11 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 7500b | JACKSON JAMES R | field |
| 7 | TIZZY JOJOSALAZAR BECERRA FERNANDO | 8.0 | EP | Led lastTop last paceSame trip2026-04-18 TDN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 29/39; 2026-02-23 MVR 4f 48.40 B MT gd 4/21 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 7500b | JOHNSON GARY L | field |
| 4 | STARCOURTCHAVEZ ALEXANDER | 10.0 | EP | Led lastSame trip2026-01-14 CDT 4f 49.80 B MT ft 7/19; 2026-01-06 CDT 4f 50.20 B MT ft 12/17 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 7500b | GENOVESE RICHARD L | field |
| 8 | MISS CLASSIFIEDKEISER CHELSEY | 10.0 | E | Same trip2026-09-17 TDN 5f 61.40 B MT ft 3/5; 2026-04-24 TAM 4f 49.00 B MT ft 3/32 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 7500b | FELICIANO BENNY R | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACETDN R1 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 7500b
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#8 #4 #5 #7) → extreme pace pressure; stalkers/closers (#2 #1 #3 #6) inherit in scenarios A and B; inside rail bias rewards posts 1-3 for the beneficiaries
- CHALKFavorite#6 MY CAJUN LADY · short (ML 3) · usable shape but no overlay; barn ROI deeply negative at 2nd-off-layoff spot; pace sets her up yet the board already prices it in
- LEANWinner call#6 MY CAJUN LADY · best positioned to absorb the duel from off the pace; primed flags confirmed; chalk allowed as winner call
- PRIMED#2 SHES SO SEXY (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, same trip, post 2 inside rail advantage); #3 VODKATINI (3rd start cycle, positive trainer ROI in that spot at +1.20, stalker with a path in A/B)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays in the field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLChalk fires and pays nothing; #2 or #3 win but were never overlay-priced; pace collapses before the wire and all four speed horses empty, gifting it to a C-only horse at a short number
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at the claiming bottom (Clm 7500b, TDN) with a speed-biased, inside-rail track and a wall of four early/pressers projecting a brutal pace duel. Chalk is #6 MY CAJUN LADY (ML 3, C-style), a closer with primed flags but a pace shape that works *for* her — the duel sets her up — yet the model shows no overlay and her 2nd-off-layoff barn ROI is deeply negative (-0.87). The sheet's own PRIMED flag goes to #2 SHES SO SEXY (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, same trip), but her model signal is flat (-0.08) and no price overlay exists; #3 VODKATINI (3rd start of cycle, key stat: 31.15% w / ROI +1.20 in that spot) has the only positive trainer angle in a pace scenario that suits a stalker, though the model also shows no overlay.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GEORGIA ON ESMIND | 3.5 | 17.7% | 19.4% | +1.7% | 0.37 | EP | — | |
| 6 | MY CAJUN LADY | 3.0 | 19.9% | 19.0% | -0.9% | -0.18 | C | favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | SHES SO SEXY | 4.5 | 14.5% | 14.2% | -0.3% | -0.08 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 1 | TALE OF LEMONBELLE | 5.0 | 13.3% | 12.3% | -0.9% | -0.29 | S | Same trip | — |
| 3 | VODKATINI | 6.0 | 11.4% | 11.3% | -0.0% | -0.02 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 7 | TIZZY JOJO | 8.0 | 8.8% | 8.4% | -0.5% | -0.22 | EP | Led lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 4 | STARCOURT | 10.0 | 7.2% | 7.7% | +0.5% | 0.25 | EP | Led lastSame trip | — |
| 8 | MISS CLASSIFIED | 10.0 | 7.2% | 7.6% | +0.3% | 0.17 | E | Same trip | — |