closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

DED R6 · 2026-10-09

PASSD1650yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DED R6 · 2026-10-09 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Lone speed #2 ROBBIESSTORMANGEL

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#2ROBBIESSTORMANGELEP
  2. C2#6SEEHOSSP
  3. C3#1ZESTINYS
  4. C4#7MY CHULUPAC
  5. C5#9INCHHIGHATAHUNDREDS
  6. C6#11VON ERICHC
  7. C7#4COOL GUITARC
  8. C8#10DEACON JONESC
  9. C9#3MOGUMBEAUXC
  10. C10#5MONGOLIAN CHAMPS
  11. C11#12SEITANC
  12. C12#8DEELITESANDIMSUMC
A · Likely — expected flow

#2 ROBBIESSTORMANGEL controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.

Helps #2 ROBBIESSTORMANGEL · hurts #1 ZESTINY, #7 MY CHULUPA, #9 INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED, #11 VON ERICH, #4 COOL GUITAR, #10 DEACON JONES, #3 MOGUMBEAUX, #5 MONGOLIAN CHAMP, #12 SEITAN, #8 DEELITESANDIMSUM

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Someone presses #2 ROBBIESSTORMANGEL. Soft-lead thesis dies.

Helps #6 SEEHOSS, #1 ZESTINY, #9 INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED, #5 MONGOLIAN CHAMP · hurts #2 ROBBIESSTORMANGEL

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 ZESTINY, #7 MY CHULUPA, #9 INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED, #11 VON ERICH, #4 COOL GUITAR, #10 DEACON JONES, #3 MOGUMBEAUX, #5 MONGOLIAN CHAMP, #12 SEITAN, #8 DEELITESANDIMSUM).

Helps #1 ZESTINY, #7 MY CHULUPA, #9 INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED, #11 VON ERICH, #4 COOL GUITAR, #10 DEACON JONES, #3 MOGUMBEAUX, #5 MONGOLIAN CHAMP, #12 SEITAN, #8 DEELITESANDIMSUM · hurts #2 ROBBIESSTORMANGEL

