MNR R6 · 2026-10-11
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R6 · 2026-10-11 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #3 DEL REY DOLLY
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3DEL REY DOLLYE
- C2#6FANCY PRINCESSS
- C3#2A LITTLE BIT CRAZYS
- C4#1MARMARAS
- C5#5CAPTAIN ANNEC
- C6#7POLYESTER BRIDEC
- C7#4GOLDEN CHARMC
#3 DEL REY DOLLY controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #3 DEL REY DOLLY · hurts #6 FANCY PRINCESS, #2 A LITTLE BIT CRAZY, #1 MARMARA, #5 CAPTAIN ANNE, #7 POLYESTER BRIDE, #4 GOLDEN CHARM
Someone presses #3 DEL REY DOLLY. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #6 FANCY PRINCESS, #2 A LITTLE BIT CRAZY, #1 MARMARA · hurts #3 DEL REY DOLLY
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 FANCY PRINCESS, #2 A LITTLE BIT CRAZY, #1 MARMARA, #5 CAPTAIN ANNE, #7 POLYESTER BRIDE, #4 GOLDEN CHARM).
Helps #6 FANCY PRINCESS, #2 A LITTLE BIT CRAZY, #1 MARMARA, #5 CAPTAIN ANNE, #7 POLYESTER BRIDE, #4 GOLDEN CHARM · hurts #3 DEL REY DOLLY
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | DEL REY DOLLYBRACHO AUGUSTIN | 2.5 | E | Tag dropTop last paceSame trip2026-03-25 MNR 3f 36.60 B MT ft 2/22; 2025-04-25 CT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 5/29 · barn: same as last | fClm7500 → Clm 3200n3x | EWELL DEVAN SR | Favorite |
| 2 | A LITTLE BIT CRAZYGREENIDGE ELIJAH | 3.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-04-18 CT 4f 48.60 B MT ft 6/33; 2026-04-07 CT 4f 50.20 B MT ft 4/4 · barn: same as last | fClm5000 → Clm 3200n3x | POOLE JAMI C | field |
| 4 | GOLDEN CHARMGONZALEZ KEVIN | 3.5 | C | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip2025-11-21 LRL 4f 51.00 B MT gd 31/44; 2025-10-01 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 11/18 · barn: same as last | fClm7500 → Clm 3200n3x | EWELL DEVAN SR | field |
| 6 | FANCY PRINCESSWEATHERLY BAILEY | 4.5 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-16 MNR 3f 38.20 B MT ft 5/15; 2026-04-22 MNR 4f 50.80 B MT ft 22/25 · barn: same as last | fClm3200 → Clm 3200n3x | BLANKENSHIP DONALD T | field |
| 1 | MARMARABARRIOS RICARDO | 8.0 | S | Same trip2025-06-22 LRL 4f 50.40 B MT ft 45/57; 2025-06-03 LRL 8f 107.00 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | fOC7500 → Clm 3200n3x | SHAFER GABE | field |
| 5 | CAPTAIN ANNEOLIVEROS CHARLE | 10.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-01 MNR 4f 51.00 B MT ft 7/8; 2026-07-20 MNR 4f 50.40 B MT ft 6/8 · barn: same as last | fClm3200n2x → Clm 3200n3x | COX L CRAIG | field |
| 7 | POLYESTER BRIDEYARANGA Y | 15.0 | C | Same trip2026-04-10 MNR 3f 36.60 B MT ft 2/18; 2025-03-13 MVR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 5/10 · barn: same as last | fROC 20-40 → Clm 3200n3x | POOLE JAMI C | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R6 · 2026-10-11 · D 1320y · Clm 3200n3x
- SHAPELone speed (#3) into a closer-heavy field; scenario A favors the chalk wire to wire; no primed price horse has a path in A or B
- CHALKFavorite#3 DEL REY DOLLY 2.5 · short but opposable on declining figs (77→70→63) and trainer ROI −1.52 in claiming; still structurally live as lone speed
- LEANWinner call#3 DEL REY DOLLY · lone speed, top pace, class drop — most likely winner despite the fig regression
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ ready flags with a pace path)
- PRICEno price (model overlays chalk only; all non-chalk horses are underlays per model edge)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only model overlay is chalk; no non-chalk horse is primed with a path
- KILLAny pace pressure from the stalkers in scenario B collapses the chalk's soft-lead thesis; a fig regression toward the 60s likely means a non-trivial beatability
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint at rock-bottom claiming level (Clm 3200n3x, MNR) with a lone-speed chalk and a shallow closer-heavy field — moderate-to-high volatility given the cheap tag and inconsistent figures across the board. #3 DEL REY DOLLY owns the lone-speed role with the top zPace (1.91) and a clear class drop from fClm7500, but she is chalk at 2.5-1 and her last two figs (63, 70) show a declining cycle off a 77 peak, plus the trainer's claiming ROI is deeply negative across all relevant splits. No primed non-chalk horse clears the two-flag threshold — the sheet confirms "none." ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | DEL REY DOLLY | 2.5 | 23.7% | 28.1% | +4.4% | 0.95 | E | favoriteTag dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | A LITTLE BIT CRAZY | 3.0 | 20.8% | 20.0% | -0.7% | 0.12 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | GOLDEN CHARM | 3.5 | 18.5% | 17.6% | -0.8% | 0.07 | C | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | FANCY PRINCESS | 4.5 | 15.1% | 15.5% | +0.4% | 0.36 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | MARMARA | 8.0 | 9.2% | 8.7% | -0.5% | 0.04 | S | Same trip | — |
| 5 | CAPTAIN ANNE | 10.0 | 7.5% | 6.3% | -1.2% | -0.46 | C | Same trip | — |
| 7 | POLYESTER BRIDE | 15.0 | 5.2% | 3.7% | -1.5% | -1.08 | C | Same trip | — |