closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

PEN R4 · 2026-10-07

PASSD1320y2 readyPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PEN R4 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#4 #3 #2)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#4CAPPETTAE
  2. C2#3ARTIST MARKEP
  3. C3#2THE JUDGE AND JURYEP
  4. C4#5MY DETROIT CITYC
  5. C5#6GENGHISC
  6. C6#1ROB THE RICHC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #4 CAPPETTA and #3 ARTIST MARK and #2 THE JUDGE AND JURY. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #4 CAPPETTA, #3 ARTIST MARK, #2 THE JUDGE AND JURY · hurts #4 CAPPETTA, #3 ARTIST MARK, #2 THE JUDGE AND JURY

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #4 CAPPETTA and #3 ARTIST MARK and #2 THE JUDGE AND JURY hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #5 MY DETROIT CITY, #6 GENGHIS, #1 ROB THE RICH · hurts #4 CAPPETTA, #3 ARTIST MARK, #2 THE JUDGE AND JURY

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 MY DETROIT CITY, #6 GENGHIS, #1 ROB THE RICH).

Helps #5 MY DETROIT CITY, #6 GENGHIS, #1 ROB THE RICH · hurts #4 CAPPETTA, #3 ARTIST MARK, #2 THE JUDGE AND JURY

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
3ARTIST MARKRODRIGUEZ ANGEL R2.0EPTop last figSame trip2026-08-22 PEN 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/11; 2026-07-23 PEN 4f 46.60 B MT ft 3/20 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 5000bKULP BRANDON LFavorite
1ROB THE RICHCORA D3.5CRising figsHidden paceSame trip2026-01-09 PRX 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/38; 2025-11-29 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 21/56 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 5000bKRAVETS BRUCE Mprimed
2THE JUDGE AND JURYRAMOS YABRIEL O4.5EPLed lastSame trip2026-08-14 PEN 4f 47.40 B MT ft bullet 1/19; 2026-05-22 PEN 5f 61.80 B MT ft 3/4 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 5000bKRAVETS BRUCE Mfield
6GENGHISCRUZ ANGEL4.0C—2026-03-28 PEN 3f 35.40 B MT ft 2/5; 2026-03-20 PEN 3f 34.40 B MT ft bullet 1/12 · barn: same as lastClm5000n2y → Clm 5000bKREISER TIMOTHY Cfield
4CAPPETTAFLORES E6.0ERising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-16 PEN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 8/14; 2026-08-15 PEN 4f 48.20 B MT ft 2/15 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 5000bFIELDS KEVINprimed
5MY DETROIT CITYORELLANA SEBASTIAN6.0CTag dropSame trip2026-03-24 PEN 4f 54.80 B MT ft 5/5; 2026-02-13 PEN 4f 49.80 B MT ft 39/65 · barn: same as lastClm10000b → Clm 5000bHARIGEORGIOU KONSTANfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEPEN R4 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 5000b
  2. SHAPEWall of early pressure (#4 #3 #2) — honest-to-meltdown duel likely; closers inherit in B/C
  3. CHALKFavorite#3 ARTIST MARK · short · top fig and model edge but 2-1 against a pace that can eat it alive
  4. LEANWinner call#3 ARTIST MARK · best figure, best signal, survives the duel if the other speed softens
  5. PRIMED#1 ROB THE RICH (rising figs, hidden pace), #4 CAPPETTA (rising figs, 2nd off layoff) — neither clears the model overlay bar
  6. PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays in the field
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLChalk clears cleanly from post 3 and the duel never materializes; or live tote compresses ROB THE RICH below 3-1, making the only path-horse also a value miss
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes

Why

Dirty Penn sprint in a dead-cheap $5k claimer with six runners and a wall of early speed that sets up a violent pace scenario — volatility moderate-to-high. Chalk #3 ARTIST MARK (2-1) owns the best figures and posts a model edge, but three horses want the same air and the duel map is real; chalk is usable but short, not a bet. Primed #4 CAPPETTA has two ready flags (rising figs, 2nd off layoff) and the E style to dictate from post 4, but the trainer is a ROI sinkhole and the model shows no overlay; primed #1 ROB THE RICH (rising figs, hidden pace LP 90 last out, 5th-place finish that hid a legitimate fig) is the only closer with a documented path in Scenario B — if the three-way duel materializes, he has the late punch and 3.5-1 is a workable number, except the model says he's actually *underlay* at ML (-0.018 edge, no overlay flag).

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#1 ROB THE RICHML 3.5Rising figsHidden paceSame trip
#4 CAPPETTAML 6.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
3ARTIST MARK2.027.3%34.7%+7.4%1.22EPfavoriteTop last figSame trip—
1ROB THE RICH3.518.2%16.3%-1.8%-0.17CRising figsHidden paceSame trip—
2THE JUDGE AND JURY4.514.9%15.3%+0.5%0.38EPLed lastSame trip—
6GENGHIS4.016.4%14.4%-1.9%-0.24C—
4CAPPETTA6.011.7%11.4%-0.3%0.15ERising figs2nd off layoffSame trip—
5MY DETROIT CITY6.011.7%7.8%-3.9%-1.35CTag dropSame trip—