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
5MONGOLIAN CHAMPTHORNTON T G3.0SHidden paceTop last fig2026-05-23 CBY 4f 46.80 B MT ft 2/25; 2026-05-14 CBY 4f 47.60 B MT ft 3/10 · barn: same as lastOC12500n1x → Alw 44000n1xBERNDT JOELFavorite
9INCHHIGHATAHUNDREDHERNANDEZ COLBY J3.5SRising figs2026-10-01 DED 4f 54.00 B MT ft 44/49; 2026-06-26 EVD 4f 49.40 B MT ft 5/32 · barn: same as lastsOC12500n1x → Alw 44000n1xBREAUX SAMUELfield
4COOL GUITARHERNANDEZ HARRY4.5C—2026-09-23 DED 4f 49.80 B MT ft 2/7; 2026-03-13 EVD 4f 53.00 B MT ft 42/45 · barn: same as lastsAlw42000n3l → Alw 44000n1xALBERTO ANTONIOfield
7MY CHULUPAMELANCON JANSEN8.0CRising figsSame trip2026-04-11 EVD 5f 65.80 B MT ft 22/27; 2026-03-27 EVD 4f 52.20 B MT ft 43/61 · barn: same as lastClm7500b → Alw 44000n1xPERRON GERARDfield
3MOGUMBEAUXPOMPELL T L6.0CTrouble last2026-09-26 DED 4f 51.40 B MT ft 32/68; 2026-06-23 EVD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 5/12 · barn: same as lastsClm20000n2l → Alw 44000n1xBRINKMAN BRETTfield
10DEACON JONESCASTILLO ALEXANDER8.0CSame trip2026-09-30 DED 4f 53.80 B MT ft 19/21; 2026-01-03 DED 5f 66.80 B MT ft 11/12 · barn: same as lastsClm10000n3l → Alw 44000n1xBRYANT GEORGEfield
11VON ERICHMELANCON JANSEN8.0C—2026-09-22 CCT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 4/59; 2026-08-11 CCT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/37 · barn: same as lastsMd20000 → Alw 44000n1xLANDRY ALLEN RAYfield
12SEITANMAGNON DEVIN H8.0C—2026-09-09 EVD 4f 54.60 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-08-13 EVD 5f 66.80 B MT ft 6/6 · barn: same as lastsAlw41000n1x → Alw 44000n1xMAGNON RYLEEfield
2ROBBIESSTORMANGELCASTILLO ISAAC15.0EP3rd start cycleLed last2026-03-21 EVD 5f 64.20 B MT ft 8/12; 2026-01-14 DED 4f 51.00 Bg MT ft 13/22 · barn: same as lastsClm5000b → Alw 44000n1xALBERTO ANTONIOfield
6SEEHOSSVARGAS JUAN P15.0P—2026-08-08 EVD 5f 66.00 B MT ft 17/17; 2026-07-02 EVD 4f 54.20 B MT ft 12/12 · barn: same as lastsOC12500n1x → Alw 44000n1xLARROSA JUAN Afield
1ZESTINYALVAREZ MISAEL20.0SRising figsTop last pace2026-10-03 DED 4f 51.40 B MT ft 25/76; 2026-04-11 EVD 4f 51.20 B MT ft 34/61 · barn: same as lastClm10000b → Alw 44000n1xDISON PHILLIP MARKfield
8DEELITESANDIMSUMLOZADA CARLOS15.0CHidden pace2026-09-16 LAD 4f 49.20 B MT ft 13/44; 2026-08-26 LAD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 21/43 · barn: same as lastsAlw27000n1x → Alw 44000n1xDUNN HENRY RAYfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEDED R6 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1650y Alw44000n1x
  2. SHAPELone speed (#2 EP) into a field of closers; moderate pressure risk from #6 P; chalk is a stalker
  3. CHALKFavorite#5 MONGOLIAN CHAMP · solid · top fig (83), hidden pace last (LP 90, tight hold/6-wide/no bid), class drop from OC is real; sits off the likely soft lead — A-scenario path is clean
  4. LEANWinner call#5 MONGOLIAN CHAMP · stalker with top fig, legitimate pace tucked away last out, class advantage over the field
  5. PRIMEDnone (chalk is the only 2-flag horse; all non-chalk flags are single-signal)
  6. PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlay clears two ready signals + a live A/B path)
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILL#2 ROBBIESSTORMANGEL wire-to-wire on a slow pace, or a closer rally in a duel that doesn't develop
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes

Why

Dirt sprint allowance (n1x) at 1650y, 12-horse field, high volatility from a massive class mix (claimers jumping to n1x allowance) and a lone-speed setup where the chalk is a deep closer.

#2 ROBBIESSTORMANGEL is projected lone speed on a duel-light map, but its figs top out at 72 and it just jumped from sClm5000 to Alw44000, making it a speed-lottery ticket; chalk #5 MONGOLIAN CHAMP has the top field fig (83), a hidden-pace flag (LP 90, finished 5th on a tight hold last out), and is the class standout — solid favorite whose A-scenario path as a stalker is clean if the soft lead melts even slightly.

No horse clears the two-flag PRIMED bar off the ingest with a price overlay simultaneously; #5 is primed but chalk, and every non-chalk model edge is either negligible (≤0.017) or the horse is a class hiker from the claiming ranks with no overlay flag.

```
```

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
5MONGOLIAN CHAMP3.016.9%17.9%+1.0%0.35SfavoriteHidden paceTop last fig—
9INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED3.515.1%14.3%-0.8%-0.08SRising figs—
4COOL GUITAR4.512.3%13.9%+1.5%0.60C—
7MY CHULUPA8.07.5%9.2%+1.7%0.92CRising figsSame trip—
3MOGUMBEAUX6.09.7%8.1%-1.6%-0.60CTrouble last—
10DEACON JONES8.07.5%7.8%+0.3%0.27CSame trip—
11VON ERICH8.07.5%7.6%+0.1%0.19C—
12SEITAN8.07.5%7.3%-0.2%0.03C—
2ROBBIESSTORMANGEL15.04.2%4.2%-0.0%0.11EP3rd start cycleLed last—
6SEEHOSS15.04.2%3.9%-0.4%-0.24P—
1ZESTINY20.03.2%3.0%-0.3%-0.20SRising figsTop last pace—
8DEELITESANDIMSUM15.04.2%2.9%-1.3%-1.35CHidden pace—