PEN R1 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PEN R1 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3VICTORS GIRLUU
- C2#1LILYS GALUU
- C3#5PORT ELIZABETHUU
- C4#4SANGRE BRAVAUU
- C5#2LAFLORDELACANELAC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #2 LAFLORDELACANELA · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 LAFLORDELACANELA).
Helps #2 LAFLORDELACANELA · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VICTORS GIRLBEATO INOEL | 2.5 | U | Top last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-12 MTH 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft 21/94; 2026-09-05 MTH 4f 48.60 B MT ft 10/37 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | RABADAN CHELSEA SIMS | Favorite |
| 2 | LAFLORDELACANELACRUZ ANGEL | 2.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-25 PEN 4f 47.60 Bg MT ft 5/34; 2026-08-19 PEN 4f 49.80 B MT ft 13/16 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | KREISER TIMOTHY C | Favorite |
| 1 | LILYS GALTORRES JOMAR | 4.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-18 PEN 4f 50.80 B MT gd 11/11; 2026-08-13 PEN 4f 48.00 Bg MT ft 2/5 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | RATHMAN ELISHA | field |
| 5 | PORT ELIZABETHCORA D | 3.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-04 PEN 4f 47.40 Bg MT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-08-14 PEN 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 8/19 · barn: same as last | fMd50000 → Md Sp Wt | HOUGHTON THOMAS | field |
| 4 | SANGRE BRAVAQUINONES ANGEL R | 5.0 | U | —2026-09-24 PEN 4f 52.00 B MT ft 5/5; 2026-09-04 PEN 4f 48.20 Bg MT ft 2/11 · barn: RATHMAN ELISHA (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | RATHMAN ELISHA | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPEN R1 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1100y · Md Sp Wt
- SHAPEPace unknown — all styles U except #2 (closer); crawl likely; shape favors tactical speed or a closer who gets a target, but no one projects cleanly to the lead
- CHALKFavorite#2 LAFLORDELACANELA ML 2 · short · model edge negative, zForm and zPace both negative, last race "awaited room; bid; empty" on turf, best dirt line was PEN 1100y fig 59 finishing 3rd — usable but not a play at this price
- LEANWinner call#3 VICTORS GIRL · top last fig in the field, top last E1, model overlay (edge +0.041), consistent works including two bullets at MTH — chalk, but the most grounded winner call here
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price (only overlay is chalk #3)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#2 fires first-time blinkers (key stat 27% win); #4 SANGRE BRAVA debut flashes unexpected speed and scrambles the crawl map; track bias favors an outside post runner who clears early
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes, first-time blinkers flag confirmation for #2
Why
Dirt sprint maiden special weight at Penn, five-horse field of mostly unknown-style 2YOs with fog on the pace map — high volatility, thin data, crawl likely. Both chalks dominate the pricing and the pace is undetermined, with no primed non-chalk horses identified by the model. No non-chalk overlay exists in this field.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VICTORS GIRL | 2.5 | 23.1% | 27.3% | +4.1% | 0.68 | U | favoriteTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | LAFLORDELACANELA | 2.0 | 27.0% | 25.0% | -2.0% | -0.28 | C | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 1 | LILYS GAL | 4.0 | 16.2% | 17.5% | +1.3% | 0.33 | U | Same trip | — |
| 5 | PORT ELIZABETH | 3.0 | 20.2% | 16.8% | -3.4% | -0.73 | U | Same trip | — |
| 4 | SANGRE BRAVA | 5.0 | 13.5% | 13.4% | -0.1% | -0.00 | U | — |