FL R6 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FL R6 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #3 MAIZEY BLUE
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7WAYWARD QUEENC
- C2#3MAIZEY BLUEEP
- C3#2NO FACTORS
- C4#1LUCKY AND GORGEOUSC
- C5#5STELLA BROWNP
- C6#4FLYING PHOEBEC
- C7#6LADY OF MERCIAC
#3 MAIZEY BLUE controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #3 MAIZEY BLUE · hurts #7 WAYWARD QUEEN, #2 NO FACTOR, #1 LUCKY AND GORGEOUS, #4 FLYING PHOEBE, #6 LADY OF MERCIA
Someone presses #3 MAIZEY BLUE. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #5 STELLA BROWN, #2 NO FACTOR · hurts #3 MAIZEY BLUE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 WAYWARD QUEEN, #2 NO FACTOR, #1 LUCKY AND GORGEOUS, #4 FLYING PHOEBE, #6 LADY OF MERCIA).
Helps #7 WAYWARD QUEEN, #2 NO FACTOR, #1 LUCKY AND GORGEOUS, #4 FLYING PHOEBE, #6 LADY OF MERCIA · hurts #3 MAIZEY BLUE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | WAYWARD QUEENVENTURA JOSE | 2.5 | C | Top last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-14 FL 3f 38.20 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-08-05 FL 3f 36.20 B MT ft 3/13 · barn: same as last | fMd5000 → Clm 5000n2l | RONEN ASSAF | Favorite |
| 3 | MAIZEY BLUEGUTIERREZ REYLU | 3.0 | EP | —2026-08-18 BEL 4f 51.20 B MT ft 25/28; 2026-08-11 BEL 4f 51.40 B MT ft 14/18 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | GUTIERREZ LUIS A | field |
| 1 | LUCKY AND GORGEOUSFRET STEVEN | 3.5 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-30 FL 5f 63.00 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-06-17 FL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 18/24 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | GIBBS JERMAINE | field |
| 2 | NO FACTORWORRIE ANDRE SHIVNARINE | 5.0 | S | —2026-07-07 FL 5f 61.00 Bg MT sl bullet 1/5; 2026-06-27 FL 4f 48.20 B MT ft 11/35 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | REED LISA A | field |
| 4 | FLYING PHOEBECRUZ JOEL | 6.0 | C | Same trip2026-07-10 FL 6f 76.00 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-06-20 FL 5f 63.20 B MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | ACQUILANO JAMES | field |
| 6 | LADY OF MERCIADAVIS JACQUELINE A | 12.0 | C | Rising figs2026-06-10 FL 4f 48.40 B MT my 4/13; 2026-05-08 FL 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 9/21 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | ARECHE THALIA | field |
| 5 | STELLA BROWNJOSEPH BEN S | 20.0 | P | 2nd off layoff2026-09-08 FL 3f 37.40 B MT ft 3/7; 2026-08-26 FL 5f 63.20 B MT ft 7/9 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2l → Clm 5000n2l | MAVER EDUARDO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFL R6 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1830y · Clm 5000n2l
- SHAPELone speed (#3 MAIZEY BLUE) on a 53.8% early-speed-bias track; closers (five of seven) need a meltdown that the shape does not project
- CHALKFavorite#7 WAYWARD QUEEN (ML 2.5) · solid on figures and form but opposable on style — C-closer, post 7, needs a duel in Scenario B/C; solid horse, wrong shape
- LEANWinner call#3 MAIZEY BLUE · lone speed, speed-biased surface, A-scenario winner
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price — zero non-chalk overlays in the field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLA presser materializes and hooks MAIZEY BLUE in a duel, collapsing the pace and handing the race to WAYWARD QUEEN
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt route at FL, cheap claiming (n2l), seven-runner field with a speed bias and a closers-heavy group — moderate-to-high volatility given the bias mismatch and thin class ceiling. #3 MAIZEY BLUE is lone speed on a track that rewards early, making Scenario A the most likely flow; chalk #7 WAYWARD QUEEN is the model's best horse (edge 0.065, top fig, top LP) but is a C-style closer who needs the duel that may never come, and the sheet rec is PASS with zero non-chalk overlays. No horse clears the primed bar — STELLA BROWN has the 2nd-off flag but the barn is 0-for-12 in that spot with a ROI of -2.00, the figs are the worst in the field, and the sprint-to-route profile is 0-for-13 for the barn; no path in A or B. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | WAYWARD QUEEN | 2.5 | 24.0% | 30.5% | +6.5% | 1.34 | C | favoriteTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | MAIZEY BLUE | 3.0 | 21.0% | 19.3% | -1.7% | 0.04 | EP | — | |
| 1 | LUCKY AND GORGEOUS | 3.5 | 18.6% | 19.2% | +0.5% | 0.50 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | NO FACTOR | 5.0 | 14.0% | 11.7% | -2.3% | -0.33 | S | — | |
| 4 | FLYING PHOEBE | 6.0 | 12.0% | 11.3% | -0.7% | 0.15 | C | Same trip | — |
| 6 | LADY OF MERCIA | 12.0 | 6.5% | 5.6% | -0.8% | -0.15 | C | Rising figs | — |
| 5 | STELLA BROWN | 20.0 | 4.0% | 2.5% | -1.5% | -1.56 | P | 2nd off layoff | — |