WRD R7 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find WRD R7 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#9JESS DUANES CAPOUU
- C2#3FABULOUS DESIRE EBUU
- C3#6DASH TO B FAMOUSUU
- C4#7THIS GALS NOT EASYUU
- C5#10MURPHY MCKOOLUU
- C6#8FOUR FIVE TIMESUU
- C7#5SQUEAKIES TOYUU
- C8#4TOPSY TO THE TOPUU
- C9#1FABULOUS SEAPOUU
- C10#2JESS JUANITAUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | JESS DUANES CAPOMATA JAIME | 2.0 | U | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-02 RP 1f 13.40 H MT ft 22/23; 2026-02-21 RP 1f 12.40 H MT ft 18/50 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Md 10000 | CARRILLO MANUEL JR | Favorite |
| 3 | FABULOUS DESIRE EBCRUZ ROMAN | 3.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-08 RDE 1f 12.60 B MT ft 2/6; 2026-05-14 RP 1f 13.20 H MT ft 21/21 · barn: same as last | DbyTrl 5000 → Md 10000 | BURCIAGA JOSE ANGEL | field |
| 6 | DASH TO B FAMOUSBENN CORDARELTON J | 4.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastMSW → MCLSame trip2026-09-09 RP 1f 12.60 H MT ft 11/25; 2026-03-28 RP 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 13/37 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md 10000 | MELTON WAYLAN | primed |
| 7 | THIS GALS NOT EASYPULIDO JUAN | 8.0 | U | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-07 WRD 1f 11.40 H MT ft 2/9; 2026-02-13 RP 1f 12.60 H MT ft 43/55 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Md 10000 | VALDIVIA GUILLERMO | field |
| 10 | MURPHY MCKOOLSMITH CODY RODGER | 10.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-12 WRD 1f 12.20 H MT ft 11/18; 2026-04-10 RP 1f 12.80 H MT ft 22/37 · barn: same as last | sMd15000 → Md 10000 | WHITEKILLER MATT E | field |
| 8 | FOUR FIVE TIMESLOPEZ JOSE ALONZO | 15.0 | U | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-08-11 RP 1f 12.80 H MT ft 6/11; 2026-03-21 RP 1f 13.00 H MT ft 28/32 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 10000 | WALKER GARY K | field |
| 5 | SQUEAKIES TOYVEGA RANDY | 15.0 | U | Same trip2026-08-23 WRD 1f 12.00 H MT ft 11/30; 2026-02-13 RP 1f 12.20 H MT ft 3/55 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 10000 | VILLAFRANCO LUIS | field |
| 4 | TOPSY TO THE TOPESCOBEDO EDWIN G | 15.0 | U | Trouble lastSame trip2026-09-30 RP 1f 12.80 Hg MT ft 8/10; 2026-03-18 RP 1.1f 14.40 Hg MT ft 39/44 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 10000 | RAMIREZ HERNESTO | field |
| 1 | FABULOUS SEAPOESQUEDA ERIK N | 20.0 | U | —2026-09-14 WRD 1f 12.40 H MT ft 4/5; 2026-08-30 WRD 1f 12.40 Hg MT ft 3/6 · barn: COGBURN ORRIN L (no last-line barn) | — → Md 10000 | COGBURN ORRIN L | field |
| 2 | JESS JUANITAESQUEDA CHRISTIAN | 20.0 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip2026-09-03 SRM 1f 11.60 Bg MT ft 2/2; 2026-03-11 RP 1.1f 14.00 Hg MT ft 46/64 · barn: change vs MELENDEZ YARELI | Md5000 → Md 10000 | RASCON-ALMANZA JULIO | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEWRD R7 · 2026-10-06 · D / 250y / Md10000
- SHAPEPace unknown across all 10 starters — 250y QH sprint, gate-to-wire, crawl/chaos equally possible; moderate-to-high volatility
- CHALKFavorite#9 JESS DUANES CAPO · solid-to-short · rising figs (81 over 77), real tag drop, 7-week freshener, best composite signal in the field
- LEANWinner call#9 JESS DUANES CAPO · chalk, winner call
- PRIMED#6 DASH TO B FAMOUS (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, trouble last, MSW→MCL drop) — path exists in any scenario at 250y; #2 JESS JUANITA flagged but figs (55 peak) are well below this field, negative model edge, pass
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay triggered; #6 is primed but model edge 0.007 at ML 4-1 does not clear overlay threshold
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — only overlay is the chalk; no non-chalk price stands up
- KILLgate miscue ends any 250y play instantly; #6's zForm 0.18 suggests the cycle improvement may not arrive today; unknown pace map means any "path" is speculative
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt 250y maiden claimer at WRD, field of 10 with all pace styles unknown — high volatility in a short-field QH sprint where any gate miscue ends the race. Pace map is a blank, chalk #9 JESS DUANES CAPO is a send drop (Md15000→Md10000) with rising figs and sits as the clear model leader, but the desk printed no non-chalk price overlays. #6 DASH TO B FAMOUS is the only primed non-chalk (four flags: rising figs, 2nd off layoff, trouble last, MSW→MCL drop), but its model edge is nearly zero at 4-1 ML and the zForm is 0.18 — the form reads weak despite the flag count, and no overlay was triggered.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | JESS DUANES CAPO | 2.0 | 26.3% | 28.7% | +2.4% | 0.60 | U | favoriteRising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 3 | FABULOUS DESIRE EB | 3.0 | 19.7% | 20.3% | +0.5% | 0.36 | U | Same trip | — |
| 6 | DASH TO B FAMOUS | 4.0 | 15.8% | 16.5% | +0.7% | 0.44 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastMSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 7 | THIS GALS NOT EASY | 8.0 | 8.8% | 7.9% | -0.9% | -0.17 | U | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 10 | MURPHY MCKOOL | 10.0 | 7.2% | 6.1% | -1.0% | -0.37 | U | Same trip | — |
| 8 | FOUR FIVE TIMES | 15.0 | 4.9% | 5.3% | +0.3% | 0.52 | U | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | SQUEAKIES TOY | 15.0 | 4.9% | 5.1% | +0.2% | 0.42 | U | Same trip | — |
| 4 | TOPSY TO THE TOP | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.9% | -1.0% | -0.67 | U | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | FABULOUS SEAPO | 20.0 | 3.8% | 3.5% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 2 | JESS JUANITA | 20.0 | 3.8% | 2.7% | -1.1% | -1.13 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip | — |