PRX R1 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R1 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #7 #1 #2)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3MAJOR WEIGELIAE
- C2#7CHILLING ZENSATIONE
- C3#1PETEY MOTTOEP
- C4#2DUKE OF SUGGINSEP
- C5#8KING OF THE CROSSP
- C6#6LETSMAKEITADOUBLES
- C7#4INTROUBLEAGAINS
- C8#5IRISH MAMBAC
Honest pace among #3 MAJOR WEIGELIA and #7 CHILLING ZENSATION and #1 PETEY MOTTO and #2 DUKE OF SUGGINS. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #8 KING OF THE CROSS, #6 LETSMAKEITADOUBLE, #4 INTROUBLEAGAIN · hurts #3 MAJOR WEIGELIA, #7 CHILLING ZENSATION, #1 PETEY MOTTO, #2 DUKE OF SUGGINS
Pressure: #3 MAJOR WEIGELIA and #7 CHILLING ZENSATION and #1 PETEY MOTTO and #2 DUKE OF SUGGINS hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #8 KING OF THE CROSS, #6 LETSMAKEITADOUBLE, #4 INTROUBLEAGAIN · hurts #3 MAJOR WEIGELIA, #7 CHILLING ZENSATION, #1 PETEY MOTTO, #2 DUKE OF SUGGINS
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 LETSMAKEITADOUBLE, #4 INTROUBLEAGAIN, #5 IRISH MAMBA).
Helps #6 LETSMAKEITADOUBLE, #4 INTROUBLEAGAIN, #5 IRISH MAMBA · hurts #3 MAJOR WEIGELIA, #7 CHILLING ZENSATION, #1 PETEY MOTTO, #2 DUKE OF SUGGINS
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MAJOR WEIGELIABATISTA JOSE A | 3.5 | E | Led lastBarn changeSame trip2026-09-30 DEL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 25/34; 2026-09-24 DEL 4f 51.20 B MT gd 12/13 · barn: change vs KREBS STEVEN | Clm10000bc → Clm 12500n2l | GALLEGOS JOSE A | Favorite |
| 8 | KING OF THE CROSSAGUILAR JEAN | 4.0 | P | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-09-11 PRX 4f 53.20 B MT ft 25/26; 2026-07-19 PRX 4f 48.40 B MT ft 5/22 · barn: same as last | Clm20000b → Clm 12500n2l | RODRIGUEZ MIGUEL A | overlay |
| 5 | IRISH MAMBASANCHEZ MAGGLIO | 4.5 | C | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-07-07 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT gd 14/20; 2026-04-28 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 29/37 · barn: change vs SERVIS JOHN C | Md10000c → Clm 12500n2l | PEREZ RUPERTO A | field |
| 6 | LETSMAKEITADOUBLEVARGAS JORGE A JR | 6.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-11 PRX 4f 48.60 B MT ft 11/26; 2026-08-15 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 47/65 · barn: same as last | Clm20000b → Clm 12500n2l | COLETTI EDWARD J | field |
| 7 | CHILLING ZENSATIONADORNO ABNER | 6.0 | E | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-05-27 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 38/49; 2026-05-15 PRX 5f 62.00 B MT ft 3/6 · barn: same as last | Clm20000b → Clm 12500n2l | CROOK-DEMASI KATHLEE | field |
| 1 | PETEY MOTTORUIZ ELISEO | 6.0 | EP | Same trip2026-09-20 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT gd 41/57; 2026-09-11 PRX 4f 48.60 B MT ft 11/26 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → Clm 12500n2l | COLETTI EDWARD J | field |
| 2 | DUKE OF SUGGINSSILVERA RUBEN | 6.0 | EP | Rising figsLed last2026-09-18 PRX 5f 62.00 B MT ft 3/8; 2026-09-09 PRX 5f 61.00 B MT ft 5/15 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → Clm 12500n2l | PADILLA-PRECIADO ERNESTO | field |
| 4 | INTROUBLEAGAINHADDOCK DEXTER | 10.0 | S | Led lastBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-09-19 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 26/30; 2026-09-12 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT ft 43/90 · barn: change vs SERVIS J TYLER | Clm7500n2lc → Clm 12500n2l | TAPSAS ILIAS | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R1 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1430y · Clm 12500 N2L
- SHAPEWall of speed (#3 #7 #1 #2) projects a duel/meltdown; stalkers and closers benefit; inside bias amplifies the pace collapse risk
- CHALKFavorite#3 MAJOR WEIGELIA · short · class uptick from Clm10000 win, "weakened" last, and walks into a pace battle it has historically not survived
- LEANWinner call#8 KING OF THE CROSS · presser dropping in class with trouble excuse and best speed fig at this distance
- PRIMED#8 KING OF THE CROSS (trouble last + real tag drop)
- PRICE#8 KING OF THE CROSS ML 4 — edge 0.030, non-chalk overlay
- PLAYPrice ticket#8 KING OF THE CROSS · minimum 4-1 · WIN · (at 5-2 or shorter, pass)
- KILL#8 draws in on a speed-favoring day and gets buried 8-wide with no room; pace collapses and cheap closer inherits; live tote shortens him below floor
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint, N2L claimer at PRX with a wall of early speed setting up a volatile pace duel that should favor stalkers and closers — moderate-to-high volatility given four horses projected to the front. Four need-the-lead types (#3, #7, #1, #2) project a fast, contested pace that lines up the presser/stalker profile per the track bias (inside rail, closer-friendly, posts 1–3 dominant), with chalk #3 MAJOR WEIGELIA as lone ML overlay but flagged as chalk and facing a class uptick from its last win. #8 KING OF THE CROSS is the one primed-price horse: "Forced pace; faltered" last out (trouble flag) drops from Clm20000 to Clm12500 (real class relief), best zSpeed in the field (1.05), last fig 77 at this exact distance (1430y PRX), and projects to press from post 8 — path exists in A and B as the pace battle unfolds ahead of it.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MAJOR WEIGELIA | 3.5 | 17.5% | 20.0% | +2.4% | 0.59 | E | favoriteLed lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 8 | KING OF THE CROSS | 4.0 | 15.8% | 18.8% | +3.0% | 0.77 | P | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | IRISH MAMBA | 4.5 | 14.4% | 11.8% | -2.5% | -0.70 | C | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 6 | LETSMAKEITADOUBLE | 6.0 | 11.3% | 11.4% | +0.1% | 0.12 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 7 | CHILLING ZENSATION | 6.0 | 11.3% | 10.7% | -0.6% | -0.13 | E | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | PETEY MOTTO | 6.0 | 11.3% | 10.4% | -0.9% | -0.26 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 2 | DUKE OF SUGGINS | 6.0 | 11.3% | 8.9% | -2.4% | -0.87 | EP | Rising figsLed last | — |
| 4 | INTROUBLEAGAIN | 10.0 | 7.2% | 8.0% | +0.8% | 0.49 | S | Led lastBarn changeTop last figSame trip | — |